No, Rizespor have taken 30 points over their last 20 Super Lig games, within 0.82 of the 29.18 expected points (xPts) their chances were worth, so their results match their performances.
Rizespor create 1.41 expected goals (xG) per game over their last 20 Super Lig games, 28.19 in all, and have scored 28 goals from those chances, 0.19 fewer than that xG would expect.
Rizespor allow 1.31 expected goals against (xGA) per game over their last 20 Super Lig games, 26.19 in all, and have conceded 28 goals from those chances, 1.81 more than that xGA would expect.
Ali Sowe has the most expected goals (xG) for Rizespor over their last 20 Super Lig games, 6.45 xG in 18 appearances, and has scored 7 goals; Qazim Laci is next with 4.13 xG.
Rizespor's results and their chances agree, within 0.8 points of xPts over 20 games. There is no regression case either way. What the table says is roughly what they have earned.
| Window | Games | xG | Goals | Goals minus xG | xGA | Conceded | xGA minus conceded | xPts | Points | Points minus xPts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 20 | 20 | 28.19 | 28 | -0.19 | 26.19 | 28 | -1.81 | 29.18 | 30 | +0.82 |
| Last 10 | 10 | 13.93 | 10 | -3.93 | 13.91 | 17 | -3.09 | 13.95 | 11 | -2.95 |
| Last 5 | 5 | 5.67 | 5 | -0.67 | 7.95 | 8 | -0.05 | 5.52 | 4 | -1.52 |
| Home | 9 | 15.83 | 14 | -1.83 | 10.66 | 12 | -1.34 | 15.78 | 16 | +0.22 |
| Away | 11 | 12.36 | 14 | +1.64 | 15.53 | 16 | -0.47 | 13.40 | 14 | +0.60 |
| Date | Competition | Opponent | Score | xG | xGA | xPts | Points | Deserved result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Oct | Super Lig | Çorum FK (A) | 2-1 | 0.86 | 1.09 | 1.16 | 0 | L |
| 10 Oct | Super Lig | Fenerbahçe (H) | 0-3 | 1.67 | 1.23 | 1.67 | 0 | W |
| 20 Sep | Super Lig | Göztepe (A) | 2-2 | 0.90 | 2.68 | 0.45 | 1 | L |
| 12 Sep | Super Lig | Eyüpspor (A) | 0-2 | 1.15 | 1.45 | 1.16 | 3 | L |
| 7 Sep | Super Lig | Alanyaspor (H) | 0-1 | 1.09 | 1.50 | 1.08 | 0 | L |
| 29 Aug | Super Lig | Gaziantep (A) | 1-2 | 1.07 | 1.08 | 1.35 | 3 | L |
| 22 Aug | Super Lig | Samsunspor (H) | 0-2 | 1.86 | 0.43 | 2.37 | 0 | W |
| 15 Aug | Super Lig | Konyaspor (A) | 0-1 | 1.50 | 0.81 | 1.87 | 3 | W |
| 15 May | Super Lig | Beşiktaş (H) | 2-2 | 2.62 | 2.21 | 1.62 | 1 | W |
| 9 May | Super Lig | Eyüpspor (A) | 4-0 | 1.21 | 1.43 | 1.22 | 0 | L |
| 1 May | Super Lig | Konyaspor (H) | 3-2 | 1.70 | 1.14 | 1.75 | 3 | W |
| 25 Apr | Super Lig | Kayserispor (A) | 2-0 | 1.17 | 1.02 | 1.47 | 0 | W |
| 17 Apr | Super Lig | Fenerbahçe (A) | 2-2 | 0.75 | 2.48 | 0.43 | 1 | L |
| 13 Apr | Super Lig | Gaziantep (H) | 2-1 | 2.24 | 0.72 | 2.33 | 3 | W |
| 9 Apr | Super Lig | Samsunspor (H) | 4-1 | 1.69 | 1.75 | 1.34 | 3 | L |
| 5 Apr | Super Lig | Fatih Karagümrük (A) | 2-1 | 1.69 | 1.18 | 1.72 | 0 | W |
