Yes, Galatasaray have taken 41 points over their last 20 Super Lig games, 4.32 more than the 36.68 expected points (xPts) their chances were worth, so their results are running ahead of their performances.
Galatasaray create 1.89 expected goals (xG) per game over their last 20 Super Lig games, 37.84 in all, and have scored 39 goals from those chances, 1.16 more than that xG would expect.
Galatasaray allow 1.01 expected goals against (xGA) per game over their last 20 Super Lig games, 20.13 in all, and have conceded 26 goals from those chances, 5.87 more than that xGA would expect.
Victor Osimhen has the most expected goals (xG) for Galatasaray over their last 20 Super Lig games, 12.23 xG in 12 appearances, and has scored 12 goals; Yunus Akgün is next with 3.57 xG.
Galatasaray have taken 4.3 points more than their chances warranted over 20 games: +1.2 goals against their xG, and -5.9 on the goals their xGA expected them to concede. Finishing and goalkeeping at that level rarely hold, so the table is the optimistic reading of this side.
| Window | Games | xG | Goals | Goals minus xG | xGA | Conceded | xGA minus conceded | xPts | Points | Points minus xPts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 20 | 20 | 37.84 | 39 | +1.16 | 20.13 | 26 | -5.87 | 36.68 | 41 | +4.32 |
| Last 10 | 10 | 22.03 | 21 | -1.03 | 9.07 | 14 | -4.93 | 20.15 | 22 | +1.85 |
| Last 5 | 5 | 9.23 | 8 | -1.23 | 6.13 | 7 | -0.87 | 8.61 | 12 | +3.39 |
| Home | 9 | 24.20 | 23 | -1.20 | 5.84 | 9 | -3.16 | 22.04 | 23 | +0.96 |
| Away | 11 | 13.64 | 16 | +2.36 | 14.29 | 17 | -2.71 | 14.64 | 18 | +3.36 |
| Date | Competition | Opponent | Score | xG | xGA | xPts | Points | Deserved result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Oct | Super Lig | Gençler (A) | 0-1 | 1.56 | 1.61 | 1.35 | 3 | L |
| 9 Oct | Super Lig | Kasımpaşa (H) | 3-1 | 2.62 | 0.49 | 2.61 | 3 | W |
| 19 Sep | Super Lig | Trabzonspor (A) | 4-0 | 0.96 | 1.45 | 1.02 | 0 | L |
| 13 Sep | Super Lig | Kocaelispor (H) | 1-0 | 2.59 | 0.71 | 2.47 | 3 | W |
| 4 Sep | Super Lig | Başakşehir (A) | 2-3 | 1.50 | 1.87 | 1.16 | 3 | L |
| 29 Aug | Super Lig | Göztepe (H) | 3-2 | 3.27 | 0.63 | 2.68 | 3 | W |
| 21 Aug | Super Lig | Erzurumspor (A) | 0-4 | 1.94 | 0.54 | 2.33 | 3 | W |
| 14 Aug | Super Lig | Çorum FK (H) | 2-2 | 2.64 | 0.60 | 2.55 | 1 | W |
| 17 May | Super Lig | Kasımpaşa (A) | 1-0 | 0.65 | 0.83 | 1.16 | 0 | L |
| 9 May | Super Lig | Antalyaspor (H) | 4-2 | 4.30 | 0.34 | 2.82 | 3 | W |
| 2 May | Super Lig | Samsunspor (A) | 4-1 | 1.19 | 1.24 | 1.33 | 0 | L |
| 26 Apr | Super Lig | Fenerbahçe (H) | 3-0 | 3.12 | 1.02 | 2.47 | 3 | W |
| 18 Apr | Super Lig | Gençler (A) | 1-2 | 2.10 | 0.51 | 2.41 | 3 | W |
| 12 Apr | Super Lig | Kocaelispor (H) | 1-1 | 1.29 | 0.77 | 1.75 | 1 | W |
| 8 Apr | Super Lig | Göztepe (A) | 1-3 | 1.04 | 1.75 | 0.91 | 3 | L |
| 4 Apr | Super Lig | Trabzonspor (A) | 2-1 | 1.14 | 0.96 | 1.49 | 0 | W |
