Updated 15 November 2026.
| Score | Result | Chance |
|---|---|---|
| 1-1 | Draw | 11.4% |
| 1-2 | Luton win | 9.9% |
| 0-2 | Luton win | 9.4% |
| 0-1 | Luton win | 9.2% |
| 1-3 | Luton win | 6.2% |
| 0-0 | Draw | 6.1% |
| 0-3 | Luton win | 5.9% |
| 2-1 | Burton win | 5.6% |
| 2-2 | Draw | 5.2% |
| 1-0 | Burton win | 4.9% |
| Market | Chance |
|---|---|
| Both teams to score | 56% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 80% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 56% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 34% |
| Burton clean sheet | 15% |
| Luton clean sheet | 35% |
The most likely score in Burton vs Luton is 1-1, a 11% chance in the Statz model, ahead of 1-2 at 10%. The League One game kicks off at 15:00 UK time on Saturday 21 November 2026, and the projection refreshes as the team news lands.
The Statz model projects Burton 1.06 - 1.87 Luton in goals for Burton vs Luton, with over 2.5 goals 56% likely and both teams to score 56%.
Statz projects 18 players for Burton vs Luton on Saturday 21 November 2026, across 9 markets from goals and shots to fouls, cards, tackles and passes. The projections cover the XI the Lineups tab shows, and refresh as the team news lands before the 15:00 UK time kick-off.
Burton host Luton at Pirelli Stadium, Burton-upon-Trent on 21 November 2026 at 15:00 in League One. Burton's last five results: D W L W L (2 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses). Luton's last five: W W W D W (4 wins and 1 draw). In their last 2 meetings, Burton have won 0, Luton 1, with 1 draw.
Burton vs Luton kicks off at 15:00 UK time on Saturday 21 November 2026 in League One, at Pirelli Stadium, Burton-upon-Trent. Pirelli Stadium holds 6,912 people. The confirmed lineups replace the predicted XIs on this page about an hour before kick-off, and the live score and match stats follow from 15:00.
Burton vs Luton is being played at Pirelli Stadium in Burton-upon-Trent on Saturday 21 November 2026, the home ground of Burton, which holds 6,912 people. Kick-off is at 15:00 UK time, and the match is part of League One.
Burton have won 1, drawn 2 and lost 2 of their last 5 games, scoring 6 and conceding 11, with results reading D D W L L from oldest to newest. Their last game was a 2-6 defeat away to MK Dons in the League One on 14 November.
Luton have won 4, drawn 1 and lost 0 of their last 5 games, scoring 10 and conceding 4, with results reading W W W W D from oldest to newest. Their last game was a 1-1 draw away to Huddersfield in the League One on 3 November.
Across the last 2 meetings Burton have won 0, Luton have won 1 and 1 was drawn, with Burton scoring 1 goals to Luton's 4. The most recent was Luton Town 1-1 Burton Albion on 21 February 2026 in the League One.
C. Vickers leads Burton with 4 assists across their last 10 games, 0.4 a game, the most of any Burton player in that run. The Stats tab of this page ranks every Burton player on shots, fouls, cards and tackles over the same games.
Jamie Paul Donley leads Luton with 4 goals across their last 10 games, 0.4 a game, the most of any Luton player in that run. The Stats tab of this page ranks every Luton player on shots, fouls, cards and tackles over the same games.
Until the team news for Burton vs Luton is in, the Lineups tab shows the XI each side last started with: Burton's XI from their 2-6 defeat at MK Dons on Sat 14 Nov 2026, and Luton's XI from their 1-1 draw at Huddersfield on Tue 3 Nov 2026. Predicted lineups replace them once the team news is in, and the confirmed XIs about an hour before kick-off.
Statz's projection model makes Luton the favourite with a 56% chance of winning, against 20% for Burton and 24% for the draw. Projected goals are Burton 1.1 - 1.9 Luton.
The most likely score in Burton vs Luton is 1-1, a draw, at 11%, from Statz's projection model. Both teams to score is 56% likely and over 2.5 goals 56%. Every scoreline's chance is on the Projections tab of this page.
