No, Göztepe have taken 23 points over their last 20 Super Lig games, 11.17 fewer than the 34.17 expected points (xPts) their chances were worth, so their performances deserve better than their results.
Göztepe create 1.93 expected goals (xG) per game over their last 20 Super Lig games, 38.51 in all, and have scored 32 goals from those chances, 6.51 fewer than that xG would expect.
Göztepe allow 1.43 expected goals against (xGA) per game over their last 20 Super Lig games, 28.59 in all, and have conceded 36 goals from those chances, 7.41 more than that xGA would expect.
Juan has the most expected goals (xG) for Göztepe over their last 20 Super Lig games, 8.96 xG in 20 appearances, and has scored 10 goals; Janderson is next with 4.06 xG.
Göztepe have taken 11.2 points fewer than their chances warranted over 20 games: -6.5 goals against their xG, and -7.4 on the goals their xGA expected them to concede. The performances are better than the results, which is the side of this table where prices tend to be generous.
| Window | Games | xG | Goals | Goals minus xG | xGA | Conceded | xGA minus conceded | xPts | Points | Points minus xPts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 20 | 20 | 38.51 | 32 | -6.51 | 28.59 | 36 | -7.41 | 34.17 | 23 | -11.17 |
| Last 10 | 10 | 19.74 | 19 | -0.74 | 17.64 | 20 | -2.36 | 15.24 | 12 | -3.24 |
| Last 5 | 5 | 12.26 | 12 | -0.26 | 6.81 | 9 | -2.19 | 9.63 | 8 | -1.63 |
| Home | 9 | 19.11 | 14 | -5.11 | 8.62 | 16 | -7.38 | 18.88 | 10 | -8.88 |
| Away | 11 | 19.40 | 18 | -1.40 | 19.97 | 20 | -0.03 | 15.29 | 13 | -2.29 |
| Date | Competition | Opponent | Score | xG | xGA | xPts | Points | Deserved result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Oct | Super Lig | Kocaelispor (A) | 1-2 | 1.12 | 1.50 | 1.11 | 3 | L |
| 12 Oct | Super Lig | Eyüpspor (A) | 0-4 | 3.34 | 0.76 | 2.64 | 3 | W |
| 20 Sep | Super Lig | Rizespor (H) | 2-2 | 2.68 | 0.90 | 2.39 | 1 | W |
| 12 Sep | Super Lig | Alanyaspor (A) | 2-2 | 1.81 | 2.19 | 1.18 | 1 | L |
| 7 Sep | Super Lig | Gaziantep (H) | 2-4 | 3.31 | 1.46 | 2.31 | 0 | W |
| 29 Aug | Super Lig | Galatasaray (A) | 3-2 | 0.63 | 3.27 | 0.21 | 0 | L |
| 23 Aug | Super Lig | Gençler (H) | 0-1 | 1.68 | 1.46 | 1.53 | 0 | W |
| 17 Aug | Super Lig | Samsunspor (A) | 3-3 | 1.17 | 3.07 | 0.47 | 1 | L |
| 16 May | Super Lig | Samsunspor (A) | 3-0 | 2.44 | 2.07 | 1.61 | 0 | W |
| 9 May | Super Lig | Gaziantep (H) | 2-1 | 1.56 | 0.96 | 1.79 | 3 | W |
| 2 May | Super Lig | Trabzonspor (A) | 1-1 | 1.72 | 1.04 | 1.84 | 1 | W |
| 25 Apr | Super Lig | Antalyaspor (H) | 2-0 | 1.86 | 1.21 | 1.80 | 3 | W |
| 18 Apr | Super Lig | Kocaelispor (A) | 1-1 | 0.77 | 3.21 | 0.27 | 1 | L |
| 12 Apr | Super Lig | Kasımpaşa (H) | 3-3 | 2.52 | 0.74 | 2.43 | 1 | W |
| 8 Apr | Super Lig | Galatasaray (H) | 1-3 | 1.75 | 1.04 | 1.86 | 0 | W |
