Liberia host Mali on 29 September 2026 at 20:00 in the Africa Cup of Nations Qualifications. Liberia's last five results: L D L W L (1 win, 1 draw and 3 losses). Mali's last five: D L D L W (1 win, 2 draws and 2 losses).
Liberia vs Mali kicks off at 20:00 UK time on Tuesday 29 September 2026 in the Africa Cup of Nations Qualifications.
Liberia's last five results read L D L W L (oldest to newest): 1 win, 1 draw and 3 losses.
Mali's last five results read D L D L W (oldest to newest): 1 win, 2 draws and 2 losses.
Edward Ledlum leads Liberia with 5 shots across their last 10 games.
Lassine Sinayoko leads Mali with 5 goals across their last 10 games.
Mohamed Diraneh Guedi is the referee for Liberia vs Mali, averaging 16.5 fouls and 0.5 yellow cards per game this season.
Predicted lineups for Liberia vs Mali appear on the Lineups tab of this page once the team news is in, usually the day before the game.
Statz's projection model makes Mali the favourite with a 55% chance of winning, against 17% for Liberia and 28% for the draw. Projected goals are Liberia 0.6 - 1.4 Mali.
The most likely scoreline is 0-1, a Mali win, at 18%. Both teams to score is 36% likely and over 2.5 goals 33%. Every scoreline's chance is on the Projections tab of this page.
Statz AI projects goals, shots, fouls, cards and more for every player and both teams in the Projections tab, and the Bets tab prices the best bet builder picks against bet365.
Statz's projection model expects Liberia 0.6 - 1.4 Mali in goals. It gives Liberia a 17% chance of winning, the draw 28% and Mali 55%. Both teams to score is 36% likely, over 1.5 goals 60% and over 2.5 goals 33%. The most likely scorelines are 0-1 (18%), 0-0 (13%), 0-2 (13%), 1-1 (12%), 1-0 (8%).
| Score | Result | Chance |
|---|---|---|
| 0-1 | Mali win | 18% |
| 0-0 | Draw | 13% |
| 0-2 | Mali win | 13% |
| 1-1 | Draw | 12% |
| 1-0 | Liberia win | 8% |
| # | Liberia | Fouls committed | Mali | Fouls committed |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | E. Fully | 3 | A. Dieng | 8 |
| 2 | K. Sherman | 1 | L. Coulibaly | 8 |
| 3 | A. Kosiah | 1 | M. Doumbia | 7 |
| 4 | S. Nimely | 1 | N. Gassama | 7 |
| 5 | W. Coulibaly | 6 |
| # | Liberia | Shots | Mali | Shots |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | E. Ledlum | 5 | L. Sinayoko | 12 |
| 2 | K. Sherman | 3 | D. Nene | 11 |
| 3 | S. Nimely | 2 | M. Sangaré | 11 |
| 4 | A. Kosiah | 1 | K. Doumbia | 5 |
| 5 | S. Teclar | 1 | M. Doumbia | 5 |
| # | Liberia | Shots on target | Mali | Shots on target |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | E. Ledlum | 2 | L. Sinayoko | 6 |
| 2 | K. Sherman | 1 | D. Nene | 5 |
| 3 | S. Nimely | 1 | A. Diaby | 1 |
| 4 | L. Coulibaly | 1 | ||
| 5 | E. Touré | 1 |
| # | Liberia | Goals | Mali | Goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | S. Nimely | 1 | L. Sinayoko | 5 |
| 2 | D. Nene | 3 | ||
| 3 | G. Diarra | 1 | ||
| 4 | M. Tia | 1 |
| # | Liberia | Yellow cards | Mali | Yellow cards |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | P. Tarnue | 1 | D. Diarra | 1 |
| 2 | A. Kosiah | 1 | I. Cissé | 1 |
| Stat | Per game | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for | 1 | 32 of 58 |
| Goals against | 1.2 | 32 of 58 |
| Shots | 6.9 | 36 of 58 |
| Shots on target | 2.8 | 33 of 58 |
| Fouls | 12.4 | 28 of 58 |
| Passes | 1 | 26 of 58 |
| Corners | 4.3 | 28 of 58 |
| Stat | Per game | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for | 2.1 | 11 of 58 |
| Goals against | 0.6 | 12 of 58 |
| Shots | 11.1 | 7 of 58 |
| Shots on target | 4.7 | 9 of 58 |
| Fouls | 13.6 | 13 of 58 |
| Passes | 1 | 32 of 58 |
| Corners | 6 | 8 of 58 |