Atlético-MG host Santos at Arena MRV on 11 October 2026 at 20:00 in the Campeonato Brasileiro. Atlético-MG's last five results: L W W D W (3 wins, 1 draw and 1 loss). Santos's last five: W W L W W (4 wins and 1 loss). In their last 6 meetings, Atlético-MG have won 2, Santos 3, with 1 draw.
Atlético-MG vs Santos kicks off at 20:00 UK time on Sunday 11 October 2026 in the Campeonato Brasileiro, at Arena MRV.
Atlético-MG vs Santos is being played at Arena MRV, the home ground of Atlético-MG.
Atlético-MG's last five results read L W W D W (oldest to newest): 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 loss.
Santos's last five results read W W L W W (oldest to newest): 4 wins and 1 loss.
Across the last 6 meetings Atlético-MG have won 2, Santos have won 3 and 1 was drawn. The most recent was Atlético Mineiro 4-2 Santos on 16 September 2026 in the Copa Sudamericana.
Angelo Preciado leads Atlético-MG with 3 yellow cards across their last 10 games.
Gabriel Barbosa leads Santos with 6 goals across their last 10 games.
Predicted lineups for Atlético-MG vs Santos appear on the Lineups tab of this page once the team news is in, usually the day before the game.
Statz's projection model makes Atlético-MG the favourite with a 46% chance of winning, against 26% for Santos and 28% for the draw. Projected goals are Atlético-MG 1.5 - 1.1 Santos.
The most likely scoreline is 1-1, a draw, at 14%. Both teams to score is 52% likely and over 2.5 goals 47%. Every scoreline's chance is on the Projections tab of this page.
Statz AI projects goals, shots, fouls, cards and more for every player and both teams in the Projections tab, and the Bets tab prices the best bet builder picks against bet365.
| Date | Competition | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Sep 2026 | Copa Sudamericana | Atlético Mineiro vs Santos | 4-2 |
| 9 Sep 2026 | Copa Sudamericana | Santos vs Atlético Mineiro | 2-0 |
| 11 Apr 2026 | Campeonato Brasileiro | Santos vs Atlético Mineiro | 1-0 |
| 14 Sep 2025 | Campeonato Brasileiro | Atlético Mineiro vs Santos | 1-1 |
| 17 Apr 2025 | Campeonato Brasileiro | Santos vs Atlético Mineiro | 2-0 |
| 27 Aug 2023 | Campeonato Brasileiro | Atlético Mineiro vs Santos | 2-0 |
Statz's projection model expects Atlético-MG 1.5 - 1.1 Santos in goals. It gives Atlético-MG a 46% chance of winning, the draw 28% and Santos 26%. Both teams to score is 52% likely, over 1.5 goals 74% and over 2.5 goals 47%. The most likely scorelines are 1-1 (14%), 1-0 (10%), 2-1 (9%), 0-0 (9%), 2-0 (9%).
| Score | Result | Chance |
|---|---|---|
| 1-1 | Draw | 14% |
| 1-0 | Atlético-MG win | 10% |
| 2-1 | Atlético-MG win | 9% |
| 0-0 | Draw | 9% |
| 2-0 | Atlético-MG win | 9% |
| # | Atlético-MG | Fouls committed | Santos | Fouls committed |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | A. Preciado | 11 | C. Oliva | 13 |
| 2 | M. Cissé | 10 | I. Vinícius | 11 |
| 3 | Fred | 10 | G. Escobar | 11 |
| 4 | Bernard | 9 | G. Henrique | 9 |
| 5 | R. Lodi | 9 | W. Arão | 7 |
| # | Atlético-MG | Shots | Santos | Shots |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | T. Cuello | 16 | Neymar | 23 |
| 2 | M. Cassierra | 14 | Á. Barreal | 22 |
| 3 | R. Lodi | 13 | G. Barbosa | 21 |
| 4 | Bernard | 12 | Rony | 15 |
| 5 | A. Minda | 8 | B. Rollheiser | 12 |
| # | Atlético-MG | Shots on target | Santos | Shots on target |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | T. Cuello | 7 | Neymar | 11 |
| 2 | M. Cassierra | 5 | G. Barbosa | 8 |
| 3 | Reinier | 4 | Á. Barreal | 7 |
| 4 | Ruan | 3 | Rony | 5 |
| 5 | Bernard | 3 | G. Bontempo | 4 |
| # | Atlético-MG | Goals | Santos | Goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Reinier | 3 | G. Barbosa | 6 |
| 2 | T. Cuello | 3 | C. Oliva | 2 |
| 3 | Bernard | 2 | Á. Barreal | 2 |
| 4 | M. Cassierra | 1 | Neymar | 2 |
| 5 | Vitão | 1 | Rony | 1 |
| # | Atlético-MG | Yellow cards | Santos | Yellow cards |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | A. Preciado | 3 | Á. Barreal | 3 |
| 2 | A. Franco | 2 | L. Veríssimo | 3 |
| 3 | M. Cissé | 2 | Neymar | 2 |
| 4 | Fred | 2 | G. Barbosa | 2 |
| 5 | R. Lodi | 2 | G. Escobar | 2 |
Statz's bet builder picks for Atlético-MG vs Santos: Gabriel Barbosa 1+ shots on target (100% hit rate at 1.50); Bernard 1+ shots (100% hit rate at 1.20); Gabriel Bontempo 1+ shots (100% hit rate at 1.33); Neymar 1+ shots on target (80% hit rate at 1.40). Combined odds 3.35 at bet365.
| Stat | Per game | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for | 1.4 | 9 of 20 |
| Goals against | 1.1 | 4 of 20 |
| Shots | 13.4 | 11 of 20 |
| Shots on target | 4.6 | 10 of 20 |
| Fouls | 11.5 | 18 of 20 |
| Tackles | 12.8 | 20 of 20 |
| Passes | 427.6 | 10 of 20 |
| Corners | 5 | 12 of 20 |
| Stat | Per game | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for | 1.6 | 6 of 20 |
| Goals against | 1.5 | 14 of 20 |
| Shots | 13.3 | 12 of 20 |
| Shots on target | 4 | 15 of 20 |
| Fouls | 12.4 | 15 of 20 |
| Tackles | 18.6 | 1 of 20 |
| Passes | 430 | 9 of 20 |
| Corners | 5.4 | 9 of 20 |