Buffalo Bills vs Denver Broncos Prediction, Odds & Props — Week 16

The Buffalo Bills visit the Denver Broncos in Week 16 of the 2026 NFL season, on Friday, December 25 at 4:30 PM ET at Empower Field at Mile High. Open air · Grass. The Bills are 7-1 (1st in the AFC East), the Broncos 7-2 (1st in the AFC West). The Bills went 5-1 down the stretch, the Broncos 5-1.

In 2026 the Bills scored 32 points per game (1st in the NFL) and allowed 23.4 (16th in the NFL); the Broncos scored 22 (20th in the NFL) and allowed 20.7 (10th in the NFL).

Head-to-head, the recent series reads BUF 3–2 over the last 5 meetings, at an average total of 47.4; against the spread it is BUF 3–2, and the total has gone UNDER 3–2. BUF have taken 3 of the last 5 — 2 of the 5 landed inside a score.

Injury report: 12 players out and 16 questionable across the two teams — Joshua Palmer (BUF WR, Injured reserve), Tyrell Shavers (BUF WR, Reserve/PUP), Talanoa Hufanga (DEN S, Out) and Brandon Jones (DEN S, Out).

All Bills v Broncos games

Buffalo Bills vs Denver Broncos: team comparison (2026 season, NFL rank in brackets)
Buffalo BillsDenver Broncos
Record7-17-2
Division1st AFC E1st AFC W
Last six resultsW L W W W WL W W W W W
Points / G32 (1st)22 (20th)
Total Yds / G400 (1st)283.7 (31st)
Yards / Play6.2 (4th)4.9 (30th)
Pass Yds / G253.4 (12th)192.2 (28th)
Rush Yds / G146.6 (2nd)91.4 (27th)
3rd Down %43.2% (8th)32.4% (31st)
1st Downs / G23.6 (1st)18.2 (22nd)
Turnover Diff0 (16th)+5 (7th)
Pts Allowed / G23.4 (16th)20.7 (10th)
Yds Allowed / G344.4 (15th)374.2 (25th)
Pass Yds Allowed252.8 (27th)249.9 (25th)
Rush Yds Allowed91.6 (7th)124.3 (23rd)
Sacks17 (19th)26 (8th)
  • Buffalo Bills stats, schedule and roster
  • Denver Broncos stats, schedule and roster
Buffalo Bills vs Denver Broncos injury report
PlayerTeamPositionStatusInjury
Joshua PalmerBUFWRInjured reserveHamstring
Greg GainesBUFDTQuestionableCalf
Alec AndersonBUFOTQuestionableAnkle
Dion DawkinsBUFOTQuestionableRib
Tyrell ShaversBUFWRReserve/PUPKnee
Talanoa HufangaDENSOutAnkle
Brandon JonesDENSOutHamstring
Kris Abrams-DraineDENCBOutAnkle
Jaylen WaddleDENWRQuestionableChest
Riley MossDENCBQuestionableRibs
Eyioma UwazurikeDENDEInjured reserveShoulder
Jordan HancockBUFCBIR, designated to returnHamstring
RJ HarveyDENRBInjured reserveKnee
Tyler BadieDENRBInjured reserveThumb
Jonah EllissDENLBInjured reserveAnkle
Dorian StrongBUFCBReserve/NFI
Zane DurantBUFDTIR, designated to return
Nick GargiuloDENGReserve/PUPKnee
Frank CrumDENOTIR, designated to returnUndisclosed
Caleb LohnerDENTEIR, designated to returnLower body
Levelle BaileyDENLBInjured reserveLeg
Michael DeiterDENCInjured reserve
Matt HenningsenDENDEInjured reserve
Jordan PhillipsBUFDTInjured Reserve
Jordan PoyerBUFSQuestionable
Taylor RappBUFSInjured Reserve
Chase LundtBUFOTQuestionable
Ed OliverBUFDTQuestionable
Terrel BernardBUFLBQuestionable
Michael HoechtBUFDEInjured Reserve
DeWayne CarterBUFDTInjured Reserve
Dorian WilliamsBUFLBQuestionable
Demetrius Flannigan-FowlesBUFLBInjured Reserve
Keon ColemanBUFWRQuestionable
Te'Cory CouchBUFCBQuestionable
Michael BurtonDENFBInjured Reserve
Matt PeartDENOTInjured Reserve
Delarrin Turner-YellDENSQuestionable
Drew SandersDENLBInjured Reserve
Reese TaylorDENCBQuestionable
Gavin OrtegaDENOTOut
Marvin Mims Jr.DENWRQuestionable
Sai'vion JonesDENDEQuestionable

BUF have taken 3 of the last 5 — 2 of the 5 landed inside a score.

Recent meetings
GameWinnerScoreVenue
2025 DIVDEN33–30Empower Field at Mile High
2024 WCBUF31–7Highmark Stadium
2023 Week 10DEN24–22Highmark Stadium
2020 Week 15BUF48–19Empower Field at Mile High
2019 Week 12BUF20–3Highmark Stadium

Frequently asked questions

When do the Bills play the Broncos?

Buffalo Bills at Denver Broncos is Week 16 of the 2026 NFL season, kicking off on Friday, December 25 at 4:30 PM ET at Empower Field at Mile High.

What is the head-to-head record between the Bills and the Broncos?

The recent series is BUF 3–2 over the last 5 meetings — the last one finished DEN 33–30 in 2025 (DIV), and against the spread the series is BUF 3–2.

Who is injured for Bills vs Broncos?

43 players carry a designation: 12 out and 16 questionable, including Joshua Palmer (BUF WR, Injured reserve), Tyrell Shavers (BUF WR, Reserve/PUP), Talanoa Hufanga (DEN S, Out) and Brandon Jones (DEN S, Out).

Bills v Broncos: teams and standings

  • Buffalo Bills
  • Buffalo Bills Stats
  • Denver Broncos
  • Denver Broncos Stats
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  • NFL Power Rankings this week

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