Monza host Napoli at the U-Power Stadium on Wednesday 28 October, kick-off 19:45 UK. Both teams have scored in 88% of Monza's league games, the 2nd highest rate in Serie A. Napoli concede the 6th fewest goals a game in the division and arrive off a 3-3 draw at home to Roma.
Monza sit 15th on 7 points from 8, Napoli 10th on 11. Monza concede 2.25 goals a game, the 4th most in Serie A, against 1.25 for Napoli.
Monza are 15th in the Serie A table with two wins, one draw and five defeats, 15 goals scored and 18 conceded. In their last five they lost 3-2 at Torino on 23 October, beat Cagliari 4-0 at home four days earlier, and lost 3-1 at Lazio on 11 October. Before that came a 2-1 home win over Sassuolo and a 3-2 loss at Lecce.
Monza score 1.88 goals a game, the 7th most in Serie A, and concede the 4th most. Over 2.5 goals has landed in 88% of their matches, the highest rate in the league. They have the 6th most shots on target, at 5.63 a game.
Napoli are 10th on 11 points, with three wins, two draws and three defeats, 13 scored and 10 conceded. They drew 3-3 at home to Roma on 24 October, won 4-3 against Bodø / Glimt in the Champions League four days earlier, lost 1-0 at Venezia in the league, went down 3-1 at Villarreal in the Champions League, and beat Frosinone 3-0 on 10 October.
In the league, Napoli have the 4th highest clean-sheet rate at 38% and the 6th fewest goals against per game. They have the 4th most corners at 5.88 a game and the 4th most shots on target at six a game. They commit the fewest fouls in Serie A, 8.25 a game, and collect the fewest cards, 0.88 a game.
Monza possible starting lineup:
Törnqvist; Kouadio, Lucchesi, Carboni, Birindelli; Mangas, Manga Foe Ondoa, Akinsanmiro; Robinson, Mota, Varela
Napoli possible starting lineup:
Milinković-Savić; Rafa MarÃn, Rrahmani, Di Lorenzo; Olivera, McTominay, Lobotka, De Bruyne, Politano; Giovane, Højlund
Samuele Birindelli has had a shot in eight straight games and made a tackle in each of those eight too, and Ladbrokes have him at 1.44 for another shot. Gustavo Miguel Pereira de Sousa Varela has had a shot in seven in a row, averaging 2.3 a game.
Jay Robinson has put a shot on target in five straight, at 1.91 with bet365.
On the Napoli side, Rafa MarÃn has made a tackle in seven straight games, averaging 2.1 a game, and is 1.20 at bet365 to make one again. Scott McTominay has had a shot in five straight games, averaging 2.4 a game.
We back Napoli to win, with Ladbrokes offering 1.80. Monza are 4.50 at bet365 and the draw is 3.90 at bet365.
| Market | Best price | Statz chance |
|---|---|---|
| Monza win | 4.50 (bet365) | 20% |
| Draw | 3.90 (bet365) | 23% |
| Napoli win | 1.80 (Ladbrokes) | 57% |
| Both teams to score | 1.67 (bet365) | 59% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.67 (bet365) | 60% |
We expect 1.12 goals from Monza and 1.98 from Napoli. 1-1 is the likeliest single score, at about 11%, though we make Napoli 57% to win. Our prediction is Monza 1-1 Napoli.
We put both teams to score at 59% and over 2.5 goals at 60%.
Among the player markets, Andrea Carboni has made a tackle in five straight games, averaging 2.2 a game, and Coral have him at 1.12 to make another. Our bet builder takes Birindelli for a shot at 1.44 with Ladbrokes, MarÃn for a tackle at 1.20 with bet365, MathÃas Olivera for two or more tackles at 1.53 with bet365, and Lorenzo Lucchesi for a foul at 1.30 with Ladbrokes.