Miami HeatHeat
Thu, Nov 510:00 PMETGolden State
Golden State WarriorsWarriors
MIA2.53GSW1.65via Polymarket

Miami Heat vs Golden State Warriors Prediction, Odds and Picks

Updated Nov 4, with the latest lineups and odds

The Miami Heat visit the Golden State Warriors on Thursday 5 November 2026 at 10:00 PM ET. The Statz model gives the Miami Heat a 52% chance to win. No market line is posted for this game yet. The Golden State Warriors list 6 players on the injury report and the Miami Heat list 0, with 3 ruled out.

Matchup at a glance

Heat against Warriors, per game this season.

MIAHeatWarriorsGSW
118.1Points scored · MIA edge117.5
123.9Points allowed · GSW edge114.6
28.6%Win % · GSW edge62.5%
104.8Pace109.8
46.2%Field goal % · GSW edge49.2%
36.5%Three-point % · GSW edge37.6%
81.7%Free throw % · GSW edge83.6%

Injuries

6 listed across both sides.

MIAHeat

Nobody listed.

Quick answers3 questions

Who is favoured, Miami Heat or Golden State Warriors?

The Statz model favours the Miami Heat with a 52% win probability, leaving the Golden State Warriors at 48%. Over their last five games the Golden State Warriors are 5-0 and the Miami Heat are 2-3. The model's number comes from team-first projections that update through the day, so it can move before tip-off.

What is the spread and total for Miami Heat at Golden State Warriors?

No spread or total is posted yet for Miami Heat at Golden State Warriors; the odds board fills in once the books price the game. Lines move with injury news and money, so the odds board on this page carries the latest price.

Which player props stand out for Miami Heat at Golden State Warriors?

For Miami Heat at Golden State Warriors, the model projects Stephen Curry for 24.4 points and Yaxel Lendeborg for 19.4 points for the Golden State Warriors. For the Miami Heat it projects Giannis Antetokounmpo for 23.2 points and Bam Adebayo for 17.9 points.