Zambia host Togo at Levy Mwanawasa Stadium, Ndola on 29 September 2026 at 17:00 in the Africa Cup of Nations Qualifications. Zambia's last five results: L D L L L (1 draw and 4 losses). Togo's last five: D W D W W (3 wins and 2 draws).
Zambia vs Togo kicks off at 17:00 UK time on Tuesday 29 September 2026 in the Africa Cup of Nations Qualifications, at Levy Mwanawasa Stadium, Ndola.
Zambia vs Togo is being played at Levy Mwanawasa Stadium in Ndola, the home ground of Zambia.
Zambia's last five results read L D L L L (oldest to newest): 1 draw and 4 losses.
Togo's last five results read D W D W W (oldest to newest): 3 wins and 2 draws.
Dominic Chanda leads Zambia with 4 shots across their last 10 games.
K. Laba leads Togo with 1 shots across their last 10 games.
Mahmood Ali Mahmood Ismail is the referee for Zambia vs Togo, averaging 27.0 fouls and 3.6 yellow cards per game this season.
Statz's predicted starting XIs for Zambia and Togo are on the Lineups tab of this page, and update to the confirmed teams around an hour before kick-off.
Statz's projection model makes Zambia the favourite with a 44% chance of winning, against 26% for Togo and 31% for the draw. Projected goals are Zambia 1.2 - 0.8 Togo.
The most likely scoreline is 1-0, a Zambia win, at 16%. Both teams to score is 38% likely and over 2.5 goals 31%. Every scoreline's chance is on the Projections tab of this page.
Statz AI projects goals, shots, fouls, cards and more for every player and both teams in the Projections tab, and the Bets tab prices the best bet builder picks against bet365.
Statz's projection model expects Zambia 1.2 - 0.8 Togo in goals. It gives Zambia a 44% chance of winning, the draw 31% and Togo 26%. Both teams to score is 38% likely, over 1.5 goals 58% and over 2.5 goals 31%. The most likely scorelines are 1-0 (16%), 0-0 (14%), 1-1 (13%), 0-1 (11%), 2-0 (9%).
| Score | Result | Chance |
|---|---|---|
| 1-0 | Zambia win | 16% |
| 0-0 | Draw | 14% |
| 1-1 | Draw | 13% |
| 0-1 | Togo win | 11% |
| 2-0 | Zambia win | 9% |
Statz's predicted starting XIs for Zambia vs Togo, updated to the confirmed teams around an hour before kick-off.
| # | Zambia | Fouls committed | Togo | Fouls committed |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | O. Tembo | 8 | A. Bode | 3 |
| 2 | M. Banda | 6 | J. Claude | 3 |
| 3 | D. Simukonda | 6 | K. Komlavi | 2 |
| 4 | D. Hamansenya | 6 | ||
| 5 | L. Musonda | 5 |
| # | Zambia | Shots | Togo | Shots |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | D. Chanda | 4 | K. Laba | 1 |
| 2 | L. Musonda | 2 | K. Komlavi | 1 |
| 3 | D. Simukonda | 2 | ||
| 4 | A. Kangwanda | 2 | ||
| 5 | O. Tembo | 1 |
| # | Zambia | Shots on target | Togo | Shots on target |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | D. Chanda | 1 | K. Komlavi | 1 |
| 2 | G. Lungu | 1 |
| # | Zambia | Goals | Togo | Goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | P. Daka | 1 | S. Fofana | 1 |
| 2 | J. Sabobo | 1 | K. Dermane | 1 |
| 3 | F. Sakala | 1 |
| # | Zambia | Yellow cards | Togo | Yellow cards |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | K. Chongo | 2 | S. Mensah | 1 |
| 2 | O. Tembo | 2 | Y. Annor | 1 |
| 3 | D. Simukonda | 1 | ||
| 4 | J. Lahne | 1 | ||
| 5 | D. Chanda | 1 |
| Stat | Per game | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for | 1 | 34 of 58 |
| Goals against | 1.3 | 34 of 58 |
| Shots | 11 | 11 of 58 |
| Shots on target | 3.7 | 19 of 58 |
| Fouls | 13.7 | 12 of 58 |
| Tackles | 9 | 10 of 58 |
| Passes | 243 | 4 of 58 |
| Corners | 5.6 | 13 of 58 |
| Stat | Per game | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for | 0.6 | 44 of 58 |
| Goals against | 1 | 24 of 58 |
| Shots | 8.3 | 21 of 58 |
| Shots on target | 4.1 | 15 of 58 |
| Fouls | 10.9 | 40 of 58 |
| Passes | 1 | 28 of 58 |
| Corners | 6 | 7 of 58 |