São Paulo host Vitória at Estádio Cícero Pompeu de Toledo, São Paulo on 11 October 2026 at 01:00 in the Campeonato Brasileiro. São Paulo's last five results: L L D W L (1 win, 1 draw and 3 losses). Vitória's last five: L L W D L (1 win, 1 draw and 3 losses). In their last 5 meetings, São Paulo have won 3, Vitória 2, with 0 draws.
São Paulo vs Vitória kicks off at 01:00 UK time on Sunday 11 October 2026 in the Campeonato Brasileiro, at Estádio Cícero Pompeu de Toledo, São Paulo.
São Paulo vs Vitória is being played at Estádio Cícero Pompeu de Toledo in São Paulo, the home ground of São Paulo.
São Paulo's last five results read L L D W L (oldest to newest): 1 win, 1 draw and 3 losses.
Vitória's last five results read L L W D L (oldest to newest): 1 win, 1 draw and 3 losses.
Across the last 5 meetings São Paulo have won 3, Vitória have won 2 and 0 were drawn. The most recent was Vitória 2-0 São Paulo on 11 April 2026 in the Campeonato Brasileiro.
Jonathan Calleri leads São Paulo with 3 yellow cards across their last 10 games.
Renê leads Vitória with 4 goals across their last 10 games.
Predicted lineups for São Paulo vs Vitória appear on the Lineups tab of this page once the team news is in, usually the day before the game.
Statz's projection model makes São Paulo the favourite with a 61% chance of winning, against 14% for Vitória and 25% for the draw. Projected goals are São Paulo 1.7 - 0.7 Vitória.
The most likely scoreline is 1-0, a São Paulo win, at 14%. Both teams to score is 44% likely and over 2.5 goals 45%. Every scoreline's chance is on the Projections tab of this page.
Statz AI projects goals, shots, fouls, cards and more for every player and both teams in the Projections tab, and the Bets tab prices the best bet builder picks against bet365.
| Date | Competition | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Apr 2026 | Campeonato Brasileiro | Vitória vs São Paulo | 2-0 |
| 7 Dec 2025 | Campeonato Brasileiro | Vitória vs São Paulo | 1-0 |
| 9 Aug 2025 | Campeonato Brasileiro | São Paulo vs Vitória | 2-0 |
| 25 Aug 2024 | Campeonato Brasileiro | São Paulo vs Vitória | 2-1 |
| 5 May 2024 | Campeonato Brasileiro | Vitória vs São Paulo | 1-3 |
Statz's projection model expects São Paulo 1.7 - 0.7 Vitória in goals. It gives São Paulo a 61% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Vitória 14%. Both teams to score is 44% likely, over 1.5 goals 72% and over 2.5 goals 45%. The most likely scorelines are 1-0 (14%), 2-0 (13%), 1-1 (12%), 0-0 (10%), 2-1 (9%).
| Score | Result | Chance |
|---|---|---|
| 1-0 | São Paulo win | 14% |
| 2-0 | São Paulo win | 13% |
| 1-1 | Draw | 12% |
| 0-0 | Draw | 10% |
| 2-1 | São Paulo win | 9% |
| # | São Paulo | Fouls committed | Vitória | Fouls committed |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | P. Maia | 14 | Z. Vitor | 19 |
| 2 | Wendell | 11 | D. Tarzia | 16 |
| 3 | J. Calleri | 11 | E. Martínez | 9 |
| 4 | L. Ramon | 10 | Renê | 8 |
| 5 | Danielzinho | 8 | Marinho | 8 |
| # | São Paulo | Shots | Vitória | Shots |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Artur | 25 | Renê | 24 |
| 2 | Luciano | 24 | Z. Vitor | 14 |
| 3 | P. Maia | 16 | Matheuzinho | 12 |
| 4 | Ferreirinha | 11 | Erick | 12 |
| 5 | G. Santana | 9 | D. Tarzia | 12 |
| # | São Paulo | Shots on target | Vitória | Shots on target |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Luciano | 6 | Renê | 12 |
| 2 | Artur | 6 | Matheuzinho | 5 |
| 3 | J. Calleri | 4 | T. Pochettino | 3 |
| 4 | G. Santana | 4 | Erick | 3 |
| 5 | R. Arboleda | 3 | Z. Vitor | 3 |
| # | São Paulo | Goals | Vitória | Goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Luciano | 3 | Renê | 4 |
| 2 | J. Calleri | 2 | Erick | 1 |
| 3 | G. Santana | 1 | Matheuzinho | 1 |
| 4 | P. Maia | 1 | ||
| 5 | Artur | 1 |
| # | São Paulo | Yellow cards | Vitória | Yellow cards |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | J. Calleri | 3 | E. Martínez | 3 |
| 2 | Luciano | 3 | E. Brítez | 2 |
| 3 | P. Maia | 2 | Marinho | 2 |
| 4 | A. Silva | 2 | C. Gonçalves | 2 |
| 5 | Djhordney | 1 | Cacá | 2 |
Statz's bet builder picks for São Paulo vs Vitória: Luciano 1+ shots on target (80% hit rate at 1.25); Domingos Duarte 1+ shots (80% hit rate at 1.44); Ramon 1+ shots (80% hit rate at 1.67). Combined odds 3.01 at bet365.
| Stat | Per game | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for | 1.2 | 17 of 20 |
| Goals against | 1.1 | 6 of 20 |
| Shots | 13.2 | 13 of 20 |
| Shots on target | 4.2 | 14 of 20 |
| Fouls | 13.8 | 4 of 20 |
| Tackles | 15.5 | 7 of 20 |
| Passes | 460.6 | 3 of 20 |
| Corners | 6.9 | 1 of 20 |
| Stat | Per game | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for | 1.1 | 20 of 20 |
| Goals against | 1.5 | 15 of 20 |
| Shots | 12 | 18 of 20 |
| Shots on target | 4.2 | 13 of 20 |
| Fouls | 12.3 | 16 of 20 |
| Tackles | 16.5 | 3 of 20 |
| Passes | 346.4 | 19 of 20 |
| Corners | 4.6 | 16 of 20 |