| 4 Apr | Super Lig | Gençler (A) | 0-2 | 2.21 | 0.98 | 2.15 | 3 | W |
| 14 Mar | Super Lig | Alanyaspor (H) | 2-2 | 2.22 | 0.67 | 2.36 | 1 | W |
| 7 Mar | Super Lig | Başakşehir (A) | 2-1 | 3.21 | 0.57 | 2.69 | 0 | W |
| 28 Feb | Super Lig | Eyüpspor (H) | 0-0 | 1.53 | 0.18 | 2.41 | 1 | W |
| 22 Feb | Super Lig | Beşiktaş (A) | 4-0 | 0.98 | 1.31 | 1.12 | 0 | L |
| Player | Position | Apps | Minutes | xG | Goals | Goals minus xG | xG per 90 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Juan | attacker | 20 | 1484 | 8.96 | 10 | +1.04 | 0.54 |
| Efkan Bekiroğlu | midfielder | 13 | 419 | 1.30 | 2 | +0.70 | 0.28 |
| Arda Okan Kurtulan | midfielder | 19 | 1538 | 1.47 | 2 | +0.53 | 0.09 |
| Alex Matos | midfielder | 6 | 264 | 0.57 | 1 | +0.43 | 0.19 |
| Rhaldney | midfielder | 8 | 588 | 0.59 | 1 | +0.41 | 0.09 |
| Sinclair Armstrong | attacker | 8 | 207 | 0.73 | 1 | +0.27 | 0.32 |
| André Henrique | attacker | 8 | 528 | 3.37 | 3 | -0.37 | 0.58 |
| Amin Cherni | midfielder | 13 | 1144 | 0.57 | 0 | -0.57 | 0.05 |
| Ege Yildirim | defender | 8 | 460 | 0.57 | 0 | -0.57 | 0.11 |
| Novatus Miroshi | midfielder | 17 | 1491 | 3.65 | 3 | -0.65 | 0.22 |
| Filip Krastev | midfielder | 9 | 331 | 0.65 | 0 | -0.65 | 0.18 |
| Taha Altıkardeş | defender | 15 | 1099 | 0.88 | 0 | -0.88 | 0.07 |
| Alexis Antunes | midfielder | 18 | 1007 | 2.05 | 1 | -1.05 | 0.18 |
| Malcom Bokele | defender | 17 | 1529 | 3.29 | 2 | -1.29 | 0.19 |
| Héliton | defender | 11 | 981 | 1.29 | 0 | -1.29 | 0.12 |
| Jeh | attacker | 12 | 399 | 3.30 | 2 | -1.30 | 0.74 |
| Janderson | attacker | 19 | 1145 | 4.06 | 2 | -2.06 | 0.32 |
| # | Team | MP | xG | Goals | xGA | Conceded | xPts | Points | Points minus xPts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Alanyaspor | 8 | 9.1 | 8 | 14.4 | 9 | 8.3 | 12 | +3.7 |
| 2 | Kocaelispor | 8 | 9 | 9 | 13.8 | 8 | 8.5 | 12 | +3.5 |
| 3 | Trabzonspor | 7 | 11.2 | 16 | 11.1 | 5 | 9.6 | 13 | +3.4 |
| 4 | Galatasaray | 8 | 17.1 | 17 | 7.9 | 11 | 16.1 | 19 | +2.9 |
| 5 | Erzurumspor FK | 8 | 6.4 | 5 | 10.2 | 11 | 8.3 | 11 | +2.7 |
| 6 | Kasımpaşa | 8 | 9.6 | 12 | 10.6 | 9 | 10.5 | 13 | +2.5 |
| 7 | Amed SK | 8 | 13.8 | 18 | 7.1 | 9 | 14.8 | 17 | +2.2 |
| 8 | Çorum FK | 8 | 10 | 18 | 11 | 13 | 11.5 | 13 | +1.5 |
| 9 | Gençlerbirliği | 8 | 8.8 | 7 | 16.8 | 16 | 7 | 8 | +1 |
| 10 | Beşiktaş | 7 | 12.8 | 16 | 5 | 8 | 14.5 | 15 | +0.5 |
| 11 | Fenerbahçe | 8 | 20.1 | 22 | 7.9 | 6 | 16.4 | 16 | -0.4 |
| 12 | İstanbul Başakşehir | 8 | 12.9 | 12 | 11.9 | 12 | 12 | 11 | -1 |
| 13 | Gaziantep F.K. | 8 | 9.3 | 8 | 13.1 | 12 | 9 | 8 | -1 |
| 14 | Rizespor | 8 | 10.1 | 8 | 10.3 | 11 | 11.1 | 10 | -1.1 |
| 15 | Göztepe | 8 | 15.7 | 17 | 14.6 | 16 | 11.8 | 9 | -2.8 |
| 16 | Eyüpspor | 8 | 6.5 | 2 | 14.8 | 22 | 7 | 3 | -4 |
| 17 | Konyaspor | 8 | 8.1 | 4 | 9.8 | 9 | 9.7 | 5 | -4.7 |
| 18 | Samsunspor | 8 | 10.7 | 7 | 10.8 | 19 | 10.5 | 4 | -6.5 |