Nigeria are averaging 3.7 key passes per game in 2025, with matches involving them seeing 6.3 total key passes on average. That puts them 3rd of 11 for chances created per match in their primary competition.
A key pass or an assist. A key pass is the final pass to a teammate who attempts a shot without scoring; if that teammate scores, the pass is recorded as an assist instead. Bookmakers settle create-shots lines on Opta data as the sum of both, so every chance created counts once.
No - the table shows key passes only. Because a create-shots line settles on key passes plus assists, a Nigeria player's true market number is equal to or higher than what you see here. The hit rates are a conservative floor for the create-shots market.
Bet365 lists it as Player To Create Shots in its bet builder, and Sky Bet and Paddy Power carry the same market family in theirs. Lines and player coverage vary by fixture - creative midfielders and attacking full-backs are priced most often.
At Sky Bet and Paddy Power, if the player you backed is substituted off, the player who replaces him continues the line and the substitute's chances created count towards your bet. Bet365 instead runs Sub On Play On - a player who enters as a substitute has his own bet stand, with his output counting from the moment he comes on.
Ademola Lookman leads with 9 key passes across 6 qualifying appearances (1.5/g, 50% hit rate). The table ranks every Nigeria player by key passes per qualifying appearance (20+ minutes) with hit rates at the 1+, 2+ and 3+ lines and six-game form.
All numbers come from match-level Sportmonks data ingested into Statz - 10 Nigeria fixtures in the active window for 2025. Bookmakers settle the create-shots market on Opta's count, which can differ by the odd marginal touch, so always treat the bookmaker's feed as final for settlement.
Player to Create Shots is a bet builder market where you back a player to set up a number of shots for his teammates - typically 1+, 2+ or 3+ across the 90 minutes. Bookmakers settle it on Opta data as the cumulative total of a player's key passes plus his assists. A key pass is the final pass to a teammate who then attempts a shot without scoring; if the teammate scores, that pass upgrades from a key pass to an assist. Both count towards a create-shots line, so the market is effectively a bet on chances created. One honest note on this table: it shows key passes only. A player's create-shots number at the bookmaker is his key passes PLUS his assists, so for Nigeria players who register assists the table slightly understates the market line. Treat the hit rates here as a conservative floor - a player hitting 2+ key passes regularly clears a 2+ create-shots line at least as often.
Bet365 lists the market as Player To Create Shots inside its bet builder, usually at 1+, 2+ and 3+ lines for the creative midfielders and full-backs in each side. Bet365's player markets run Sub On Play On rules: if your player comes on as a substitute, his bet stands and his output from the moment he enters counts in full. Use the Lineup only toggle above the table to focus the Nigeria numbers on players expected to start.
Sky Bet carries create shots selections in its bet builder and applies its Super Sub rule to player markets: if the player you backed is substituted off, the player who replaces him continues the line, and the substitute's key passes and assists count towards your bet. That makes team-level creativity - how many chances Nigeria generate as a side - matter as much as the individual you pick, because the line survives a substitution.
Paddy Power offers the same create-shots market family in its bet builder, also with Super Sub settlement - a replaced starter's line is continued by the player who comes on for him. As with any player market, settlement follows the bookmaker's official data feed (Opta), so a marginal touch that our data logs as a key pass will almost always match, but the bookmaker's count is the one that settles the bet.
Start with the hit percentage at your line: step the table between 1+, 2+ and 3+ key passes and read how often each Nigeria player has cleared that number per qualifying appearance (20+ minutes). The Match grid view shows the raw counts game by game - green cells mark matches where the player hit the active line - and the form dots track his last six. The Super Sub toggle folds substitutes' key passes into each starter's fixture cells, mirroring how Sky Bet and Paddy Power settle. It also points at a structural edge: books price a starter's line on his per-90 output, while Super Sub rules quietly add his replacement's output on top - so at those books, lines on players in high-rotation positions are slightly better than they look. Pair the hit rates with the chances created per game number and the over/under dials below before building the leg.
| Player | Position | Apps | Key passes | Per game | 1+ hit rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alex Iwobi | attacker | 7 | 5 | 0.71 | 57% |
| Ademola Lookman | attacker | 6 | 9 | 1.5 | 50% |
| Tochukwu Nnadi | midfielder | 2 | 1 | 0.5 | 50% |
| Bruno Onyemaechi | defender | 6 | 6 | 1 | 33% |
| Victor Osimhen | attacker | 3 | 2 | 0.67 | 33% |
| Moses Simon | attacker | 7 | 2 | 0.29 | 29% |
| Akor Adams | attacker | 7 | 4 | 0.57 | 29% |
| Fisayo Dele-Bashiru | midfielder | 4 | 2 | 0.5 | 25% |
| Frank Onyeka | midfielder | 5 | 2 | 0.4 | 20% |
| Bright Osayi-Samuel | defender | 6 | 1 | 0.17 | 17% |
| Semi Ajayi | defender | 6 | 1 | 0.17 | 17% |
| Raphael Onyedika | midfielder | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0% |
| Wilfred Ndidi | midfielder | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0% |
| Igoh Ogbu | defender | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0% |
| Stanley Nwabali | goalkeeper | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0% |
| Calvin Bassey | defender | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0% |
| Samuel Chukwueze | attacker | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0% |
| Paul Onuachu | attacker | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0% |
| Chidera Ejuke | attacker | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0% |
| Emmanuel Fernandez | defender | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0% |
| Chibuike Nwaiwu | defender | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0% |
| Maduka Okoye | goalkeeper | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0% |
| Zaidu Sanusi | defender | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0% |
| Terem Moffi | attacker | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0% |
| Chidozie Awaziem | defender | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0% |
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Team key passes | Opposition key passes | Match total | Top player |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Jun 2026 | Portugal | Away | 2-1 | 4 | 10 | 14 | Fisayo Dele-Bashiru (2) |
| 3 Jun 2026 | Poland | Away | 2-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 30 May 2026 | Jamaica | Away | 0-3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 26 May 2026 | Zimbabwe | Home | 2-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 31 Mar 2026 | Jordan | Away | 2-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 27 Mar 2026 | Iran | Away | 1-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 17 Jan 2026 | Egypt | Away | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 6 | Ademola Lookman (1) |
| 14 Jan 2026 | Morocco | Home | 0-0 | 1 | 10 | 11 | Alex Iwobi (1) |
| 10 Jan 2026 | Algeria | Away | 0-2 | 12 | 2 | 14 | Bruno Onyemaechi (5) |
| 5 Jan 2026 | Mozambique | Home | 4-0 | 17 | 1 | 18 | Ademola Lookman (6) |