Yes, Palermo have taken 16 points over their last 6 Serie B games, 5.98 more than the 10.02 expected points (xPts) their chances were worth, so their results are running ahead of their performances.
Palermo create 2.00 expected goals (xG) per game over their last 6 Serie B games, 12.01 in all, and have scored 14 goals from those chances, 1.99 more than that xG would expect.
Palermo allow 1.36 expected goals against (xGA) per game over their last 6 Serie B games, 8.15 in all, and have conceded 7 goals from those chances, 1.15 fewer than that xGA would expect.
Dominic Vavassori has the most expected goals (xG) for Palermo over their last 6 Serie B games, 1.64 xG in 6 appearances, and has scored 2 goals; Joel Pohjanpalo is next with 1.32 xG.
Palermo have taken 6.0 points more than their chances warranted over 6 games: +2.0 goals against their xG, and +1.2 on the goals their xGA expected them to concede. Finishing and goalkeeping at that level rarely hold, so the table is the optimistic reading of this side.
| Window | Games | xG | Goals | Goals minus xG | xGA | Conceded | xGA minus conceded | xPts | Points | Points minus xPts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 6 | 6 | 12.01 | 14 | +1.99 | 8.15 | 7 | +1.15 | 10.02 | 16 | +5.98 |
| Last 5 | 5 | 10.72 | 13 | +2.28 | 7.15 | 7 | +0.15 | 8.45 | 13 | +4.55 |
| Home | 3 | 5.15 | 6 | +0.85 | 3.13 | 2 | +1.13 | 5.41 | 9 | +3.59 |
| Away | 3 | 6.86 | 8 | +1.14 | 5.02 | 5 | +0.02 | 4.61 | 7 | +2.39 |
| Date | Competition | Opponent | Score | xG | xGA | xPts | Points | Deserved result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Oct | Serie B | Empoli (A) | 2-4 | 4.37 | 1.91 | 2.35 | 3 | W |
| 19 Sep | Serie B | Calcio Padova (H) | 2-1 | 2.28 | 0.96 | 2.19 | 3 | W |
| 13 Sep | Serie B | Avellino (A) | 1-1 | 0.44 | 1.65 | 0.51 | 1 | L |
| 7 Sep | Serie B | Sampdoria (H) | 3-1 | 1.58 | 1.17 | 1.65 | 3 | W |
| 30 Aug | Serie B | Arezzo (A) | 2-3 | 2.05 | 1.46 | 1.75 | 3 | W |
| 23 Aug | Serie B | Juve Stabia (H) | 1-0 | 1.29 | 1.00 | 1.57 | 3 | W |
| Player | Position | Apps | Minutes | xG | Goals | Goals minus xG | xG per 90 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dennis Johnsen | attacker | 6 | 441 | 0.69 | 4 | +3.31 | 0.14 |
| Antonio Palumbo | midfielder | 4 | 304 | 0.17 | 2 | +1.83 | 0.05 |
| Gabriel Strefezza | attacker | 3 | 106 | 0.00 | 1 | +1.00 | 0.00 |
| Tommaso Augello | defender | 6 | 540 | 0.03 | 1 | +0.97 | 0.01 |
| Filippo Ranocchia | midfielder | 6 | 442 | 0.05 | 1 | +0.95 | 0.01 |
| Tommaso Cassandro | defender | 6 | 343 | 0.05 | 1 | +0.95 | 0.01 |
| Joel Pohjanpalo | attacker | 6 | 490 | 1.32 | 2 | +0.68 | 0.24 |
| Dominic Vavassori | attacker | 6 | 433 | 1.64 | 2 | +0.36 | 0.34 |
| # | Team | MP | xG | Goals | xGA | Conceded | xPts | Points | Points minus xPts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Palermo | 6 | 12 | 14 | 8.1 | 7 | 10 | 16 | +6 |
| 2 | Mantova | 6 | 7.9 | 13 | 8.3 | 6 | 8.2 | 14 | +5.8 |
| 3 | Südtirol | 6 | 6.6 | 9 | 7.8 | 3 | 7.3 | 12 | +4.7 |
| 4 | Avellino | 6 | 6.5 | 11 | 7.8 | 7 | 7.5 | 10 | +2.5 |
| 5 | Modena | 6 | 10.7 | 11 | 6.3 | 6 | 10.9 | 13 | +2.1 |
| 6 | Ascoli | 6 | 10.4 | 7 | 10 | 4 | 8.9 | 11 | +2.1 |
| 7 | Benevento | 6 | 7.3 | 8 | 7.7 | 5 | 8.3 | 10 | +1.7 |
| 8 | Calcio Padova | 6 | 6.4 | 5 | 11.1 | 8 | 5.3 | 7 | +1.7 |
| 9 | Empoli | 6 | 5.6 | 6 | 10.9 | 10 | 5.3 | 6 | +0.7 |
| 10 | Arezzo | 6 | 7.2 | 6 | 9.2 | 13 | 8 | 7 | -1 |
| 11 | Pisa | 6 | 11.3 | 11 | 6.8 | 8 | 11.1 | 10 | -1.1 |
| 12 | Cesena | 6 | 6.4 | 7 | 6.2 | 8 | 8.2 | 7 | -1.2 |
| 13 | Juve Stabia | 6 | 7.3 | 5 | 7.6 | 8 | 8.1 | 6 | -2.1 |
| 14 | Virtus Entella | 6 | 6.6 | 8 | 6.4 | 7 | 8.3 | 6 | -2.3 |
| 15 | Cremonese | 6 | 6.7 | 5 | 6.2 | 7 | 8.4 | 6 | -2.4 |
| 16 | Vicenza | 6 | 7.8 | 7 | 9.1 | 13 | 7.4 | 5 | -2.4 |
| 17 | Carrarese | 6 | 6.8 | 4 | 8.1 | 6 | 7.1 | 4 | -3.1 |
| 18 | Catanzaro | 6 | 7.5 | 6 | 10.2 | 12 | 6.9 | 3 | -3.9 |
| 19 | Sampdoria | 6 | 8.4 | 6 | 8.1 | 13 | 8.5 | 4 | -4.5 |
| 20 | Hellas Verona | 6 | 13.4 | 12 | 6.9 | 10 | 11.6 | 7 | -4.6 |