Statz projects 9 player markets for Burton vs Luton, from goals and shots to fouls, cards, tackles and passes, for every starter on the Projections tab of this page. The Bets tab prices the best bet builder picks against bet365, and the match projection gives each side's chance of winning.
| Date | Competition | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Feb 2026 | League One | Luton Town vs Burton Albion | 1-1 |
| 30 Aug 2025 | League One | Burton Albion vs Luton Town | 0-3 |
Statz's projection model expects Burton 1.1 - 1.9 Luton in goals. It gives Burton a 20% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Luton 56%. Both teams to score is 56% likely, over 1.5 goals 80% and over 2.5 goals 56%. The most likely scorelines are 1-1 (11%), 1-2 (10%), 0-2 (9%), 0-1 (9%), 1-3 (6%).
| Score | Result | Chance |
|---|---|---|
| 1-1 | Draw | 11% |
| 1-2 | Luton win | 10% |
| 0-2 | Luton win | 9% |
| 0-1 | Luton win | 9% |
| 1-3 | Luton win | 6% |
Predicted lineups for Burton vs Luton are not in yet, so these are the XIs each side last started with: Burton's XI from their 2-6 defeat at MK Dons on Sat 14 Nov 2026, and Luton's XI from their 1-1 draw at Huddersfield on Tue 3 Nov 2026.
| # | Burton | Fouls committed | Luton | Fouls committed |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | C. Tilt | 16 | K. Palmer | 16 |
| 2 | T. Sibbick | 9 | L. Walsh | 15 |
| 3 | C. Vickers | 9 | C. Marshall | 13 |
| 4 | R. Rodrigues | 9 | M. Andersen | 12 |
| 5 | H. Araujo | 8 | J. Donley | 9 |
| # | Burton | Shots | Luton | Shots |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | C. Webster | 19 | J. Donley | 21 |
| 2 | R. Rodrigues | 14 | K. Palmer | 20 |
| 3 | C. Vickers | 14 | C. Marshall | 19 |
| 4 | G. Arubi | 13 | J. Clark | 18 |
| 5 | M. Dennis | 12 | N. Wells | 18 |
| # | Burton | Shots on target | Luton | Shots on target |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | G. Arubi | 5 | N. Wells | 9 |
| 2 | C. Webster | 4 | J. Donley | 7 |
| 3 | C. Vickers | 4 | J. Clark | 7 |
| 4 | M. Dennis | 4 | K. Palmer | 5 |
| 5 | J. Armer | 3 | C. Marshall | 4 |
| # | Burton | Goals | Luton | Goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | J. Armer | 2 | J. Donley | 4 |
| 2 | E. Adiele | 1 | J. Clark | 3 |
| 3 | K. Adom | 1 | N. Wells | 3 |
| 4 | K. Chauke | 1 | C. Marshall | 2 |
| 5 | W. Collar | 1 | M. Andersen | 2 |
| # | Burton | Yellow cards | Luton | Yellow cards |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | H. Araujo | 2 | J. Donley | 2 |
| 2 | T. Sibbick | 2 | K. Palmer | 2 |
| 3 | C. Tilt | 2 | M. Andersen | 2 |
| 4 | R. Rodrigues | 2 | L. Walsh | 2 |
| 5 | S. Krubally | 2 | D. Gore | 2 |
| Stat | Per game | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for | 1.4 | 15 of 24 |
| Goals against | 1.8 | 22 of 24 |
| Shots | 10.9 | 22 of 24 |
| Shots on target | 3.5 | 17 of 24 |
| Fouls | 12.1 | 11 of 24 |
| Tackles | 17.2 | 4 of 24 |
| Passes | 369.1 | 12 of 24 |
| Corners | 4.1 | 21 of 24 |
| Stat | Per game | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for | 1.9 | 6 of 24 |
| Goals against | 1.5 | 14 of 24 |
| Shots | 14.6 | 8 of 24 |
| Shots on target | 5.1 | 4 of 24 |
| Fouls | 12 | 12 of 24 |
| Tackles | 14.9 | 14 of 24 |
| Passes | 430.3 | 6 of 24 |
| Corners | 6 | 8 of 24 |