Leicester City host Wigan Athletic at the King Power Stadium on Tuesday 27 October, kick-off 19:45 UK. Leicester sit 13th with 15 points from 11 games. Wigan are 24th with 7, and they arrive having lost eight of their 11.
At the attacking end, Leicester have the 3rd most shots on target in the division, while Wigan have the 2nd fewest goals scored, and we give the hosts a 66% chance of the win.
Leicester City are 13th in the League One table with four wins, three draws and four defeats, and 17 goals scored and 17 conceded. They have won two of their last five, drawn one and lost two. A 1-1 draw at Barnsley was followed by a 1-3 home defeat to Peterborough, then a 2-1 win over Doncaster. Next came a 4-0 win at Bromley on 20 October, before a 2-1 loss at Luton on Saturday.
Leicester average 5.45 shots on target a game, the 3rd most in the league, and 6.64 corners, the 5th most. Both teams have scored in 64% of Leicester's matches, the 8th highest rate in League One.
Wigan Athletic have managed two wins, one draw and eight defeats, scoring 8 and conceding 17. They have lost four of their last five: 0-1 to Wycombe, 1-0 at Stevenage, then 2-1 at Oxford United and 2-1 at Huddersfield in the past week. The only win in that stretch was a 1-0 against Reading on 17 October.
They average 0.73 goals a game, the 2nd fewest in the division, and 2.82 shots on target, also the 2nd fewest. They pick up 2.91 cards a game, the most in League One.
Leicester City possible starting lineup:
McCarthy; O'Hora, Souttar, Okoli; Lundstram, Alves, Braybrooke, Page; Thomas, Doyle; Riis
Wigan Athletic possible starting lineup:
Whitworth; Chilokoa-Mullen, Carragher, Burns, Harris; Weir, Gray; Burrowes, Walsh, Murray; Hogan
Luke Thomas has made at least one tackle in nine straight games, at 2.2 a game, and has committed a foul in seven straight, averaging 2.3.
Three Leicester possible starters are on shot runs. Sammy Braybrooke has had a shot in six straight games and is 1.07 at midnite to make it seven. Will Alves has a shot in five in a row, averaging two a game, and is also 1.07 at midnite. Kamari Doyle matches that five-game run at two a game and is 1.03 at midnite.
On the Wigan side, Reggie Walsh has committed a foul in six straight games, averaging 1.8 a game, and Finley Burns has made a tackle in five straight, averaging 1.6.
We back Leicester City to win at 1.40 with midnite. We make them 66% to win, with the draw at 21% and a Wigan win at 13%. Wigan are 7.00 at bet365.
| Market | Best price | Statz chance |
|---|---|---|
| Leicester City win | 1.40 (midnite) | 66% |
| Draw | 4.75 (midnite) | 21% |
| Wigan Athletic win | 7.00 (bet365) | 13% |
| Both teams to score | 1.70 (bet365) | 51% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.53 (bet365) | 57% |
We project 2.12 goals for Leicester and 0.86 for Wigan, and give Leicester a 42% chance of a clean sheet. The likeliest score is 2-0 at 11%, ahead of 1-0 and 1-1, and a draw is in play at 21%. Both teams have scored in only 36% of Wigan's games, the 3rd lowest rate in League One, but we still put both teams scoring at 51%.
Statz prediction: Leicester City 2-0 Wigan Athletic.