GSW2000.00HOU1.00SpreadHOU -8.5Total219.5via Polymarket
Golden State Warriors vs Houston Rockets Same Game Parlay Picks
Updated Nov 11, after the final
Same game parlays built from the board, each leg priced against the Statz model: Golden State Warriors at Houston Rockets, 11 November 2026. The written preview, odds and model sit on the main preview page.
Same game parlays
Slips from the props and lines, priced by every book that carries each leg.
Safer4 legs
Short prices the player has cleared in at least four of their last five.
Brandin PodziemskiOver 0.5 Steals · 5/5 last 5 · 70.3%
1.43
PP1.40Stephen CurryUnder 1.5 Steals · 5/5 last 5 · 69.5%
Alperen SengunUnder 1.5 Steals · 4/5 last 5 · 68.2%
1.50
Fred VanVleetUnder 8.5 Reb + Ast · 4/5 last 5 · 67.9%
1.67
No single book carries every leg; as singles the legs multiply to 5.02.
Market 15.4%Statz 22.6%+7.2%
Edge4 legs
The legs where our chance beats the market's by the most.
Marcus SmartUnder 1.5 Rebounds · 1/5 last 5 · 66.8%
2.30
Tari EasonUnder 0.5 Threes · 2/5 last 5 · 57.9%
2.75
Stephen CurryUnder 34.5 Pts + Reb + Ast · 3/5 last 5 · 70.8%
1.95
PP2.00Gui SantosUnder 3.5 Rebounds · 3/5 last 5 · 70%
No single book carries every leg; as singles the legs multiply to 24.67.
Market 3.1%Statz 19.2%+16.1%
Scoring4 legs
Points, threes and the combination markets, over.
Jabari Smith Jr.Over 16.5 Pts + Ast · 2/5 last 5 · 51.4%
1.93
De'Anthony MeltonOver 12.5 Pts + Reb · 2/5 last 5 · 50%
2.02
PP2.00Yaxel LendeborgOver 21.5 Pts + Ast · 4/5 last 5 · 49.1%
PP2.00Brandin PodziemskiOver 18.5 Pts + Ast · 3/5 last 5 · 48.1%
PP14.64
Market 5.4%Statz 6.1%+0.7%
Our chance of a slip is its legs' chances multiplied, which treats them as independent; legs from one game lean on each other, so the true chance is a little higher. Every leg must land.

