DEN1.00NOP2000.00SpreadNOP +12.5Total235.5via Polymarket
Denver Nuggets vs New Orleans Pelicans Same Game Parlay Picks
Updated Nov 14, after the final
Same game parlays built from the board, each leg priced against the Statz model: Denver Nuggets at New Orleans Pelicans, 14 November 2026. The written preview, odds and model sit on the main preview page.
Same game parlays
Slips from the props and lines, priced by every book that carries each leg.
Safer4 legs
Short prices the player has cleared in at least four of their last five.
Herbert JonesUnder 3.5 Rebounds · 4/5 last 5 · 74.3%
1.65
DeMar DeRozanUnder 0.5 Steals · 5/5 last 5 · 72.3%
1.80
Cameron JohnsonOver 1.5 Threes · 4/5 last 5 · 66%
1.60
Nikola JokicUnder 1.5 Threes · 5/5 last 5 · 65%
1.71
No single book carries every leg; as singles the legs multiply to 8.13.
Market 10.1%Statz 23%+12.9%
Edge4 legs
The legs where our chance beats the market's by the most.
Herbert JonesUnder 0.5 Blocks · 2/5 last 5 · 84.1%
1.50
PP2.00Saddiq BeyUnder 4.5 Rebounds · 3/5 last 5 · 71.3%
DeMar DeRozanUnder 1.5 Rebounds · 3/5 last 5 · 66.8%
2.28
DeAndre JordanUnder 6.5 Rebounds · 2/5 last 5 · 79.6%
1.65
No single book carries every leg; as singles the legs multiply to 11.29.
Market 5.9%Statz 31.9%+26.0%
Scoring4 legs
Points, threes and the combination markets, over.
Cameron JohnsonOver 1.5 Threes · 4/5 last 5 · 66%
1.60
Jordan PooleOver 1.5 Threes · 1/5 last 5 · 60.4%
2.00
Christian BraunOver 18.5 Pts + Reb + Ast · 2/5 last 5 · 57.5%
1.85
Yves MissiOver 11.5 Pts + Reb · 3/5 last 5 · 56.7%
2.00
Market 8%Statz 13%+5.0%
Our chance of a slip is its legs' chances multiplied, which treats them as independent; legs from one game lean on each other, so the true chance is a little higher. Every leg must land.

