Guinea-Bissau host Nigeria on 29 September 2026 at 17:00 in the Africa Cup of Nations Qualifications. Guinea-Bissau's last five results: L L L D W (1 win, 1 draw and 3 losses). Nigeria's last five: W W D L W (3 wins, 1 draw and 1 loss). In their last 3 meetings, Guinea-Bissau have won 1, Nigeria 2, with 0 draws.
Guinea-Bissau vs Nigeria kicks off at 17:00 UK time on Tuesday 29 September 2026 in the Africa Cup of Nations Qualifications.
Guinea-Bissau's last five results read L L L D W (oldest to newest): 1 win, 1 draw and 3 losses.
Nigeria's last five results read W W D L W (oldest to newest): 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 loss.
Across the last 3 meetings Guinea-Bissau have won 1, Nigeria have won 2 and 0 were drawn. The most recent was Guinea-Bissau 0-1 Nigeria on 22 January 2024 in the Africa Cup of Nations.
Dálcio leads Guinea-Bissau with 1 shots across their last 10 games.
Akor Adams leads Nigeria with 11 shots across their last 10 games.
Mitiku Tewodros is the referee for Guinea-Bissau vs Nigeria, averaging 29.0 fouls and 3.0 yellow cards per game this season.
Statz's predicted starting XIs for Guinea-Bissau and Nigeria are on the Lineups tab of this page, and update to the confirmed teams around an hour before kick-off.
Statz's projection model makes Nigeria the favourite with a 56% chance of winning, against 16% for Guinea-Bissau and 28% for the draw. Projected goals are Guinea-Bissau 0.6 - 1.4 Nigeria.
The most likely scoreline is 0-1, a Nigeria win, at 19%. Both teams to score is 33% likely and over 2.5 goals 31%. Every scoreline's chance is on the Projections tab of this page.
Statz AI projects goals, shots, fouls, cards and more for every player and both teams in the Projections tab, and the Bets tab prices the best bet builder picks against bet365.
| Date | Competition | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jan 2024 | Africa Cup of Nations | Guinea-Bissau vs Nigeria | 0-1 |
| 27 Mar 2023 | Africa Cup of Nations Qualifications | Guinea-Bissau vs Nigeria | 0-1 |
| 24 Mar 2023 | Africa Cup of Nations Qualifications | Nigeria vs Guinea-Bissau | 0-1 |
Statz's projection model expects Guinea-Bissau 0.6 - 1.4 Nigeria in goals. It gives Guinea-Bissau a 16% chance of winning, the draw 28% and Nigeria 56%. Both teams to score is 33% likely, over 1.5 goals 58% and over 2.5 goals 31%. The most likely scorelines are 0-1 (19%), 0-0 (14%), 0-2 (13%), 1-1 (11%), 1-0 (8%).
| Score | Result | Chance |
|---|---|---|
| 0-1 | Nigeria win | 19% |
| 0-0 | Draw | 14% |
| 0-2 | Nigeria win | 13% |
| 1-1 | Draw | 11% |
| 1-0 | Guinea-Bissau win | 8% |
Statz's predicted starting XIs for Guinea-Bissau vs Nigeria, updated to the confirmed teams around an hour before kick-off.
| # | Guinea-Bissau | Fouls committed | Nigeria | Fouls committed |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | I. Simão | 4 | B. Onyemaechi | 13 |
| 2 | Dálcio | 2 | A. Adams | 11 |
| 3 | O. Sangante | 1 | R. Onyedika | 9 |
| 4 | A. Lookman | 7 | ||
| 5 | C. Bassey | 7 |
| # | Guinea-Bissau | Shots | Nigeria | Shots |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Dálcio | 1 | A. Adams | 11 |
| 2 | A. Lookman | 5 | ||
| 3 | W. Ndidi | 5 | ||
| 4 | G. Ilenikhena | 5 | ||
| 5 | V. Osimhen | 3 |
| # | Guinea-Bissau | Shots on target | Nigeria | Shots on target |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Franculino | 1 | A. Adams | 3 |
| 2 | M. Baldé | 1 | C. Bassey | 3 |
| 3 | A. Lookman | 2 | ||
| 4 | V. Osimhen | 2 | ||
| 5 | G. Ilenikhena | 2 |
| # | Guinea-Bissau | Goals | Nigeria | Goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | I. Simão | 1 | A. Adams | 3 |
| 2 | M. Simon | 2 | ||
| 3 | F. Azeez | 2 | ||
| 4 | P. Onuachu | 1 | ||
| 5 | V. Osimhen | 1 |
| # | Guinea-Bissau | Yellow cards | Nigeria | Yellow cards |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Dálcio | 1 | S. Nwabali | 1 |
| 2 | K. Igboke | 1 |
| Stat | Per game | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for | 0.9 | 38 of 58 |
| Goals against | 1 | 23 of 58 |
| Shots | 6.8 | 37 of 58 |
| Shots on target | 2.5 | 41 of 58 |
| Fouls | 11.8 | 33 of 58 |
| Passes | 1.3 | 25 of 58 |
| Corners | 4.1 | 31 of 58 |
| Stat | Per game | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for | 1.7 | 16 of 58 |
| Goals against | 0.8 | 18 of 58 |
| Shots | 10 | 15 of 58 |
| Shots on target | 4.7 | 10 of 58 |
| Fouls | 12 | 32 of 58 |
| Tackles | 6.5 | 11 of 58 |
| Passes | 265.7 | 3 of 58 |
| Corners | 5.4 | 14 of 58 |