Updated 29 October 2026.
Port Vale host Rochdale at Vale Park on Saturday 31 October, with kick-off at 12:30 UK time. Vale have scored the fewest goals per game in League Two and Rochdale have conceded the 4th most. Vale are 23rd of 24 on 12 points from 11 games, and Rochdale are 17th on 15 points from 13.
We predict a 1-0 home win and make Port Vale 55% to win, the draw 27% and Rochdale 18%. Rochdale arrive after a 5-0 home defeat by Accrington in their last League Two game.
Port Vale have scored 6 goals all season, and at 0.55 per game that is the fewest in the division. They have been hard to break down, though. They concede 1.09 per game, the 5th fewest, and have kept a clean sheet in 36% of their matches, the 4th highest rate in the league. Only 9% of their games have gone over 2.5 goals, the 2nd lowest.
Vale have won two, drawn one and lost two of their last five League Two games. They lost 2-0 at Walsall in September, then beat Grimsby 1-0 and Chesterfield 1-0 at home, drew 1-1 at Gillingham and lost 2-0 at York on 24 October.
Rochdale score a little more, at 1.15 per game, but they let in 1.69, the 4th most in the division. They also have the fewest shots on target in League Two, 2.92 per game. 62% of their games have gone over 2.5 goals, the 3rd highest rate.
Rochdale have won one of their last five League Two games, 1-0 against Swindon on 3 October. They drew 1-1 at Tranmere, lost 3-2 at Crewe, drew 2-2 with Grimsby and lost 5-0 at home to Accrington, conceding 11 goals across the five.
Port Vale possible starting lineup:
Maroši; Walters, Moon, Humphreys, John; Lawrence-Gabriel, Byers, Dempsey; Lynch, Headley, Figueroa
Rochdale possible starting lineup:
Waller; Tasker, Flint, Wilson, Sherring; Gilmour, Francis, Hayes; Middleton, Adeeko, Brown
Dajaune Brown has had a shot in 13 straight games for Rochdale, averaging 2.1 a game, and the striker is 1.11 at midnite for a shot on Saturday. He has also committed a foul in seven straight games.
Keyrol Figueroa has had a shot on target in three straight games for Vale, with at least two shots in each of them. The striker is 1.30 at Ladbrokes for a shot on target.
Aden Flint has had a shot in six straight games, averaging 2.2 a game. The centre-back is 1.62 at midnite for a shot.
Jasper Moon has committed a foul in five straight Vale games and made a tackle in four, averaging two tackles per game. In midfield, Harvey Gilmour has made a tackle in eight straight games for Rochdale, averaging 2.3 a match.
We back Port Vale, who are 1.70 at Ladbrokes to win. Our model gives them a 55% chance, with the draw at 27% and Rochdale at 18%. The draw is 3.80 at Coral and Rochdale are 5.00 at BoyleSports.
| Market | Best price | Statz chance |
|---|---|---|
| Port Vale to win | 1.70 (Ladbrokes) | 55% |
| Draw | 3.80 (Coral) | 27% |
| Rochdale to win | 5.00 (BoyleSports) | 18% |
| Both teams to score | 1.91 (Ladbrokes) | 44% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.33 (Midnite) | 69% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.95 (bet365) | 42% |
We predict a 1-0 home win. Vale are projected 1.58 goals to Rochdale's 0.78, and 1-0 is the likeliest single scoreline at 14%. A 1-1 draw is in play at 13%, and 2-0 is next at 12%. We give Port Vale a 46% chance of a clean sheet.
Port Vale vs Rochdale in League Two 2026/27 kicks off at 12:30 UK time on Saturday 31 October 2026 at Vale Park. Port Vale are 23rd in the table on 12 points from 11 games, and Rochdale are 17th on 15 points from 13 games.
We predict Port Vale to beat Rochdale 1-0 in their League Two 2026/27 game on 31 October 2026, and we give Port Vale a 55% chance of winning. A 1-1 draw is in play at 13%, the draw overall is 27% and Rochdale are on 18%.
Port Vale are the favourites for Port Vale vs Rochdale in League Two 2026/27, with a 55% chance of winning against 27% for the draw and 18% for Rochdale. Vale are projected 1.58 goals to Rochdale's 0.78 at Vale Park on 31 October 2026.
We give both teams to score a 44% chance in Port Vale vs Rochdale in League Two 2026/27. Only 27% of Port Vale's league games have had both teams score, the 3rd lowest rate in the division, and the figure for Rochdale is 46%, the 7th lowest.
Port Vale are 23rd of 24 in League Two 2026/27 with 12 points from 11 games, and Rochdale are 17th with 15 points from 13 games before the 31 October meeting. Vale have won 3, drawn 3 and lost 5, while Rochdale have won 4, drawn 3 and lost 6.
Dajaune Brown has had at least one shot in 13 straight League Two games for Rochdale in 2026/27, averaging 2.1 per game, going into Port Vale vs Rochdale on 31 October. The striker has also committed a foul in seven straight games.
For the 12:30 UK kick-off of Port Vale vs Rochdale in League Two 2026/27 on 31 October 2026, Port Vale's possible starting lineup is Maroši; Walters, Moon, Humphreys, John; Lawrence-Gabriel, Byers, Dempsey; Lynch, Headley, Figueroa. Rochdale's is Waller; Tasker, Flint, Wilson, Sherring; Gilmour, Francis, Hayes; Middleton, Adeeko, Brown.