Too early to say: Tajikistan have 4 points over their last 3 AFC Asian Cup games against 2.74 expected points (xPts), and 3 games is not enough for the gap between results and chances to mean anything.
Tajikistan create 0.55 expected goals (xG) per game over their last 3 AFC Asian Cup games, 1.64 in all, and have scored 2 goals from those chances, 0.36 more than that xG would expect.
Tajikistan allow 1.24 expected goals against (xGA) per game over their last 3 AFC Asian Cup games, 3.73 in all, and have conceded 2 goals from those chances, 1.73 fewer than that xGA would expect.
3 tracked games is not enough for the gap between results and chances to mean anything. The numbers below are real, the verdict is not yet.
| Window | Games | xG | Goals | Goals minus xG | xGA | Conceded | xGA minus conceded | xPts | Points | Points minus xPts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 3 | 3 | 1.64 | 2 | +0.36 | 3.73 | 2 | +1.73 | 2.74 | 4 | +1.26 |
| Home | 2 | 0.77 | 2 | +1.23 | 3.21 | 2 | +1.21 | 1.11 | 3 | +1.89 |
| Away | 1 | 0.87 | 0 | -0.87 | 0.52 | 0 | +0.52 | 1.63 | 1 | -0.63 |
| Date | Competition | Opponent | Score | xG | xGA | xPts | Points | Deserved result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jan | AFC Asian Cup | Lebanon (H) | 2-1 | 0.61 | 1.15 | 0.90 | 3 | L |
| 17 Jan | AFC Asian Cup | Qatar (H) | 0-1 | 0.16 | 2.06 | 0.21 | 0 | L |
| 13 Jan | AFC Asian Cup | China PR (A) | 0-0 | 0.87 | 0.52 | 1.63 | 1 | W |
| Player | Position | Apps | Minutes | xG | Goals | Goals minus xG | xG per 90 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Parvizdzhon Umarbaev | midfielder | 3 | 262 | 0.00 | 1 | +1.00 | 0.00 |