Milton Keynes Dons welcome Bromley to Stadium mk on Tuesday 27 October, kick-off 19:45 UK, in a League One meeting between two clubs in the lower reaches of the table. MK Dons sit 18th on 12 points from 11 games, while Bromley are 22nd on 9, and the clearest gap is at the back: Bromley concede 2.36 a game, the most in the division, against 1.64 for MK Dons.
MK Dons also have a striker, S. Nombe, who has had a shot in all 11 of their league games this season.
MK Dons won 1-0 at Stevenage on Saturday, after a 2-0 defeat at Blackpool on Tuesday and a 2-1 home win over Luton the Saturday before. Before that came a 5-1 home defeat to Reading. They have drawn six of their 11 league games and sit 18th in the League One table. They have scored 12 and conceded 18, and their goals-for rate of 1.09 a game is the 9th fewest in the division.
Both teams have scored in 64% of MK Dons' league games, the 8th highest rate in League One, and they have kept a clean sheet in 27%, also the 8th highest. They commit 12.64 fouls a game, the 5th most in the division.
Bromley's recent run is much grimmer. They drew 1-1 at home to Peterborough on Saturday, after a 4-0 home defeat to Leicester on Tuesday, a 1-0 loss at Stockport and a 2-1 loss at Mansfield. Their last win came on 19 September, 2-1 against Huddersfield, and they have lost six of 11 overall. The 4-0 defeat to Leicester (full match) was the heaviest of the five.
Bromley average 0.91 goals a game, the 4th fewest, and 2.36 conceded, the most in the league. They have kept a clean sheet in just 9% of games. Their corner count of 3 a game is the fewest in the division, and they are the 3rd most-fouling side at 14 a game. Three of Bromley's possible starters are on tackle runs of five games or more: Kamil Conteh, George Alan Saville and M. Ifill.
Milton Keynes Dons possible starting lineup:
MacGillivray; Ekpiteta, Goode, Sanders; Wintle, Campbell, Gilbey, Wiles, Silvera; Collins, Nombe
Bromley possible starting lineup:
Smith; Ifill, Jackson, Grant, Saville; Conteh, Pinnock, McKiernan; Jones, Hondermarck, Cheek
S. Nombe has had at least one shot in every one of MK Dons' 11 league games, averaging 2.1 a game, and he is 1.03 with midnite to continue that. He has also committed a foul in seven straight, averaging 3.3 in that run.
A. Collins pairs with him up front and has had two or more shots in eight consecutive games, averaging 3.1 a game in that run. He is 1.09 with midnite for another.
Alex Gilbey has fouled in nine straight games at 2.2 a game, and has made a tackle in five in a row at 2.6 a game.
Kamil Conteh has made a tackle in all 11 games, averaging 2.9, and has had a shot in four straight at 1.5 a game. He is 1.44 with midnite for another shot.
George Alan Saville has made at least one tackle in eight straight games for Bromley, averaging 1.8 a game.
We back MK Dons, who are 1.67 with midnite to win. We make them 58% to win, with the draw at 24% and a Bromley win at 18%, and we project 1.85 goals for MK Dons against 0.94 for the visitors.
| Market | Best price | Statz chance |
|---|---|---|
| MK Dons win | 1.67 (midnite) | 58% |
| Draw | 4.00 (bet365) | 24% |
| Bromley win | 4.75 (bet365) | 18% |
| Both teams to score | 1.62 (bet365) | 52% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.20 (midnite) | 78% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.62 (midnite) | 53% |
Our predicted score is 1-1, the likeliest single outcome at 11%, though we make MK Dons the more likely winner overall at 58%. 1-0 and 2-0 follow at 11% each. Bromley have kept one clean sheet in 11 league games, and 64% of MK Dons' league games have seen both teams score.