| 14 Mar | Super Lig | Başakşehir (H) | 3-0 | 2.42 | 0.48 | 2.55 | 3 | W |
| 7 Mar | Super Lig | Beşiktaş (A) | 0-1 | 0.91 | 1.43 | 0.99 | 3 | L |
| 28 Feb | Super Lig | Alanyaspor (H) | 3-1 | 1.95 | 0.80 | 2.14 | 3 | W |
| 21 Feb | Super Lig | Konyaspor (A) | 2-0 | 0.65 | 2.10 | 0.49 | 0 | L |
| Player | Position | Apps | Minutes | xG | Goals | Goals minus xG | xG per 90 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lucas Torreira | midfielder | 18 | 1300 | 0.94 | 3 | +2.06 | 0.07 |
| Mario Lemina | midfielder | 16 | 947 | 1.11 | 3 | +1.89 | 0.11 |
| Wilfried Singo | defender | 12 | 622 | 0.67 | 2 | +1.33 | 0.10 |
| Sacha Boey | defender | 9 | 471 | 0.32 | 1 | +0.68 | 0.06 |
| Leroy Sané | attacker | 18 | 1189 | 1.51 | 2 | +0.49 | 0.11 |
| Abdülkerim Bardakcı | defender | 16 | 1271 | 1.54 | 2 | +0.46 | 0.11 |
| Barış Alper Yılmaz | attacker | 19 | 1443 | 2.57 | 3 | +0.43 | 0.16 |
| Mauro Icardi | attacker | 10 | 369 | 0.57 | 1 | +0.43 | 0.14 |
| Kaan Ayhan | midfielder | 7 | 123 | 0.87 | 1 | +0.13 | 0.64 |
| Gabriel Sara | midfielder | 15 | 1131 | 2.14 | 2 | -0.14 | 0.17 |
| Victor Osimhen | attacker | 12 | 927 | 12.23 | 12 | -0.23 | 1.19 |
| Davinson Sánchez | defender | 18 | 1601 | 1.54 | 1 | -0.54 | 0.09 |
| Yunus Akgün | attacker | 17 | 1196 | 3.57 | 3 | -0.57 | 0.27 |
| Ismail Jakobs | defender | 18 | 1098 | 0.62 | 0 | -0.62 | 0.05 |
| Aleksey Batrakov | midfielder | 6 | 322 | 0.62 | 0 | -0.62 | 0.17 |
| Eren Elmalı | defender | 18 | 769 | 0.75 | 0 | -0.75 | 0.09 |
| Deniz Gül | attacker | 5 | 220 | 0.86 | 0 | -0.86 | 0.35 |
| Roland Sallai | defender | 18 | 1360 | 2.10 | 1 | -1.10 | 0.14 |
| Rafael Leão | attacker | 5 | 281 | 1.36 | 0 | -1.36 | 0.44 |
| # | Team | MP | xG | Goals | xGA | Conceded | xPts | Points | Points minus xPts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Alanyaspor | 8 | 9.1 | 8 | 14.4 | 9 | 8.4 | 12 | +3.6 |
| 2 | Kocaelispor | 8 | 9 | 9 | 13.8 | 8 | 8.5 | 12 | +3.5 |
| 3 | Trabzonspor | 7 | 11.2 | 16 | 11.1 | 5 | 9.6 | 13 | +3.4 |
| 4 | Galatasaray | 8 | 17.1 | 17 | 7.9 | 11 | 16.2 | 19 | +2.8 |
| 5 | Erzurumspor FK | 8 | 6.4 | 5 | 10.2 | 11 | 8.3 | 11 | +2.7 |
| 6 | Kasımpaşa | 8 | 9.7 | 12 | 10.6 | 9 | 10.6 | 13 | +2.4 |
| 7 | Amed SK | 8 | 13.8 | 18 | 7.1 | 9 | 14.8 | 17 | +2.2 |
| 8 | Çorum FK | 8 | 10 | 18 | 11 | 13 | 11.5 | 13 | +1.5 |
| 9 | Gençlerbirliği | 8 | 8.8 | 7 | 16.8 | 16 | 7 | 8 | +1 |
| 10 | Beşiktaş | 7 | 12.8 | 16 | 5 | 8 | 14.5 | 15 | +0.5 |
| 11 | Gaziantep F.K. | 7 | 7.7 | 7 | 11.3 | 10 | 7.7 | 8 | +0.3 |
| 12 | Fenerbahçe | 8 | 20.1 | 22 | 7.9 | 6 | 16.4 | 16 | -0.4 |
| 13 | Rizespor | 8 | 10.1 | 8 | 10.3 | 11 | 11.1 | 10 | -1.1 |
| 14 | İstanbul Başakşehir | 7 | 11.1 | 10 | 10.3 | 11 | 10.5 | 8 | -2.5 |
| 15 | Göztepe | 8 | 15.7 | 17 | 14.6 | 16 | 11.8 | 9 | -2.8 |
| 16 | Eyüpspor | 8 | 6.5 | 2 | 14.8 | 22 | 7 | 3 | -4 |
| 17 | Konyaspor | 8 | 8.1 | 4 | 9.8 | 9 | 9.7 | 5 | -4.7 |
| 18 | Samsunspor | 8 | 10.7 | 7 | 10.9 | 19 | 10.4 | 4 | -6.4 |