Updated 29 October 2026.
Burnley host Portsmouth at Turf Moor on Saturday 31 October, kick-off 3pm UK, with the home side sitting 22nd and the visitors 11th in the Championship table. Burnley have won once in 12 league games and have drawn five, for 8 points. Portsmouth have 18 points from 12.
We make Burnley 47% to win and Portsmouth 26%, and 1-1 is the likeliest single score, so that is our prediction.
Burnley have lost their last two league games and have won only one of their last five. The 4-0 win at Watford on 10 October is the only win in that run. They followed it with a 2-2 draw with Charlton, then a 2-1 home defeat to Wolves, and last Saturday Lincoln beat them 4-1.
Burnley concede 2.08 goals a game, the 2nd most in the division, and keep a clean sheet in only 8% of matches. Both teams have scored in 92% of Burnley's games, the highest rate in the league, and 75% have gone over 2.5 goals, the joint highest rate. At the other end they average 4.08 shots on target a game, the 11th most.
Portsmouth are 11th with five wins, three draws and four defeats, and have taken ten points from their last five league games with three wins, a draw and one defeat. Last Saturday they beat Millwall 2-1, four days after a 1-1 draw at Wolves, and before that came a 1-0 win at Norwich and a 3-2 home win over Sheffield United. A 1-0 loss at Southampton on 11 October is their only defeat in the last five.
Pompey concede 1.25 goals a game, the 6th fewest, and keep a clean sheet in a quarter of their matches, the 8th highest rate. They average 5.92 corners a game, the 6th most, and pick up 1.5 cards a game, the 4th fewest.
Burnley possible starting lineup:
Coudert; Walker, Alleyne, Ekdal, Pires; Hatate, Laurent, Julio; Ramazani, Satpaev, Hountondji
Portsmouth possible starting lineup:
Schmid; Poole, Pack, Devlin, Swanson; Segecic, Kamara, Mohamed; Kavuma-McQueen, Milovanović, Dia
Josh Laurent has committed a foul in five straight games, averaging 1.6 a game, and a foul is 1.30 at Midnite.
Lucas Pires has made at least one tackle in seven straight games, averaging 3.3 over that run.
Largie Ramazani has had 2+ shots in four of his last five games, 12 in all, an average of 2.4. Two or more shots is 1.40 at bet365.
For Portsmouth, Abu Kamara has committed a foul in five straight games, averaging 1.6, and a foul is 1.40 at Midnite. Zak Swanson has had a shot in four of his last five games and has made a tackle in six straight; a shot is 1.75 with Ladbrokes.
We make Burnley 47% to win, with the draw at 27% and Portsmouth at 26%. The best price on Burnley is 2.10 with Midnite.
| Market | Best price | Statz chance |
|---|---|---|
| Burnley to win | 2.10 (Midnite) | 47% |
| Draw | 3.60 (Coral) | 27% |
| Portsmouth to win | 3.75 (bet365) | 26% |
| Both teams to score | 1.73 (bet365) | 53% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.91 (bet365) | 49% |
We predict 1-1, the likeliest single score at 13%, though we make Burnley 47% to win against 26% for Portsmouth. We project 1.54 goals for Burnley and 1.08 for Portsmouth, and there is a 53% chance both sides score. Over 2.5 goals is at 49%, and Burnley have a 34% chance of a clean sheet against 21% for Portsmouth.
Burnley vs Portsmouth in the 2026/27 Championship kicks off at 3pm UK on Saturday 31 October 2026 at Turf Moor. Burnley are 22nd on 8 points after 12 games and Portsmouth are 11th on 18 points.
For Burnley vs Portsmouth in the 2026/27 Championship we predict 1-1, the likeliest single score at 13%, though we make Burnley the likelier winner at 47%, with the draw at 27% and Portsmouth at 26%. We project 1.54 goals for Burnley and 1.08 for Portsmouth.
Burnley are the favourites against Portsmouth in the 2026/27 Championship at Turf Moor, with our model giving them a 47% chance of a win against 27% for a draw and 26% for Portsmouth. Burnley are 22nd in the table and Portsmouth are 11th.
We give both teams to score a 53% chance in Burnley vs Portsmouth in the 2026/27 Championship. Burnley's games have seen both teams score 92% of the time, the highest rate in the division, while Portsmouth's have seen it 58% of the time.
Burnley are 22nd in the 2026/27 Championship with 8 points from 12 games, from one win, five draws and six defeats, while Portsmouth are 11th with 18 points from 12 games, from five wins, three draws and four defeats.
Ahead of Burnley vs Portsmouth in the 2026/27 Championship, Josh Laurent has committed a foul in 5 straight games and Lucas Pires has made a tackle in 7 straight, while Portsmouth's Abu Kamara has committed a foul in 5 in a row.
For the 3pm UK kick-off on 31 October 2026 in the 2026/27 Championship, Burnley's possible starting lineup against Portsmouth is Coudert; Walker, Alleyne, Ekdal, Pires; Hatate, Laurent, Julio; Ramazani, Satpaev, Hountondji. Portsmouth's possible starting lineup is Schmid; Poole, Pack, Devlin, Swanson; Segecic, Kamara, Mohamed; Kavuma-McQueen, Milovanović, Dia.