East Timor xG 2026

East Timor xG Questions

Are East Timor overperforming their xG?

No, East Timor have taken 6 points over their last 8 Asian Cup Qualification games, within 0.59 of the 6.59 expected points (xPts) their chances were worth, so their results match their performances.

What is East Timor's xG per game?

East Timor create 0.88 expected goals (xG) per game over their last 8 Asian Cup Qualification games, 7.00 in all, and have scored 8 goals from those chances, 1.00 more than that xG would expect.

What is East Timor's xGA per game?

East Timor allow 1.77 expected goals against (xGA) per game over their last 8 Asian Cup Qualification games, 14.12 in all, and have conceded 18 goals from those chances, 3.88 more than that xGA would expect.

East Timor expected goals 2026: last 8

Games: 8
Expected goals (xG): 7.00
Goals scored: 8
Goals minus xG: +1.00
Expected goals against (xGA): 14.12
Goals conceded: 18
xGA minus goals conceded: -3.88
Expected points (xPts): 6.59
Points: 6
Points minus xPts: -0.59
Verdict: In line with expected goals

Are East Timor overperforming their expected goals?

East Timor's results and their chances agree, within 0.6 points of xPts over 8 games. There is no regression case either way. What the table says is roughly what they have earned.

East Timor results against expected goals by form window and venue

Window	Games	xG	Goals	Goals minus xG	xGA	Conceded	xGA minus conceded	xPts	Points	Points minus xPts
Last 8	8	7.00	8	+1.00	14.12	18	-3.88	6.59	6	-0.59
Last 5	5	4.72	4	-0.72	10.63	14	-3.37	3.56	3	-0.56
Home	4	4.59	6	+1.41	6.37	10	-3.63	4.46	6	+1.54
Away	4	2.41	2	-0.41	7.75	8	-0.25	2.13	0	-2.13

East Timor expected goals match by match, last 8

Date	Competition	Opponent	Score	xG	xGA	xPts	Points	Deserved result
31 Mar	Asian Cup Qualification	Maldives (A)	2-1	0.46	2.61	0.26	0	L
18 Nov	Asian Cup Qualification	Tajikistan (H)	0-5	0.12	2.62	0.12	0	L
14 Oct	Asian Cup Qualification	Philippines (A)	3-1	0.48	2.24	0.35	0	L
9 Oct	Asian Cup Qualification	Philippines (H)	1-4	0.11	2.48	0.13	0	L
10 Jun	Asian Cup Qualification	Maldives (H)	1-0	3.55	0.68	2.70	3	W
25 Mar	Asian Cup Qualification	Tajikistan (A)	1-0	0.10	0.94	0.50	0	L
10 Sep	Asian Cup Qualification	Mongolia (A)	2-0	1.37	1.96	1.02	0	L
5 Sep	Asian Cup Qualification	Mongolia (H)	4-1	0.81	0.59	1.51	3	D

East Timor players: goals against expected goals, last 8

Player	Position	Apps	Minutes	xG	Goals	Goals minus xG	xG per 90
João Pedro	attacker	7	409	0.00	1	+1.00	0.00
Gali Freitas	attacker	4	319	0.00	1	+1.00	0.00

Asian Cup Qualification 2026: every team's points against expected points

#	Team	MP	xG	Goals	xGA	Conceded	xPts	Points	Points minus xPts
1	Singapore	6	7.7	8	7	4	8.4	14	+5.6
2	Myanmar	6	7.3	8	8.5	11	7.4	12	+4.6
3	Turkmenistan	6	6.7	11	6.5	7	8.4	12	+3.6
4	Vietnam	5	11.8	14	2.4	2	12.2	15	+2.8
5	Brunei Darussalam	7	2.3	4	16.6	22	3.4	6	+2.6
6	Syria	6	15.9	21	1.7	2	15.9	18	+2.1
7	Tajikistan	6	10	14	3.4	3	12.1	14	+1.9
8	Lebanon	5	9	14	2	0	11.2	13	+1.8
9	Thailand	6	11.1	16	3.1	5	13.3	15	+1.7
10	Cambodia	2	0.9	2	4.7	2	0.7	2	+1.3
11	Philippines	6	10.7	16	2.8	6	13.4	14	+0.6
12	Laos	5	2.1	2	13.4	15	2.4	3	+0.6
13	Mongolia	2	2.6	3	2.2	4	2.9	3	+0.1
14	Hong Kong	6	6.6	8	6	8	8.5	8	-0.5
15	East Timor	8	7	8	14.1	18	6.6	6	-0.6
16	Sri Lanka	8	9.2	10	7.7	11	11.8	11	-0.8
17	Bhutan	6	3.8	4	11.6	16	4.9	4	-0.9
18	Maldives	6	4.7	3	12.5	13	4.1	3	-1.1
19	Nepal	4	1	1	8.7	6	1.1	0	-1.1
20	Malaysia	4	11	10	1.4	4	10.2	9	-1.2
21	Macao	1	0.6	0	0.7	1	1.2	0	-1.2
22	Yemen	5	16.4	18	1	1	12.5	11	-1.5
23	Bangladesh	6	5.6	6	7.4	8	6.9	5	-1.9
24	Pakistan	6	4	2	13.6	11	4.4	2	-2.4
25	India	6	7.3	4	6.8	6	8.7	5	-3.7
26	Afghanistan	6	4	4	7.3	11	5.9	2	-3.9
27	Chinese Taipei	6	2.6	5	8.6	19	4.2	0	-4.2