| 14 Mar | Super Lig | Trabzonspor (A) | 1-0 | 0.76 | 1.52 | 0.82 | 0 | L |
| 8 Mar | Super Lig | Antalyaspor (H) | 1-0 | 1.79 | 0.74 | 2.09 | 3 | W |
| 28 Feb | Super Lig | Kasımpaşa (A) | 0-3 | 1.30 | 0.79 | 1.75 | 3 | W |
| 20 Feb | Super Lig | Kocaelispor (H) | 2-0 | 1.17 | 0.94 | 1.53 | 3 | W |
| Player | Position | Apps | Minutes | xG | Goals | Goals minus xG | xG per 90 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Loide Augusto | attacker | 11 | 499 | 0.83 | 3 | +2.17 | 0.15 |
| Qazim Laci | midfielder | 19 | 1605 | 4.13 | 6 | +1.87 | 0.23 |
| Emrecan Bulut | attacker | 13 | 347 | 0.90 | 2 | +1.10 | 0.23 |
| Ali Sowe | attacker | 18 | 1409 | 6.45 | 7 | +0.55 | 0.41 |
| Adedire Mebude | attacker | 15 | 963 | 1.53 | 2 | +0.47 | 0.14 |
| Samet Akaydin | defender | 9 | 776 | 0.71 | 1 | +0.29 | 0.08 |
| Attila Mocsi | defender | 16 | 1216 | 0.92 | 1 | +0.08 | 0.07 |
| Iustin Doicaru | attacker | 6 | 143 | 0.94 | 1 | +0.06 | 0.59 |
| Ibrahim Olawoyin | midfielder | 20 | 1492 | 1.04 | 1 | -0.04 | 0.06 |
| Modibo Sagnan | defender | 19 | 1554 | 1.10 | 1 | -0.10 | 0.06 |
| Halil Dervişoğlu | attacker | 9 | 405 | 1.21 | 1 | -0.21 | 0.27 |
| Ahmed Kutucu | attacker | 7 | 495 | 0.67 | 0 | -0.67 | 0.12 |
| T. Antalyalı | midfielder | 19 | 1582 | 0.77 | 0 | -0.77 | 0.04 |
| Casper Højer | defender | 10 | 838 | 0.95 | 0 | -0.95 | 0.10 |
| Mithat Pala | defender | 20 | 1794 | 1.04 | 0 | -1.04 | 0.05 |
| Valentin Mihăilă | attacker | 15 | 1016 | 3.07 | 2 | -1.07 | 0.27 |
| # | Team | MP | xG | Goals | xGA | Conceded | xPts | Points | Points minus xPts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Alanyaspor | 8 | 9.1 | 8 | 14.4 | 9 | 8.3 | 12 | +3.7 |
| 2 | Kocaelispor | 8 | 9 | 9 | 13.8 | 8 | 8.5 | 12 | +3.5 |
| 3 | Trabzonspor | 7 | 11.2 | 16 | 11.1 | 5 | 9.6 | 13 | +3.4 |
| 4 | Galatasaray | 8 | 17.1 | 17 | 7.9 | 11 | 16.1 | 19 | +2.9 |
| 5 | Erzurumspor FK | 8 | 6.4 | 5 | 10.2 | 11 | 8.3 | 11 | +2.7 |
| 6 | Kasımpaşa | 8 | 9.6 | 12 | 10.6 | 9 | 10.5 | 13 | +2.5 |
| 7 | Amed SK | 8 | 13.8 | 18 | 7.1 | 9 | 14.8 | 17 | +2.2 |
| 8 | Çorum FK | 8 | 10 | 18 | 11 | 13 | 11.5 | 13 | +1.5 |
| 9 | Gençlerbirliği | 8 | 8.8 | 7 | 16.8 | 16 | 7 | 8 | +1 |
| 10 | Beşiktaş | 7 | 12.8 | 16 | 5 | 8 | 14.5 | 15 | +0.5 |
| 11 | Fenerbahçe | 8 | 20.1 | 22 | 7.9 | 6 | 16.4 | 16 | -0.4 |
| 12 | İstanbul Başakşehir | 8 | 12.9 | 12 | 11.9 | 12 | 12 | 11 | -1 |
| 13 | Gaziantep F.K. | 8 | 9.3 | 8 | 13.1 | 12 | 9 | 8 | -1 |
| 14 | Rizespor | 8 | 10.1 | 8 | 10.3 | 11 | 11.1 | 10 | -1.1 |
| 15 | Göztepe | 8 | 15.7 | 17 | 14.6 | 16 | 11.8 | 9 | -2.8 |
| 16 | Eyüpspor | 8 | 6.5 | 2 | 14.8 | 22 | 7 | 3 | -4 |
| 17 | Konyaspor | 8 | 8.1 | 4 | 9.8 | 9 | 9.7 | 5 | -4.7 |
| 18 | Samsunspor | 8 | 10.7 | 7 | 10.8 | 19 | 10.5 | 4 | -6.5 |