Sheffield Wednesday welcome Cambridge United to Hillsborough Stadium on Tuesday 27 October, kick-off 19:45 UK, in a League One game between two sides in the top eight. Wednesday are 8th in the table on 18 points from 11 games. Cambridge are 6th on 20 points from 12.
The Owls arrive off back-to-back 2-0 defeats, scoring nothing in either, while Cambridge's last two have produced a 2-2 draw and a 3-2 loss.
Sheffield Wednesday have lost their last two, 2-0 at Doncaster on Saturday and by the same score at Notts County on 20 October. Before that came a 5-0 win over Wimbledon and a 2-2 draw at Huddersfield. In the league this season they have won five, drawn three and lost three, scoring 20 goals and conceding 12.
Wednesday average 1.82 goals a game, the 5th most in the division, and their shots on target figure of 5.64 a game is the 2nd most. At the back they concede 1.09 a game, the 7th fewest, and keep a clean sheet in 27% of matches, the 8th highest.
Cambridge have won five, drawn five and lost two of their 12. They lost 3-2 at home to Plymouth on Saturday and drew 2-2 with Wycombe before that, after winning 2-1 at Barnsley and 1-0 at home to Blackpool.
Both teams have scored in 92% of Cambridge matches, the highest rate in League One, and they have kept a clean sheet in only 8% of them, the 2nd lowest. They also win more corners than anyone, 8.25 a game, while committing the 2nd fewest fouls at 8.75.
Sheffield Wednesday possible starting lineup:
Maynard-Brewer; Valery, Cooper, Otegbayo, Lowe; Bannan, Mitchell; Keillor-Dunn, Burstow, Gray; Al-Hamadi
Cambridge United possible starting lineup:
Eastwood; Bennett, Watts, Bradshaw, Heffernan; Mpanzu, Hoddle; Knight, Moxon, Kaikai; Ahadme
Mason Burstow has had a shot in seven straight games and averages 2.4 a game across them, and he is 1.04 at midnite to make it eight. Harry Gray has also had a shot in seven in a row, at 1.7 a game.
D. Keillor-Dunn has had two or more shots in four straight games and averages 4.5 over that run. He is 1.18 at midnite to do it again.
For Cambridge, Ben Knight has managed two or more shots in six consecutive games, averaging 3.3, and is 1.22 at midnite to do it again. Gassan Ahadme has committed a foul in nine straight games at 2.4 a game.
In midfield, Billy Mitchell has made a tackle in seven straight games for Wednesday, while Cambridge's Pelly Ruddock Mpanzu has done so in six.
We make Sheffield Wednesday the favourites, and the best price on them is 2.00 at midnite.
| Market | Best price | Statz chance |
|---|---|---|
| Sheffield Wednesday win | 2.00 (midnite) | 53% |
| Draw | 3.60 (midnite) | 24% |
| Cambridge United win | 3.60 (bet365) | 23% |
| Both teams to score | 1.57 (bet365) | 59% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.67 (bet365) | 58% |
Our model makes Wednesday 1.85 goals to Cambridge's 1.16. 1-1 is the likeliest single score at 11%, with 2-1 next on 10%, though we make Wednesday 53% to win against 23% for Cambridge, with the draw on 24%. We put both teams to score at 59%, and it has happened in 92% of Cambridge's league games.
Prediction: Sheffield Wednesday 1-1 Cambridge United