Updated 5 November 2026.
The FA Cup 1st Round pairs two League Two sides, as York City welcome Northampton Town to the Dwight Yorke Stadium on Saturday 7 November 2026, kick-off 3pm UK. York arrive with a defence that has been leaking goals, while Northampton have won two of their last five.
York were beaten 5-2 at Grimsby on 31 October and 3-1 at Barnet four days before that, so they have shipped eight goals in their last two. Northampton lost 1-0 at home to Oldham on Tuesday 3 November. We lean towards the hosts, who we make 58% to win.
York have lost their last two league games, a 5-2 loss at Grimsby and a 3-1 defeat at Barnet. Before that came a 2-0 home win over Port Vale, a 1-1 draw with Accrington and a 1-1 draw at Newport, which makes one win, two draws and two defeats from five. York's goals have come in ones and twos: two against Port Vale, two at Grimsby and one in each of the other three.
Northampton have won two of their last five, drawn one and lost two. They beat Grimsby 2-0 away on 17 October, lost 1-0 to Tranmere, then won 2-0 against Colchester. Since then it has been a 1-1 draw at Accrington and the 1-0 loss to Oldham on 3 November. They have failed to score in two of those five and conceded three goals across them. Their last two away games were that 1-1 draw at Accrington and the 2-0 win at Grimsby.
York City possible starting lineup:
McNally; Fallowfield, Johnson, Kitching; Jack Hunt, Alex Hunt, Read; Boyes, Grey; Pearce, Stones
Northampton Town possible starting lineup:
Jeacock; Donacien, Moore, Guthrie, Lemonheigh-Evans; Evans, Wormleighton, Powell; O'Brien Whitmarsh, Dale, Warhurst
Ollie Pearce and Josh Stones are the two York attackers in the possible lineup, in a side we project to score 1.87 goals.
For Northampton, Owen Dale and Matty Warhurst are in the possible front line, with the visitors projected for just 0.99 goals.
At the back, Mark Kitching is in York's possible back three and Jon Guthrie in Northampton's back four. York have conceded ten goals in their last five league games, Northampton three.
We back York City to win, and the best price on them is 1.83 at midnite. The draw is 3.60 at midnite and Northampton are 4.00 at bet365. Both teams to score is 1.80 at bet365, and over 2.5 goals is 1.91 at bet365.
| Market | Best price | Statz chance |
|---|---|---|
| York City win | 1.83 (midnite) | 58% |
| Draw | 3.60 (midnite) | 23% |
| Northampton Town win | 4.00 (bet365) | 19% |
| Both teams to score | 1.80 (bet365) | 54% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.91 (bet365) | 54% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.29 (midnite) | 78% |
We predict York City 1-1 Northampton Town. 1-1 is the likeliest single scoreline at 11%, with 1-0 and 2-0 each at 10%, though we make York the more likely winners at 58%, against 19% for Northampton and 23% for the draw. We have York with 14.3 shots and 5.5 on target against 8.0 and 2.9 for Northampton, and Northampton projected to commit 11.7 fouls to York's 9. York keep a clean sheet in 37% of our simulations and Northampton in 15%, and over 1.5 goals is 78%.
York City vs Northampton Town in the 2026/27 FA Cup 1st Round kicks off at 15:00 UK time on Saturday 7 November 2026 at the Dwight Yorke Stadium. Both clubs play in League Two, and we make York City 58% to win.
Our prediction for the 2026/27 FA Cup 1st Round tie is York City 1-1 Northampton Town, a scoreline with an 11% chance. We still make York City the likelier winners at 58%, with the draw at 23% and a Northampton win at 19%.
York City are favourites for the 2026/27 FA Cup 1st Round tie against Northampton Town, with the best price of 1.83 at midnite and a 58% chance in our model. Northampton Town are 4.00 at bet365 and the draw is 3.60 at midnite.
We give both teams to score a 54% chance in this 2026/27 FA Cup 1st Round game, with a best price of 1.80 at bet365. York City are projected 1.87 goals and Northampton Town 0.99, and over 2.5 goals is 54% as well.
York City have won 1 of their last 5 games in League Two going into the 2026/27 FA Cup tie with Northampton Town, drawing 2 and losing 2. They have conceded 8 goals across their last 2, a 5-2 loss at Grimsby and a 3-1 defeat at Barnet.
Predicted lineups for York vs Northampton in the 2026/27 FA Cup on Saturday 7 November 2026: York City may start McNally; Fallowfield, Johnson, Kitching; Jack Hunt, Alex Hunt, Read; Boyes, Grey; Pearce, Stones. Northampton Town may start Jeacock; Donacien, Moore, Guthrie, Lemonheigh-Evans; Evans, Wormleighton, Powell; O'Brien Whitmarsh, Dale, Warhurst.