Updated 29 October 2026.
Coritiba host Vitória at the Estádio Major Antônio Couto Pereira on Saturday 31 October, kick-off 7pm UK, in a Campeonato Brasileiro game between two sides separated by a single point in the table. Coritiba are 12th on 39 points, Vitória 14th on 38, with both clubs having played 32 games.
Coritiba have scored 38 goals this season and conceded 50, while Vitória have scored 35 and conceded 46. Both clubs have 10 wins, with Coritiba on 9 draws and 13 defeats and Vitória on 8 draws and 14 defeats.
Coritiba are in poor form. They have lost four of their last five: 5-0 at Vasco, 4-0 at Fluminense, 1-0 at Atlético-MG and, most recently, 1-0 at home to Grêmio, with a 1-1 home draw against Botafogo in between. They have scored once in those five games. They have the fewest shots on target in the division (3.34 a game) and the fewest corners (3.81), and they concede 1.56 goals a game, the 3rd most.
Vitória are unbeaten in their last two games, drawing 1-1 with Athletico PR last time out and 1-1 at Corinthians before that. Before those draws came a 2-1 defeat at São Paulo and a 4-0 win over Chapecoense, the best result of their last five.
Vitória have kept a clean sheet in 34% of their games, the 3rd highest rate in the league, and both teams have scored in only 44% of their matches, the lowest rate. Coritiba's rate is 50%, the 4th lowest, and they average 1.19 goals a game, the 9th fewest.
Coritiba possible starting lineup:
Pedro Morisco; Tinga, Jacy, Tiago Cóser, Bruno Melo; Nicolás Fonseca, Sebastián Gómez, Josué; Joaquín Lavega, Pedro Rocha, Paulo Roberto
Vitória possible starting lineup:
Lucas Arcanjo; Mateusinho, Emanuel Brítez, Darlan Silva Dutra, Jamerson; Emmanuel Martínez, Caíque Gonçalves; Matheuzinho, Erick, Diego Tarzia; Renê
Joaquín Lavega has had a shot in eight straight games, averaging 1.4 a game. He is 1.08 at bet365 to have a shot again.
Josué has had two or more shots in four straight games, averaging 2.3 a game, and 2+ shots is 1.83 at bet365. Alongside him, Sebastián Gómez has had a shot in four straight games and is 1.50 at bet365 to make it five.
For Vitória, Renê has had a shot in six straight games, averaging 2.5 a game, and has committed a foul in four of his last five. Caíque Gonçalves has made at least one tackle in 12 straight games, averaging 2.3 a game.
We back Coritiba to avoid defeat, with the home side at 2.32 at bet365 to win. Vitória are 3.00 at bet365, and the draw is 3.50 at Coral. Over 2.5 goals is 2.00 at bet365 and both teams to score is 1.73 at Ladbrokes.
| Market | Best price | Statz chance |
|---|---|---|
| Coritiba win | 2.32 (bet365) | 40% |
| Draw | 3.50 (Coral) | 30% |
| Vitória win | 3.00 (bet365) | 30% |
| Both teams to score | 1.73 (Ladbrokes) | 50% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 2.00 (bet365) | 43% |
We expect 1.31 goals from Coritiba and 1.10 from Vitória. 1-1 is the likeliest single score at 14%, though we make Coritiba the likelier winner at 40% to 30%. A 1-0 home win and 0-0 follow at 10% each, and we give Coritiba a 33% chance of a clean sheet. We project 4.81 shots on target for Coritiba and 3.96 for Vitória.
Our prediction: Coritiba 1-1 Vitória.
Coritiba vs Vitória in the 2026 Campeonato Brasileiro kicks off at 7pm UK on Saturday 31 October 2026 at the Estádio Major Antônio Couto Pereira, with Coritiba 12th on 39 points and Vitória 14th on 38 after 32 games each.
We predict a 1-1 draw for Coritiba vs Vitória in the 2026 Campeonato Brasileiro, the likeliest single score at 14%, though we make Coritiba the likelier winner at 40%, with 30% for a draw and 30% for Vitória. A 1-0 home win is next at 10%.
Coritiba are favourites to win Coritiba vs Vitória in the 2026 Campeonato Brasileiro, with our model giving them a 40% chance against 30% for a draw and 30% for Vitória, and the bookmakers also make the hosts favourites.
We put both teams to score at 50% for Coritiba vs Vitória in the 2026 Campeonato Brasileiro and over 2.5 goals at 43%, with 1.31 goals projected for Coritiba and 1.10 for Vitória. Both teams have scored in only 44% of Vitória's league games, the lowest rate in the division.
Before Coritiba vs Vitória in the 2026 Campeonato Brasileiro on 31 October 2026, Coritiba are 12th of 20 on 39 points from 32 games and Vitória are 14th on 38 points from 32, a gap of 1 point.
For Coritiba vs Vitória in the 2026 Campeonato Brasileiro, Joaquín Lavega has had a shot in 8 straight league games and Josué has had 2 or more shots in 4 straight, while Renê has had a shot in 6 straight games for Vitória.
For the 7pm UK kick-off on 31 October 2026 in the 2026 Campeonato Brasileiro, Coritiba's possible starting lineup against Vitória is Pedro Morisco; Tinga, Jacy, Tiago Cóser, Bruno Melo; Nicolás Fonseca, Sebastián Gómez, Josué; Joaquín Lavega, Pedro Rocha, Paulo Roberto. Vitória's possible starting lineup is Lucas Arcanjo; Mateusinho, Emanuel Brítez, Darlan Silva Dutra, Jamerson; Emmanuel Martínez, Caíque Gonçalves; Matheuzinho, Erick, Diego Tarzia; Renê.