Too early to say: Bangladesh have 4 points over their last 3 Friendly International games against 3.82 expected points (xPts), and 3 games is not enough for the gap between results and chances to mean anything.
Bangladesh create 1.29 expected goals (xG) per game over their last 3 Friendly International games, 3.87 in all, and have scored 4 goals from those chances, 0.13 more than that xG would expect.
Bangladesh allow 1.48 expected goals against (xGA) per game over their last 3 Friendly International games, 4.44 in all, and have conceded 5 goals from those chances, 0.56 more than that xGA would expect.
3 tracked games is not enough for the gap between results and chances to mean anything. The numbers below are real, the verdict is not yet.
| Window | Games | xG | Goals | Goals minus xG | xGA | Conceded | xGA minus conceded | xPts | Points | Points minus xPts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 3 | 3 | 3.87 | 4 | +0.13 | 4.44 | 5 | -0.56 | 3.82 | 4 | +0.18 |
| Home | 2 | 2.82 | 4 | +1.18 | 2.36 | 2 | +0.36 | 3.06 | 4 | +0.94 |
| Away | 1 | 1.05 | 0 | -1.05 | 2.08 | 3 | -0.92 | 0.76 | 0 | -0.76 |
| Date | Competition | Opponent | Score | xG | xGA | xPts | Points | Deserved result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Mar | Friendly International | Vietnam (A) | 3-0 | 1.05 | 2.08 | 0.76 | 0 | L |
| 13 Nov | Friendly International | Nepal (H) | 2-2 | 1.28 | 1.23 | 1.40 | 1 | W |
| 4 Jun | Friendly International | Bhutan (H) | 2-0 | 1.54 | 1.13 | 1.66 | 3 | W |