No, Sevilla have taken 27 points over their last 20 La Liga games, within 0.51 of the 26.49 expected points (xPts) their chances were worth, so their results match their performances.
Sevilla create 1.13 expected goals (xG) per game over their last 20 La Liga games, 22.69 in all, and have scored 25 goals from those chances, 2.31 more than that xG would expect.
Sevilla allow 1.27 expected goals against (xGA) per game over their last 20 La Liga games, 25.36 in all, and have conceded 31 goals from those chances, 5.64 more than that xGA would expect.
Isaac Romero has the most expected goals (xG) for Sevilla over their last 20 La Liga games, 1.96 xG in 17 appearances, and has scored 2 goals; Akor Adams is next with 1.94 xG.
Sevilla's results and their chances agree, within 0.5 points of xPts over 20 games. There is no regression case either way. What the table says is roughly what they have earned.
| Window | Games | xG | Goals | Goals minus xG | xGA | Conceded | xGA minus conceded | xPts | Points | Points minus xPts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 20 | 20 | 22.69 | 25 | +2.31 | 25.36 | 31 | -5.64 | 26.49 | 27 | +0.51 |
| Last 10 | 10 | 12.13 | 13 | +0.87 | 14.55 | 14 | +0.55 | 12.76 | 14 | +1.24 |
| Last 5 | 5 | 5.69 | 7 | +1.31 | 7.59 | 7 | +0.59 | 6.42 | 8 | +1.58 |
| Home | 10 | 13.78 | 11 | -2.78 | 11.08 | 13 | -1.92 | 16.46 | 16 | -0.46 |
| Away | 10 | 8.91 | 14 | +5.09 | 14.28 | 18 | -3.72 | 10.03 | 11 | +0.97 |
| Date | Competition | Opponent | Score | xG | xGA | xPts | Points | Deserved result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Oct | La Liga | Levante (A) | 3-3 | 2.94 | 2.01 | 1.88 | 1 | W |
| 19 Sep | La Liga | Barcelona (H) | 1-3 | 0.62 | 3.67 | 0.15 | 0 | L |
| 16 Sep | La Liga | Deportivo (A) | 0-1 | 0.71 | 0.31 | 1.67 | 3 | D |
| 11 Sep | La Liga | Valencia (H) | 1-0 | 0.99 | 0.09 | 2.15 | 3 | W |
| 6 Sep | La Liga | Espanyol (A) | 1-1 | 0.43 | 1.51 | 0.57 | 1 | L |
| 29 Aug | La Liga | Atlético (H) | 1-3 | 1.46 | 1.20 | 1.55 | 0 | W |
| 22 Aug | La Liga | Athletic Club (A) | 1-3 | 0.79 | 1.59 | 0.81 | 3 | L |
| 15 Aug | La Liga | Rayo (H) | 2-1 | 2.38 | 1.65 | 1.81 | 3 | W |
| 23 May | La Liga | Celta (A) | 1-0 | 0.75 | 1.15 | 1.03 | 0 | L |
| 17 May | La Liga | Real Madrid (H) | 0-1 | 1.06 | 1.37 | 1.14 | 0 | L |
| 13 May | La Liga | Villarreal (A) | 2-3 | 1.19 | 1.18 | 1.37 | 3 | W |
| 9 May | La Liga | Espanyol (H) | 2-1 | 1.45 | 0.62 | 1.98 | 3 | W |
| 4 May | La Liga | Sociedad (H) | 1-0 | 1.99 | 0.20 | 2.58 | 3 | W |
| 26 Apr | La Liga | Osasuna (A) | 2-1 | 0.46 | 1.72 | 0.50 | 0 | L |
| 23 Apr | La Liga | Levante (A) | 2-0 | 0.29 | 1.31 | 0.53 | 0 | L |
| 11 Apr | La Liga | Atlético (H) | 2-1 | 2.18 | 0.85 | 2.22 | 3 | W |
| 5 Apr | La Liga | Oviedo (A) | 1-0 | 0.56 | 0.48 | 1.35 | 0 | D |
| 21 Mar | La Liga | Valencia (H) | 0-2 | 0.63 | 1.05 | 0.99 | 0 | L |
