Updated 29 October 2026.
Ajax and AZ meet at the Johan Cruijff Arena on Saturday 31 October, kick-off 8pm UK, with just a point between them in the Eredivisie table. Ajax are 2nd on 21 points from ten games, AZ 5th on 20.
Ajax have scored 29 goals in ten league matches, the 2nd most in the division, and they average 7.6 shots on target a game, also the 2nd most. AZ have scored 20 and concede 1.2 a game, the 3rd fewest.
Ajax have won their last three games in all competitions. They beat Sparta 2-1 on 25 October, took Atalanta 2-0 in the Europa Conference League three days earlier, and put five past FC Groningen (5-2 away) before that. The last home league game was a 1-1 draw with NEC Nijmegen. They have won six, drawn three and lost one of their ten league games, with 29 scored and 13 conceded.
They score 2.9 goals a game, the 2nd most in the league, and both teams have scored in 80% of their matches, the 6th highest rate. Over 2.5 goals has landed in 80% too, the 5th highest. They also pick up cards at a rate of 2.1 a game, the most in the division, even though they commit only 9.3 fouls, the 4th fewest.
AZ lost 2-0 at home to FC Twente on 25 October, three days after winning 4-0 at Ararat in the Europa League. Before that they drew 2-2 at SC Cambuur on 18 October, beat Be'er Sheva 2-1 at home in the Europa League on 15 October and lost 2-0 at Feyenoord on 10 October. They have won six, drawn two and lost two of their ten league games, with 20 scored and 12 conceded.
They concede 1.2 goals a game, the 3rd fewest, and keep a clean sheet in 30% of games, the 3rd highest rate. Only 40% of their matches have gone over 2.5 goals, the lowest in the league, and both teams have scored in just 50%, the 3rd lowest. At the other end they take 6.4 shots on target a game, the 5th most, and win 7.5 corners, the most in the division. They also commit 12.3 fouls a game, the 3rd most.
Ajax possible starting lineup:
ter Stegen; Rosa, Kehrer, Baas, Janse; Amrabat, Mokio; Tsygankov, Brandt, Ouazane; Arokodare
AZ possible starting lineup:
De Busser; Dijkstra, Schouten, Hoedt, Chávez; Koopmeiners, Kwakman; Patati, Byskov, Daal; Meerdink
Abdellah Ouazane has had at least one shot in all ten of Ajax's league games, averaging 2.5 a game, and a shot is 1.06 at bet365. Julian Brandt has managed two or more shots in seven straight games, averaging 2.9 over that run, and 2+ shots is 1.20 at bet365.
Jorthy Mokio is a holding midfielder who has had a shot in seven games running and a tackle in eight. A shot is 1.30 at bet365.
For AZ, Mexx Meerdink has had a shot in all ten league games, averaging 2.9. Weslley Patati has done it in nine straight, averaging 2.1, and a shot is 1.05 at bet365. At the back, Mateo Chávez has made a tackle in seven straight games, averaging 3.6 over that run.
We make Ajax the likelier winners at 53%, with the draw at 24% and AZ at 23%. The best price on an Ajax win is 1.75 at Ladbrokes, with the draw 4.40 at Coral and AZ 4.00 at bet365.
| Market | Best price | Statz chance |
|---|---|---|
| Ajax win | 1.75 (Ladbrokes) | 53% |
| Draw | 4.40 (Coral) | 24% |
| AZ win | 4.00 (bet365) | 23% |
| Both teams to score | 1.40 (bet365) | 63% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.36 (bet365) | 64% |
We project Ajax to score 2.0 goals and AZ 1.28, with 17 shots from the home side against 12 from the visitors. Our prediction is a 1-1 draw, the likeliest single scoreline at 11%, although we make an Ajax win the likelier result overall at 53%. A 2-1 home win is right behind at 10%.
We give both teams to score a 63% chance and over 2.5 goals 64%, and Ajax a 28% chance of a clean sheet.
Ajax vs AZ in the 2026/27 Eredivisie kicks off at 20:00 UK time on Saturday 31 October 2026 at the Johan Cruijff Arena, with Ajax 2nd on 21 points from 10 games and AZ 5th on 20 points.
We predict a 1-1 draw between Ajax and AZ in the 2026/27 Eredivisie on 31 October, the likeliest single scoreline at 11%, though we make an Ajax win the likelier result at 53%, with the draw at 24% and AZ at 23%.
Ajax are the favourites against AZ in the 2026/27 Eredivisie on 31 October, with a 53% chance of a win in our model against 24% for a draw and 23% for AZ, and Ajax have scored 29 goals in 10 league games.
We give both teams to score in Ajax vs AZ, a 2026/27 Eredivisie match, a 63% chance, and both teams have scored in 80% of Ajax's league games this season but only 50% of AZ's.
Ajax are 2nd in the 2026/27 Eredivisie on 21 points from 10 games and AZ are 5th on 20 points from 10 games, a gap of 1 point, before they meet on 31 October.
For Ajax vs AZ in the 2026/27 Eredivisie, Abdellah Ouazane has had a shot in all 10 of Ajax's league games and Mexx Meerdink has done the same for AZ, while Weslley Patati has had a shot in 9 straight and Julian Brandt 2 or more in 7 straight.
For the 20:00 UK kick-off of Ajax vs AZ in the 2026/27 Eredivisie on 31 October 2026, Ajax's possible starting lineup is ter Stegen; Rosa, Kehrer, Baas, Janse; Amrabat, Mokio; Tsygankov, Brandt, Ouazane; Arokodare. AZ's possible starting lineup is De Busser; Dijkstra, Schouten, Hoedt, Chávez; Koopmeiners, Kwakman; Patati, Byskov, Daal; Meerdink.