No, Laos have taken 3 points over their last 5 Asian Cup Qualification games, within 0.60 of the 2.40 expected points (xPts) their chances were worth, so their results match their performances.
Laos create 0.41 expected goals (xG) per game over their last 5 Asian Cup Qualification games, 2.07 in all, and have scored 2 goals from those chances, 0.07 fewer than that xG would expect.
Laos allow 2.67 expected goals against (xGA) per game over their last 5 Asian Cup Qualification games, 13.36 in all, and have conceded 15 goals from those chances, 1.64 more than that xGA would expect.
Laos's results and their chances agree, within 0.6 points of xPts over 5 games. There is no regression case either way. What the table says is roughly what they have earned.
| Window | Games | xG | Goals | Goals minus xG | xGA | Conceded | xGA minus conceded | xPts | Points | Points minus xPts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 | 5 | 2.07 | 2 | -0.07 | 13.36 | 15 | -1.64 | 2.40 | 3 | +0.60 |
| Home | 2 | 0.18 | 0 | -0.18 | 6.00 | 5 | +1.00 | 0.16 | 0 | -0.16 |
| Away | 3 | 1.89 | 2 | +0.11 | 7.36 | 10 | -2.64 | 2.24 | 3 | +0.76 |
| Date | Competition | Opponent | Score | xG | xGA | xPts | Points | Deserved result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Mar | Asian Cup Qualification | Nepal (A) | 0-1 | 1.52 | 0.56 | 2.08 | 3 | W |
| 19 Nov | Asian Cup Qualification | Vietnam (H) | 0-2 | 0.12 | 2.59 | 0.12 | 0 | L |
| 14 Oct | Asian Cup Qualification | Malaysia (A) | 5-1 | 0.05 | 3.57 | 0.04 | 0 | L |
| 9 Oct | Asian Cup Qualification | Malaysia (H) | 0-3 | 0.06 | 3.41 | 0.04 | 0 | L |
| 25 Mar | Asian Cup Qualification | Vietnam (A) | 5-0 | 0.32 | 3.23 | 0.12 | 0 | L |
| Player | Position | Apps | Minutes | xG | Goals | Goals minus xG | xG per 90 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chanthavixay Khounthoumphone | midfielder | 4 | 320 | 0.00 | 1 | +1.00 | 0.00 |
| Bounphachan Bounkong | midfielder | 5 | 411 | 0.00 | 1 | +1.00 | 0.00 |
| # | Team | MP | xG | Goals | xGA | Conceded | xPts | Points | Points minus xPts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Singapore | 6 | 7.7 | 8 | 7 | 4 | 8.4 | 14 | +5.6 |
| 2 | Myanmar | 6 | 7.3 | 8 | 8.5 | 11 | 7.4 | 12 | +4.6 |
| 3 | Turkmenistan | 6 | 6.7 | 11 | 6.5 | 7 | 8.4 | 12 | +3.6 |
| 4 | Vietnam | 5 | 11.8 | 14 | 2.4 | 2 | 12.2 | 15 | +2.8 |
| 5 | Brunei Darussalam | 7 | 2.3 | 4 | 16.6 | 22 | 3.4 | 6 | +2.6 |
| 6 | Syria | 6 | 15.9 | 21 | 1.7 | 2 | 15.9 | 18 | +2.1 |
| 7 | Tajikistan | 6 | 10 | 14 | 3.4 | 3 | 12.1 | 14 | +1.9 |
| 8 | Lebanon | 5 | 9 | 14 | 2 | 0 | 11.2 | 13 | +1.8 |
| 9 | Thailand | 6 | 11.1 | 16 | 3.1 | 5 | 13.3 | 15 | +1.7 |
| 10 | Cambodia | 2 | 0.9 | 2 | 4.7 | 2 | 0.7 | 2 | +1.3 |
| 11 | Philippines | 6 | 10.7 | 16 | 2.8 | 6 | 13.4 | 14 | +0.6 |
| 12 | Laos | 5 | 2.1 | 2 | 13.4 | 15 | 2.4 | 3 | +0.6 |
| 13 | Mongolia | 2 | 2.6 | 3 | 2.2 | 4 | 2.9 | 3 | +0.1 |
| 14 | Hong Kong | 6 | 6.6 | 8 | 6 | 8 | 8.5 | 8 | -0.5 |
| 15 | East Timor | 8 | 7 | 8 | 14.1 | 18 | 6.6 | 6 | -0.6 |
| 16 | Sri Lanka | 8 | 9.2 | 10 | 7.7 | 11 | 11.8 | 11 | -0.8 |
| 17 | Bhutan | 6 | 3.8 | 4 | 11.6 | 16 | 4.9 | 4 | -0.9 |
| 18 | Maldives | 6 | 4.7 | 3 | 12.5 | 13 | 4.1 | 3 | -1.1 |
| 19 | Nepal | 4 | 1 | 1 | 8.7 | 6 | 1.1 | 0 | -1.1 |
| 20 | Malaysia | 4 | 11 | 10 | 1.4 | 4 | 10.2 | 9 | -1.2 |
| 21 | Macao | 1 | 0.6 | 0 | 0.7 | 1 | 1.2 | 0 | -1.2 |
| 22 | Yemen | 5 | 16.4 | 18 | 1 | 1 | 12.5 | 11 | -1.5 |
| 23 | Bangladesh | 6 | 5.6 | 6 | 7.4 | 8 | 6.9 | 5 | -1.9 |
| 24 | Pakistan | 6 | 4 | 2 | 13.6 | 11 | 4.4 | 2 | -2.4 |
| 25 | India | 6 | 7.3 | 4 | 6.8 | 6 | 8.7 | 5 | -3.7 |
| 26 | Afghanistan | 6 | 4 | 4 | 7.3 | 11 | 5.9 | 2 | -3.9 |
| 27 | Chinese Taipei | 6 | 2.6 | 5 | 8.6 | 19 | 4.2 | 0 | -4.2 |