Updated 2 November 2026.
Watford host Lincoln City at Vicarage Road on Tuesday 3 November, kick-off 7:45pm UK, in a Championship game between two sides sitting in the bottom half and both beaten on Saturday. Watford are 21st on 11 points from 13, with Lincoln 16th on 15, so there are four points and five places between them.
Neither side scores much and neither defends well. Both have conceded 23 league goals, and we have this very close: Watford 39% to win, Lincoln City 33% and the draw 28%, with 1-1 the likeliest single scoreline.
Watford have lost eight of their 13 league games and scored just 12 goals, which is the 4th fewest per game in the division. They lost 4-0 at home to Burnley and 5-1 at Cardiff, then beat Charlton 2-0 at home, which is their only win in the last seven, and have since lost 1-0 at Wolves and 3-2 at Norwich. They commit 10.92 fouls a game, the 12th most, and take 2.62 cards a game, level with Lincoln for the most in the division.
Lincoln have been uneven in their last five. They lost 3-0 at Sheffield United and 6-0 at home to West Ham, drew 2-2 at Millwall, won 4-1 at home to Burnley and lost 3-1 at home to Birmingham on Saturday. They have kept a clean sheet in 31% of their games, the 4th highest rate in the division, but they create little, with the 4th fewest shots on target per game.
Watford's clean-sheet rate is 8%, the 5th lowest, and they have the fewest corners per game in the division at 3.38. In the Championship table they are 21st, one place above the bottom three.
Watford possible starting lineup:
Ravaglia; Pollock, Keben, Mlacic, Zemura; Kyprianou, Kayembe, Payero; Diatta, Bravo, Boadu
Lincoln City possible starting lineup:
Wickens; Coubiș, Bradley, Elerewe, Reach; Varfolomeev, Konak, Hackett; Jefferies, House, Ladefoged
Edo Kayembe has had a shot in six straight games and averages 1.8 a game across the run, and he is 1.13 at Coral to make it seven. Left-back Jordan Zemura has made a tackle in six in a row and committed a foul in five, and the foul is 1.30 at Midnite.
For Lincoln, Dom Jefferies has had a shot in three straight games at three a game, 1.28 at Ladbrokes, and has committed a foul in four in a row at 1.40 with Midnite. Ben House has had a shot in four straight and averages 1.8, a price of 1.17 at bet365. Mikkel Ladefoged has had two or more shots in each of his last four games, and 2+ is 1.29 at bet365.
We make Watford the slightly likelier winners at 39%, with Lincoln City on 33% and the draw on 28%. Watford are 2.45 at Coral, the draw is 3.40 at Ladbrokes and Lincoln are 2.80 at Ladbrokes. Both teams to score is 1.73 at Midnite, and over 2.5 goals is 1.91 at bet365.
| Market | Best price | Statz chance |
|---|---|---|
| Watford to win | 2.45 (Coral) | 39% |
| Draw | 3.40 (Ladbrokes) | 28% |
| Lincoln City to win | 2.80 (Ladbrokes) | 33% |
| Both teams to score | 1.73 (Midnite) | 55% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.91 (bet365) | 50% |
We predict a 1-1 draw, the likeliest single scoreline at 13%, though we make Watford slightly more likely to win overall, at 39% against 33% for Lincoln City. After that come 1-0 and 2-1, both Watford wins. We project 1.39 goals for Watford and 1.28 for Lincoln City, with both teams to score at 55%.
Watford vs Lincoln City in the 2026/27 Championship kicks off at 19:45 UK on Tuesday 3 November at Vicarage Road. Watford are 21st and Lincoln City 16th, two sides in the bottom half of the table.
We predict a 1-1 draw for Watford vs Lincoln City in the 2026/27 Championship at Vicarage Road, the most likely single scoreline at 13%. We have Watford a slight favourite to win at 39%, with Lincoln City on 33%.
Watford are the slight favourites for Watford vs Lincoln City in the 2026/27 Championship, with a 39% chance of winning against 33% for Lincoln City and 28% for a draw. We project 1.39 goals for Watford and 1.28 for Lincoln City.
We give both teams to score a 55% chance in Watford vs Lincoln City in the 2026/27 Championship, with over 2.5 goals at 50%. Watford are projected 1.39 goals and Lincoln City 1.28.
Watford are 21st in the 2026/27 Championship on 11 points from 13 games, while Lincoln City are 16th on 15 points from 13. Both have conceded 23 league goals this season.
Ahead of Watford vs Lincoln City in the 2026/27 Championship, Edo Kayembe has had a shot in six straight league games for Watford, averaging 1.8 a game across the run. For Lincoln City, Ben House has had a shot in four straight and Dom Jefferies in three.
For Watford vs Lincoln City in the 2026/27 Championship on 3 November, Watford are predicted to start Ravaglia; Pollock, Keben, Mlacic, Zemura; Kyprianou, Kayembe, Payero; Diatta, Bravo, Boadu. Lincoln City are predicted to start Wickens; Coubiș, Bradley, Elerewe, Reach; Varfolomeev, Konak, Hackett; Jefferies, House, Ladefoged.