Updated 29 October 2026.
Troyes host Le Mans at the Complexe Sportif de l'Aube N° 2 - Terrain du Bas on Saturday 31 October, kick-off 7:45pm UK, in Ligue 1. Troyes are 17th of 18 in the table on 5 points from 8 games. Le Mans are 15th on 7 points, and neither side has won more than once all season.
Troyes have scored 5 in eight league matches and conceded 16, while Le Mans have scored 11 and let in the same 16. Troyes have the fewest goals per game in the division at 0.63, and both teams have scored in 88% of Le Mans' matches, the highest rate in the league. We make Troyes slightly the likelier winner at 38%, against 34% for Le Mans and 28% for the draw, and 1-1 is our prediction.
Troyes have lost five of their last six league games, and drew 0-0 at Toulouse on 25 October in the latest of them. The goalless draw at Toulouse followed a 3-1 home defeat to Lens and a 2-0 home loss to Marseille. Before that came two more 2-0 defeats, at Angers and Lille. They have scored once in those five games.
They average 2.75 shots on target per game, the fewest in Ligue 1, yet they win the most corners in the league at 6.5 a game. They have kept a clean sheet in 25% of their matches, the 6th highest rate.
Le Mans are 15th with a draw-heavy record of one win, four draws and three defeats. They drew 1-1 at Auxerre last time out, after a 3-0 home defeat to Toulouse and a 3-1 loss at PSG. Their only win this season was a 2-1 home win over Lorient on 19 September, and they drew 2-2 with Lens before that.
Le Mans concede 2 goals a game, the 4th most in the league, and have no clean sheets all season. They win just 2.5 corners a game, the 2nd fewest. They also pick up the most cards in the league at 2.38 per game, and they are 3rd for fouls at 14.5 per game.
Troyes possible starting lineup:
Konaté; Maronnier, Diaz, Gozzi Iweru, Monfray; Diop, Dermane, Ifnaoui; Mille, Nkada, Ripart
Le Mans possible starting lineup:
Kocik; Boissé, Torrente, Yohou; Buades, Bretelle, Traore; Lauray, Calodat, Mafouta, Diallo
Louis Mafouta has had 2+ shots in five straight league games and averages 2.4 a match. He is 1.36 at bet365 to have 2+ shots again.
For Troyes, Antoine Mille has had a shot in four straight games at 1.5 a match and is 1.20 at Ladbrokes to make it five. He has also committed a foul in five in a row, averaging 2.6. Karim Dermane has the same four-game shot run and is 1.18 at bet365. He has also made a tackle in six straight games, averaging three per match.
For Le Mans, Alexandre Lauray has made a tackle and committed a foul in seven straight league games, averaging 2 tackles and 1.7 fouls. Noa Boissé has made a tackle in seven in a row too, at 2.6 a game.
We make it close: Troyes 38%, Le Mans 34% and the draw 28%. The best price on Troyes is 2.38 at bet365.
| Market | Best price | Statz chance |
|---|---|---|
| Troyes to win | 2.38 (bet365) | 38% |
| Draw | 3.50 (bet365) | 28% |
| Le Mans to win | 2.90 (bet365) | 34% |
| Both teams to score | 1.67 (bet365) | 54% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.80 (bet365) | 49% |
We project 1.36 goals for Troyes and 1.27 for Le Mans. 1-1 is the likeliest single score at 13%, though we make Troyes slightly more likely to win, at 38% against 34% for Le Mans. Both teams have scored in 88% of Le Mans' league games, the highest rate in the league, and in 38% of Troyes', the 2nd lowest, and we give both teams to score a 54% chance. Our prediction is Troyes 1-1 Le Mans.
Troyes vs Le Mans in the 2026/27 Ligue 1 kicks off at 7:45pm UK time on Saturday 31 October 2026 at the Complexe Sportif de l'Aube N° 2 - Terrain du Bas. Troyes are 17th and Le Mans 15th in the 18-team table, and we make 1-1 the likeliest score.
We predict a 1-1 draw for Troyes vs Le Mans in the 2026/27 Ligue 1, the single likeliest scoreline at 13%, though we make Troyes slightly more likely to win overall at 38%, against 34% for Le Mans and 28% for the draw. We project 1.36 goals for Troyes and 1.27 for Le Mans.
Troyes are marginal favourites against Le Mans in the 2026/27 Ligue 1, and we give them a 38% chance of winning, with Le Mans on 34% and the draw on 28%. Troyes are 17th on 5 points from 8 games, while Le Mans are 15th on 7 points.
We give both teams to score in Troyes vs Le Mans in the 2026/27 Ligue 1 a 54% chance, with over 2.5 goals at 49%. Both teams have scored in 88% of Le Mans' league games, the highest rate in Ligue 1, and in 38% of Troyes', the 2nd lowest.
Before Troyes vs Le Mans on 31 October 2026, Troyes are 17th of 18 in the 2026/27 Ligue 1 with 5 points from 8 games and Le Mans are 15th with 7 points from 8. Troyes have 1 win, 2 draws and 5 defeats, and Le Mans have 1 win, 4 draws and 3 defeats.
In Troyes vs Le Mans in the 2026/27 Ligue 1, Louis Mafouta has had 2+ shots in 5 straight league games for Le Mans, averaging 2.4 a game. Alexandre Lauray has made a tackle and committed a foul in 7 straight league games, averaging 2 tackles and 1.7 fouls.
For the 7:45pm UK kick-off on 31 October 2026 in the 2026/27 Ligue 1, Troyes' possible starting lineup against Le Mans is Konaté; Maronnier, Diaz, Gozzi Iweru, Monfray; Diop, Dermane, Ifnaoui; Mille, Nkada, Ripart, and Le Mans' possible starting lineup is Kocik; Boissé, Torrente, Yohou; Buades, Bretelle, Traore; Lauray, Calodat, Mafouta, Diallo.