Updated 29 October 2026.
Lincoln City host Birmingham City at the LNER Stadium on Saturday 31 October, kick-off 12:30 UK, in a Championship game. Birmingham have conceded fewer goals per game than anyone in the league, while Lincoln have scored the 6th fewest. We make 1-1 the likeliest score.
The two arrive from opposite directions. Lincoln are 15th after a 4-1 win over Burnley, while Birmingham are 7th and fresh from a 1-0 defeat at Cardiff. Birmingham failed to score at Cardiff, but Jay Stansfield has had at least one shot in 12 straight games.
Lincoln are 15th in the Championship table on 15 points from 12 games, with 4 wins, 3 draws and 5 defeats and a goal difference of minus 7. Their last five league games run from a 1-2 home loss to Swansea, a 3-0 defeat at Sheffield United, a 6-0 home defeat by West Ham and a 2-2 draw at Millwall to the 4-1 win over Burnley last Saturday.
The defensive record is mixed. Lincoln have kept a clean sheet in a third of their games, the 2nd highest rate in the division, yet they concede 1.67 a game, the 8th most. They also score 1.08 per game, the 6th fewest. Their shots on target average is 3.08, the 3rd fewest, and they win the 2nd fewest corners. Lincoln commit the 3rd most fouls and pick up the 2nd most cards.
Birmingham sit 7th on 20 points from 12, with 5 wins, 5 draws and just 2 defeats. They have scored 20 and conceded 12. That goals-against figure works out at one a game, the fewest in the Championship, and they have also kept clean sheets in a third of their matches. Going forward they score 1.67 a game, the 4th most, and average 4.58 shots on target, the 7th most.
Their recent results: a 2-2 draw with Middlesbrough, a 1-0 win at West Brom, a 4-0 win over Preston, a 3-0 win over QPR, and then the 1-0 loss at Cardiff. They won three of the four games before the Cardiff defeat, scoring 8 and conceding none in those three wins.
Lincoln City possible starting lineup:
Wickens; Reach, CoubiÈ™, Towler, Elerewe; Hackett, McGrandles, Konak, Jefferies; Ladefoged, House
Birmingham City possible starting lineup:
Beadle; Osayi-Samuel, Klarer, Neumann, Cochrane; Iwata, SolÃs; Vicente, Millar, Vázquez; Stansfield
Jay Stansfield has had at least one shot in 12 straight games, averaging 2.3 a game across the run. He has managed two or more in four of his last five, and he is 1.36 at bet365 to take two or more shots here.
Tomoki Iwata has committed at least one foul in seven straight games and is 1.44 at Midnite to make it eight. Team-mate Christoph Klarer has fouled at least once in each of his last five league games, and twice or more in the last three. He is 1.40 at Midnite for a foul here.
For Lincoln, Mikkel Ladefoged has had two or more shots in four of his last five, including two games with four, and is 1.30 at bet365 for two or more here. Ben House is 1.17 for a shot and is the likeliest Lincoln shooter in our projections, while Adam Reach is 1.50 for a shot.
We make Birmingham the likeliest winners at 40%. They are 2.10 at Ladbrokes, Lincoln are 3.40 at Coral and the draw is 3.50 at bet365.
| Market | Best price | Statz chance |
|---|---|---|
| Lincoln City win | 3.40 (Coral) | 31% |
| Draw | 3.50 (bet365) | 29% |
| Birmingham City win | 2.10 (Ladbrokes) | 40% |
| Both teams to score | 1.75 (Ladbrokes) | 52% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.91 (bet365) | 46% |
We predict 1-1, the single likeliest scoreline at 14%, though we make Birmingham more likely to win overall at 40% to Lincoln's 31%. We expect 1.16 goals from Lincoln and 1.35 from Birmingham, and we give both teams to score a 52% chance. A 0-1 Birmingham win is the next likeliest score at 10%.
Lincoln City vs Birmingham City in the 2026/27 Championship kicks off at 12:30 UK time on Saturday 31 October 2026 at the LNER Stadium. Lincoln are 15th and Birmingham 7th in the 24-team table going into the game, and we make 1-1 the likeliest score.
We predict 1-1 for Lincoln City vs Birmingham City in the 2026/27 Championship, the single likeliest scoreline at 14%. We make Birmingham more likely to win overall at 40%, with Lincoln on 31% and the draw on 29%, and we expect 1.16 goals from Lincoln and 1.35 from Birmingham.
Birmingham City are favourites against Lincoln City in the 2026/27 Championship, with a 40% chance of winning in our projections against 31% for Lincoln and 29% for the draw. Birmingham are 7th on 20 points from 12 games and have conceded the fewest goals per game in the division, one a game.
Both teams to score in Lincoln City vs Birmingham City in the 2026/27 Championship is a 52% chance in our projections, with over 2.5 goals at 46%. We expect 1.16 goals from Lincoln and 1.35 from Birmingham, and Birmingham have conceded the fewest per game in the division.
In Birmingham City's 2026/27 Championship game at Lincoln City, Jay Stansfield has had a shot in 12 straight games, averaging 2.3 a game across the run. Tomoki Iwata has committed a foul in seven straight games, and Christoph Klarer has fouled in each of his last five league games.
In the 2026/27 Championship table, Birmingham City are 7th on 20 points from 12 games and Lincoln City are 15th on 15 points from 12 games before they meet on 31 October 2026. Birmingham have 5 wins, 5 draws and 2 defeats, and Lincoln have 4 wins, 3 draws and 5 defeats.
For the 12:30 UK kick-off on 31 October 2026 in the 2026/27 Championship, Lincoln City's possible starting lineup against Birmingham City is Wickens; Reach, CoubiÈ™, Towler, Elerewe; Hackett, McGrandles, Konak, Jefferies; Ladefoged, House. Birmingham's possible starting lineup is Beadle; Osayi-Samuel, Klarer, Neumann, Cochrane; Iwata, SolÃs; Vicente, Millar, Vázquez; Stansfield.