| 15 Mar | La Liga | Barcelona (A) | 5-2 | 0.79 | 3.02 | 0.32 | 0 | L |
| 8 Mar | La Liga | Rayo (H) | 1-1 | 1.02 | 0.38 | 1.89 | 1 | W |
| Player | Position | Apps | Minutes | xG | Goals | Goals minus xG | xG per 90 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Akor Adams | attacker | 11 | 656 | 1.94 | 4 | +2.06 | 0.27 |
| Oso | defender | 14 | 967 | 1.01 | 3 | +1.99 | 0.09 |
| Miguel Ángel Sierra Ortega | attacker | 8 | 567 | 0.93 | 2 | +1.07 | 0.15 |
| Djibril Sow | midfielder | 11 | 707 | 0.30 | 1 | +0.70 | 0.04 |
| Juan Iglesias | defender | 8 | 720 | 0.35 | 1 | +0.65 | 0.04 |
| Chidera Ejuke | attacker | 14 | 521 | 0.56 | 1 | +0.44 | 0.10 |
| Andrés Castrín | defender | 17 | 1195 | 0.59 | 1 | +0.41 | 0.04 |
| Nemanja Gudelj | midfielder | 12 | 758 | 0.81 | 1 | +0.19 | 0.10 |
| Lucas Stassin | attacker | 3 | 195 | 0.88 | 1 | +0.12 | 0.41 |
| Jon Guridi | midfielder | 8 | 355 | 0.92 | 1 | +0.08 | 0.23 |
| Kike Salas | defender | 17 | 1528 | 0.93 | 1 | +0.07 | 0.06 |
| Isaac Romero | attacker | 17 | 715 | 1.96 | 2 | +0.04 | 0.25 |
| Youssouf Fofana | midfielder | 5 | 365 | 1.05 | 1 | -0.05 | 0.26 |
| Félix Correia | attacker | 4 | 295 | 1.09 | 1 | -0.09 | 0.33 |
| Neal Maupay | attacker | 8 | 551 | 1.21 | 1 | -0.21 | 0.20 |
| Peque Fernández | attacker | 8 | 265 | 1.36 | 1 | -0.36 | 0.46 |
| Robbie Ure | attacker | 8 | 464 | 1.64 | 1 | -0.64 | 0.32 |
| Alexis Sánchez | attacker | 10 | 441 | 1.78 | 1 | -0.78 | 0.36 |
| Rubén Vargas | attacker | 12 | 750 | 1.73 | 0 | -1.73 | 0.21 |
| # | Team | MP | xG | Goals | xGA | Conceded | xPts | Points | Points minus xPts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Real Betis | 8 | 14 | 14 | 12.9 | 9 | 11.9 | 19 | +7.1 |
| 2 | Real Sociedad | 8 | 9.4 | 12 | 14.4 | 15 | 8.3 | 13 | +4.7 |
| 3 | Atlético Madrid | 8 | 14.1 | 18 | 8.5 | 8 | 14.4 | 19 | +4.6 |
| 4 | FC Barcelona | 8 | 27.9 | 34 | 7.1 | 7 | 19.7 | 24 | +4.3 |
| 5 | Sevilla | 8 | 10.3 | 13 | 12 | 12 | 10.6 | 14 | +3.4 |
| 6 | Real Madrid | 8 | 18 | 19 | 9.2 | 8 | 16 | 18 | +2 |
| 7 | Deportivo Alavés | 8 | 9.1 | 12 | 10.6 | 8 | 10.3 | 11 | +0.7 |
| 8 | Rayo Vallecano | 7 | 9.2 | 11 | 13.3 | 16 | 7.6 | 8 | +0.4 |
| 9 | Getafe | 8 | 6.8 | 4 | 11.8 | 10 | 7.9 | 8 | +0.1 |
| 10 | Racing Santander | 8 | 10.6 | 13 | 17 | 23 | 8.7 | 8 | -0.7 |
| 11 | Levante | 7 | 9.1 | 11 | 14.5 | 15 | 6.8 | 6 | -0.8 |
| 12 | Deportivo La Coruña | 8 | 10.2 | 12 | 9.6 | 11 | 10.9 | 10 | -0.9 |
| 13 | Celta de Vigo | 8 | 7.3 | 8 | 9.6 | 6 | 9.4 | 8 | -1.4 |
| 14 | Osasuna | 8 | 9.8 | 8 | 12.2 | 18 | 10 | 8 | -2 |
| 15 | Athletic Club | 6 | 9.4 | 7 | 7.8 | 6 | 10.1 | 8 | -2.1 |
| 16 | Málaga | 8 | 7 | 4 | 14.2 | 13 | 7 | 4 | -3 |
| 17 | Valencia | 8 | 7.9 | 6 | 12.3 | 15 | 8.8 | 5 | -3.8 |
| 18 | Elche | 8 | 10.6 | 11 | 12.2 | 17 | 10.6 | 6 | -4.6 |
| 19 | Espanyol | 8 | 11.4 | 11 | 9.3 | 11 | 12.7 | 8 | -4.7 |
| 20 | Villarreal | 8 | 17.1 | 13 | 10.5 | 13 | 14.4 | 8 | -6.4 |