Oxford United and Stockport County meet at the Kassam Stadium on Tuesday 27 October, kick-off 19:45 UK, with the League One table showing Stockport 2nd and Oxford 7th. Stockport have 23 points from 12 games, Oxford 19 from 10, so the hosts have two games in hand on the visitors. Both sides have conceded exactly one goal a game on average.
Oxford United are unbeaten in seven league games, the latest a goalless draw with Bradford on Saturday. Stockport have won four of their last five and drawn the other, scoring in all five and keeping three clean sheets.
Oxford United have taken 19 points from 10 games with five wins, four draws and one defeat, scoring 18 and conceding 10. They have conceded the 3rd fewest goals per game in the division. They drew 1-1 with Cambridge, won 2-1 at Notts County, drew 1-1 at Mansfield, beat Wigan 2-1 and then shared a 0-0 draw with Bradford on Saturday. They score 1.8 a game, the 7th most in the league, from 4.3 shots on target a game, the 12th fewest. Both teams have scored in 70% of Oxford's games, the 6th highest rate in League One, and 70% have gone over 2.5 goals, the 4th highest.
Stockport County have won seven of 12 and lost three, scoring 24 and conceding 12. They score 2 a game, the 2nd most in the division, and they have kept a clean sheet in 42% of their games, the 2nd highest rate. They beat Peterborough 1-0, Barnsley 3-1 and Bromley 1-0 at home, won 2-0 at Doncaster, then took a point in a 1-1 draw at Notts County on Saturday. They average 5.25 shots on target, the 4th most, and 7.25 corners, the 4th most. They commit the fewest fouls at 8.17 a game and collect the fewest cards at 1.17. Oxford, by contrast, pick up the 4th most cards at 2.3 a game.
Oxford United possible starting lineup:
Cumming; Gilmore Spencer, Helik, Brown, Currie; Brannagan, Andrews; Missanga, Dembélé, Goodrham; Harris
Stockport County possible starting lineup:
Whatmuff; Jobe, O'Connell, Pye, Glover; Norwood, Bate, Osborn; Diamond, Wood, Wootton
Kyle Wootton has had three or more shots in five straight games and averages 3.2 a game, and he is 1.67 at midnite to keep it going.
For Oxford, Cameron Brannagan has had two or more shots in four straight games and averages 3 a game across the run. He is 1.30 at midnite to make it five.
Siriki Dembélé has had a shot in seven straight games, 1.9 a game on average, and is 1.07 at midnite to extend it. He has also committed at least one foul in each of his last six.
At the back, Jack Currie has made a tackle in six straight games, averaging 2.8, and Stockport's Lewis Bate has done the same, averaging 2.
We make Stockport County favourites, with a 42% chance against 32% for Oxford United and 26% for the draw. The best price on them is 2.00 with midnite.
| Market | Best price | Statz chance |
|---|---|---|
| Oxford United to win | 3.40 (bet365) | 32% |
| Draw | 3.75 (boylesports) | 26% |
| Stockport County to win | 2.00 (midnite) | 42% |
| Both teams to score | 1.57 (bet365) | 59% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.65 (bet365) | 55% |
We expect 1.33 goals from Oxford and 1.56 from Stockport. The Statz prediction is a 1-1 draw, the likeliest single score, though we make Stockport more likely to win than either of the other two results. We put both teams to score at 59% and over 2.5 goals at 55%. Stockport have kept a clean sheet in 42% of their league games and Oxford in 30%.