Yes, Kasımpaşa have taken 29 points over their last 20 Super Lig games, 3.35 more than the 25.65 expected points (xPts) their chances were worth, so their results are running ahead of their performances.
Kasımpaşa create 1.16 expected goals (xG) per game over their last 20 Super Lig games, 23.20 in all, and have scored 26 goals from those chances, 2.80 more than that xG would expect.
Kasımpaşa allow 1.34 expected goals against (xGA) per game over their last 20 Super Lig games, 26.89 in all, and have conceded 27 goals from those chances, 0.11 more than that xGA would expect.
Adrian Benedyczak has the most expected goals (xG) for Kasımpaşa over their last 20 Super Lig games, 9.62 xG in 20 appearances, and has scored 14 goals; İrfan Can Kahveci is next with 1.68 xG.
Kasımpaşa have taken 3.4 points more than their chances warranted over 20 games: +2.8 goals against their xG, and -0.1 on the goals their xGA expected them to concede. Finishing and goalkeeping at that level rarely hold, so the table is the optimistic reading of this side.
| Window | Games | xG | Goals | Goals minus xG | xGA | Conceded | xGA minus conceded | xPts | Points | Points minus xPts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 20 | 20 | 23.20 | 26 | +2.80 | 26.89 | 27 | -0.11 | 25.65 | 29 | +3.35 |
| Last 10 | 10 | 12.85 | 15 | +2.15 | 13.19 | 12 | +1.19 | 13.65 | 16 | +2.35 |
| Last 5 | 5 | 6.41 | 9 | +2.59 | 7.71 | 7 | +0.71 | 6.24 | 8 | +1.76 |
| Home | 10 | 11.94 | 13 | +1.06 | 8.83 | 8 | +0.83 | 15.80 | 19 | +3.20 |
| Away | 10 | 11.26 | 13 | +1.74 | 18.06 | 19 | -0.94 | 9.85 | 10 | +0.15 |
| Date | Competition | Opponent | Score | xG | xGA | xPts | Points | Deserved result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Oct | Super Lig | Samsunspor (H) | 4-1 | 2.16 | 1.46 | 1.82 | 3 | W |
| 9 Oct | Super Lig | Galatasaray (A) | 3-1 | 0.49 | 2.62 | 0.27 | 0 | L |
| 18 Sep | Super Lig | Konyaspor (H) | 0-0 | 0.79 | 0.98 | 1.18 | 1 | L |
| 13 Sep | Super Lig | Gençler (A) | 1-2 | 1.65 | 1.55 | 1.45 | 3 | W |
| 6 Sep | Super Lig | Amed SK (H) | 2-2 | 1.32 | 1.10 | 1.52 | 1 | W |
| 30 Aug | Super Lig | Başakşehir (A) | 1-1 | 1.43 | 0.62 | 1.97 | 1 | W |
| 22 Aug | Super Lig | Çorum FK (A) | 0-1 | 0.38 | 1.29 | 0.62 | 3 | L |
| 15 Aug | Super Lig | Trabzonspor (H) | 1-1 | 1.50 | 0.95 | 1.76 | 1 | W |
| 17 May | Super Lig | Galatasaray (H) | 1-0 | 0.83 | 0.65 | 1.47 | 3 | W |
| 9 May | Super Lig | Gençler (A) | 3-2 | 2.30 | 1.97 | 1.59 | 0 | W |
| 3 May | Super Lig | Kocaelispor (H) | 1-1 | 1.33 | 0.70 | 1.84 | 1 | W |
| 24 Apr | Super Lig | Başakşehir (A) | 4-0 | 0.30 | 2.17 | 0.27 | 0 | L |
| 19 Apr | Super Lig | Alanyaspor (H) | 1-0 | 1.34 | 0.25 | 2.24 | 3 | W |
| 12 Apr | Super Lig | Göztepe (A) | 3-3 | 0.74 | 2.52 | 0.42 | 1 | L |
