DAL2000.00MIN1.00SpreadMIN +19.5Total228.5via Polymarket
Dallas Mavericks vs Minnesota Timberwolves Same Game Parlay Picks
Updated Nov 12, after the final
Same game parlays built from the board, each leg priced against the Statz model: Dallas Mavericks at Minnesota Timberwolves, 12 November 2026. The written preview, odds and model sit on the main preview page.
Same game parlays
Slips from the props and lines, priced by every book that carries each leg.
Safer4 legs
Short prices the player has cleared in at least four of their last five.
Morez JohnsonUnder 1.5 Assists · 4/5 last 5 · 77.8%
1.55
Terrence Shannon Jr.Under 1.5 Threes · 4/5 last 5 · 74.5%
1.58
PP2.00Santi AldamaOver 11.5 Pts + Reb · 4/5 last 5 · 73.4%
Daniel GaffordUnder 5.5 Rebounds · 5/5 last 5 · 69.3%
1.93
No single book carries every leg; as singles the legs multiply to 9.45.
Market 9.2%Statz 29.5%+20.3%
Edge4 legs
The legs where our chance beats the market's by the most.
Jaylen ClarkUnder 0.5 Threes · 1/5 last 5 · 75%
2.20- Morez JohnsonUnder 12.5 Pts + Reb · 2/5 last 5 · 76.1%1.87
- PP2.00Santi AldamaOver 11.5 Pts + Reb · 4/5 last 5 · 73.4%
Trey LylesUnder 0.5 Threes · 2/5 last 5 · 57.9%2.62
20.46Market 3.8%Statz 24.3%+20.5%
Scoring4 legs
Points, threes and the combination markets, over.
- PP2.00Santi AldamaOver 11.5 Pts + Reb · 4/5 last 5 · 73.4%
Naji MarshallOver 15.5 Pts + Reb + Ast · 2/5 last 5 · 64.6%
2.10
Zaccharie RisacherOver 7.5 Pts + Reb · 3/5 last 5 · 62.9%1.83
Jonathan KumingaOver 21.5 Pts + Reb + Ast · 3/5 last 5 · 55.8%
1.87
11.36Market 6.2%Statz 16.6%+10.4%
Our chance of a slip is its legs' chances multiplied, which treats them as independent; legs from one game lean on each other, so the true chance is a little higher. Every leg must land.