Miami Heat vs Golden State Warriors Same Game Parlay Picks

Updated Nov 5, after the final

Same game parlays built from the board, each leg priced against the Statz model: Miami Heat at Golden State Warriors, 5 November 2026. The written preview, odds and model sit on the main preview page.

Same game parlays

Slips from the props and lines, priced by every book that carries each leg.

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Safer4 legs

Short prices the player has cleared in at least four of their last five.

Klay Thompson
Under 0.5 Steals · 5/5 last 5 · 84.4%
1.77
Miami Heat
Spread +7.5 · 65%
1.91
Bobby Portis
Under 1.5 Threes · 4/5 last 5 · 65%
1.63
Giannis Antetokounmpo
Under 1.5 Steals · 4/5 last 5 · 64.9%
1.42

No single book carries every leg; as singles the legs multiply to 7.82.

Market 10.4%Statz 23.1%+12.7%

Edge4 legs

The legs where our chance beats the market's by the most.

Klay Thompson
Under 0.5 Steals · 5/5 last 5 · 84.4%
1.77
Will Richard
Under 0.5 Threes · 1/5 last 5 · 63.4%
2.65
Georges Niang
Under 0.5 Steals · 3/5 last 5 · 86.4%
1.54
Bam Adebayo
Under 35.5 Pts + Reb + Ast · 2/5 last 5 · 70.9%
PP1.91

12.40

Market 5.6%Statz 32.8%+27.2%

Scoring4 legs

Points, threes and the combination markets, over.

Yaxel Lendeborg
Over 1.5 Threes · 3/5 last 5 · 68.6%
1.63
Draymond Green
Over 10.5 Pts + Reb · 1/5 last 5 · 57.5%
1.87
De'Anthony Melton
Over 13.5 Pts + Reb · 3/5 last 5 · 55.3%
1.80
Brandin Podziemski
Over 21.5 Pts + Reb · 3/5 last 5 · 51.7%
1.92

9.70

Market 8%Statz 11.3%+3.3%

Our chance of a slip is its legs' chances multiplied, which treats them as independent; legs from one game lean on each other, so the true chance is a little higher. Every leg must land.