Yes, Brunei Darussalam have taken 6 points over their last 7 Asian Cup Qualification games, 2.57 more than the 3.43 expected points (xPts) their chances were worth, so their results are running ahead of their performances.
Brunei Darussalam create 0.32 expected goals (xG) per game over their last 7 Asian Cup Qualification games, 2.25 in all, and have scored 4 goals from those chances, 1.75 more than that xG would expect.
Brunei Darussalam allow 2.38 expected goals against (xGA) per game over their last 7 Asian Cup Qualification games, 16.63 in all, and have conceded 22 goals from those chances, 5.37 more than that xGA would expect.
Brunei Darussalam have taken 2.6 points more than their chances warranted over 7 games: +1.8 goals against their xG, and -5.4 on the goals their xGA expected them to concede. Finishing and goalkeeping at that level rarely hold, so the table is the optimistic reading of this side.
| Window | Games | xG | Goals | Goals minus xG | xGA | Conceded | xGA minus conceded | xPts | Points | Points minus xPts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 7 | 7 | 2.25 | 4 | +1.75 | 16.63 | 22 | -5.37 | 3.43 | 6 | +2.57 |
| Last 5 | 5 | 1.36 | 3 | +1.64 | 13.91 | 17 | -3.09 | 1.80 | 3 | +1.20 |
| Home | 3 | 0.91 | 2 | +1.09 | 8.33 | 6 | +2.33 | 1.12 | 3 | +1.88 |
| Away | 4 | 1.34 | 2 | +0.66 | 8.30 | 16 | -7.70 | 2.31 | 3 | +0.69 |
| Date | Competition | Opponent | Score | xG | xGA | xPts | Points | Deserved result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Mar | Asian Cup Qualification | Bhutan (A) | 2-1 | 0.37 | 1.18 | 0.66 | 0 | L |
| 18 Nov | Asian Cup Qualification | Lebanon (H) | 0-3 | 0.07 | 2.29 | 0.13 | 0 | L |
| 14 Oct | Asian Cup Qualification | Yemen (A) | 9-0 | 0.08 | 4.40 | 0.02 | 0 | L |
| 9 Oct | Asian Cup Qualification | Yemen (H) | 0-2 | 0.08 | 4.80 | 0.01 | 0 | L |
| 10 Jun | Asian Cup Qualification | Bhutan (H) | 2-1 | 0.76 | 1.24 | 0.98 | 3 | L |
| 25 Mar | Asian Cup Qualification | Lebanon (A) | 5-0 | 0.17 | 2.14 | 0.20 | 0 | L |
| 10 Sep | Asian Cup Qualification | Macao (A) | 0-1 | 0.72 | 0.58 | 1.43 | 3 | D |
| Player | Position | Apps | Minutes | xG | Goals | Goals minus xG | xG per 90 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Azwan Ali Rahman | midfielder | 4 | 296 | 0.00 | 1 | +1.00 | 0.00 |
| Nazirrudin Ismail | attacker | 6 | 481 | 0.00 | 1 | +1.00 | 0.00 |
| Hakeme Yazid | attacker | 3 | 270 | 0.00 | 1 | +1.00 | 0.00 |
| # | Team | MP | xG | Goals | xGA | Conceded | xPts | Points | Points minus xPts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Singapore | 6 | 7.7 | 8 | 7 | 4 | 8.4 | 14 | +5.6 |
| 2 | Myanmar | 6 | 7.3 | 8 | 8.5 | 11 | 7.4 | 12 | +4.6 |
| 3 | Turkmenistan | 6 | 6.7 | 11 | 6.5 | 7 | 8.4 | 12 | +3.6 |
| 4 | Vietnam | 5 | 11.8 | 14 | 2.4 | 2 | 12.2 | 15 | +2.8 |
| 5 | Brunei Darussalam | 7 | 2.3 | 4 | 16.6 | 22 | 3.4 | 6 | +2.6 |
| 6 | Syria | 6 | 15.9 | 21 | 1.7 | 2 | 15.9 | 18 | +2.1 |
| 7 | Tajikistan | 6 | 10 | 14 | 3.4 | 3 | 12.1 | 14 | +1.9 |
| 8 | Lebanon | 5 | 9 | 14 | 2 | 0 | 11.2 | 13 | +1.8 |
| 9 | Thailand | 6 | 11.1 | 16 | 3.1 | 5 | 13.3 | 15 | +1.7 |
| 10 | Cambodia | 2 | 0.9 | 2 | 4.7 | 2 | 0.7 | 2 | +1.3 |
| 11 | Philippines | 6 | 10.7 | 16 | 2.8 | 6 | 13.4 | 14 | +0.6 |
| 12 | Laos | 5 | 2.1 | 2 | 13.4 | 15 | 2.4 | 3 | +0.6 |
| 13 | Mongolia | 2 | 2.6 | 3 | 2.2 | 4 | 2.9 | 3 | +0.1 |
| 14 | Hong Kong | 6 | 6.6 | 8 | 6 | 8 | 8.5 | 8 | -0.5 |
| 15 | East Timor | 8 | 7 | 8 | 14.1 | 18 | 6.6 | 6 | -0.6 |
| 16 | Sri Lanka | 8 | 9.2 | 10 | 7.7 | 11 | 11.8 | 11 | -0.8 |
| 17 | Bhutan | 6 | 3.8 | 4 | 11.6 | 16 | 4.9 | 4 | -0.9 |
| 18 | Maldives | 6 | 4.7 | 3 | 12.5 | 13 | 4.1 | 3 | -1.1 |
| 19 | Nepal | 4 | 1 | 1 | 8.7 | 6 | 1.1 | 0 | -1.1 |
| 20 | Malaysia | 4 | 11 | 10 | 1.4 | 4 | 10.2 | 9 | -1.2 |
| 21 | Macao | 1 | 0.6 | 0 | 0.7 | 1 | 1.2 | 0 | -1.2 |
| 22 | Yemen | 5 | 16.4 | 18 | 1 | 1 | 12.5 | 11 | -1.5 |
| 23 | Bangladesh | 6 | 5.6 | 6 | 7.4 | 8 | 6.9 | 5 | -1.9 |
| 24 | Pakistan | 6 | 4 | 2 | 13.6 | 11 | 4.4 | 2 | -2.4 |
| 25 | India | 6 | 7.3 | 4 | 6.8 | 6 | 8.7 | 5 | -3.7 |
| 26 | Afghanistan | 6 | 4 | 4 | 7.3 | 11 | 5.9 | 2 | -3.9 |
| 27 | Chinese Taipei | 6 | 2.6 | 5 | 8.6 | 19 | 4.2 | 0 | -4.2 |