| 4 Apr | Super Lig | Kayserispor (H) | 2-0 | 1.40 | 0.31 | 2.22 | 3 | W |
| 19 Mar | Super Lig | Beşiktaş (A) | 2-1 | 1.25 | 1.38 | 1.28 | 0 | L |
| 15 Mar | Super Lig | Eyüpspor (H) | 1-0 | 0.48 | 1.13 | 0.79 | 3 | L |
| 8 Mar | Super Lig | Konyaspor (A) | 1-1 | 1.95 | 2.28 | 1.22 | 1 | L |
| 28 Feb | Super Lig | Rizespor (H) | 0-3 | 0.79 | 1.30 | 0.96 | 0 | L |
| 23 Feb | Super Lig | Fenerbahçe (A) | 1-1 | 0.77 | 1.66 | 0.76 | 1 | L |
| Player | Position | Apps | Minutes | xG | Goals | Goals minus xG | xG per 90 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Adrian Benedyczak | attacker | 20 | 1655 | 9.62 | 14 | +4.38 | 0.52 |
| Adem Arous | defender | 18 | 1406 | 0.55 | 2 | +1.45 | 0.03 |
| Güven Yalçın | attacker | 8 | 461 | 0.58 | 2 | +1.42 | 0.11 |
| Jesurun Rak-Sakyi | attacker | 4 | 187 | 0.15 | 1 | +0.85 | 0.07 |
| Mortadha Ben Ouanes | attacker | 11 | 858 | 0.43 | 1 | +0.57 | 0.04 |
| Andreas Gianniotis | goalkeeper | 19 | 1710 | 0.94 | 1 | +0.06 | 0.05 |
| Fousseni Diabaté | attacker | 15 | 1228 | 1.01 | 1 | -0.01 | 0.07 |
| Jim Allevinah | attacker | 5 | 152 | 1.16 | 1 | -0.16 | 0.68 |
| Cláudio Winck | defender | 17 | 1525 | 1.53 | 1 | -0.53 | 0.09 |
| İrfan Can Kahveci | attacker | 11 | 978 | 1.68 | 1 | -0.68 | 0.15 |
| Elson Mendes Da Silva | midfielder | 8 | 567 | 0.82 | 0 | -0.82 | 0.13 |
| Kerem Demirbay | midfielder | 14 | 1013 | 0.99 | 0 | -0.99 | 0.09 |
| Pape Habib Guèye | attacker | 6 | 142 | 1.06 | 0 | -1.06 | 0.67 |
| Ali Yavuz Kol | attacker | 12 | 521 | 1.08 | 0 | -1.08 | 0.19 |
| # | Team | MP | xG | Goals | xGA | Conceded | xPts | Points | Points minus xPts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Alanyaspor | 8 | 9.1 | 8 | 14.4 | 9 | 8.4 | 12 | +3.6 |
| 2 | Kocaelispor | 8 | 9 | 9 | 13.8 | 8 | 8.5 | 12 | +3.5 |
| 3 | Trabzonspor | 7 | 11.2 | 16 | 11.1 | 5 | 9.6 | 13 | +3.4 |
| 4 | Galatasaray | 8 | 17.1 | 17 | 7.9 | 11 | 16.2 | 19 | +2.8 |
| 5 | Erzurumspor FK | 8 | 6.4 | 5 | 10.2 | 11 | 8.3 | 11 | +2.7 |
| 6 | Kasımpaşa | 8 | 9.7 | 12 | 10.6 | 9 | 10.6 | 13 | +2.4 |
| 7 | Amed SK | 8 | 13.8 | 18 | 7.1 | 9 | 14.8 | 17 | +2.2 |
| 8 | Çorum FK | 8 | 10 | 18 | 11 | 13 | 11.5 | 13 | +1.5 |
| 9 | Gençlerbirliği | 8 | 8.8 | 7 | 16.8 | 16 | 7 | 8 | +1 |
| 10 | Beşiktaş | 7 | 12.8 | 16 | 5 | 8 | 14.5 | 15 | +0.5 |
| 11 | Gaziantep F.K. | 7 | 7.7 | 7 | 11.3 | 10 | 7.7 | 8 | +0.3 |
| 12 | Fenerbahçe | 8 | 20.1 | 22 | 7.9 | 6 | 16.4 | 16 | -0.4 |
| 13 | Rizespor | 8 | 10.1 | 8 | 10.3 | 11 | 11.1 | 10 | -1.1 |
| 14 | İstanbul Başakşehir | 7 | 11.1 | 10 | 10.3 | 11 | 10.5 | 8 | -2.5 |
| 15 | Göztepe | 8 | 15.7 | 17 | 14.6 | 16 | 11.8 | 9 | -2.8 |
| 16 | Eyüpspor | 8 | 6.5 | 2 | 14.8 | 22 | 7 | 3 | -4 |
| 17 | Konyaspor | 8 | 8.1 | 4 | 9.8 | 9 | 9.7 | 5 | -4.7 |
| 18 | Samsunspor | 8 | 10.7 | 7 | 10.9 | 19 | 10.4 | 4 | -6.4 |