Updated 31 October 2026.
Atalanta host Parma at the Gewiss Stadium on Monday 2 November, kick-off 19:45 UK, in Serie A. Atalanta sit 12th on 11 points and have scored 16 times in nine league games. Parma are 19th on 5 points, with just 5 goals scored all season, the fewest in the division.
We make Atalanta 62% to win, with 2-0 the likeliest single score.
Atalanta score 1.78 a game, the 8th most in Serie A, and they get 5.11 shots on target a game, also the 8th most. At the back they have let in 17, 1.89 a game and the 7th most, and 78% of their league games have seen both teams score, the 3rd highest rate in the league. The same share have gone over 2.5 goals.
Their last two league games ended in draws. They shared eight goals in a 4-4 home draw with Frosinone on 25 October and then drew 2-2 at Fiorentina on Thursday. Before that came a 2-0 defeat at Ajax in the Europa Conference League and a 3-2 loss at AC Milan.
Parma have lost six of their nine and won one. Their 0.56 goals a game is the lowest in the league, and they average 3.33 shots on target, the 2nd fewest. They concede 1.67 a game at the other end, the 8th most. The latest result was a 0-0 draw with Udinese on Wednesday, a clean sheet and a point, which followed a 2-1 defeat at Lazio and a 3-0 home loss to Torino. Their only win this season came against Genoa, 2-1 at home on 20 September.
Atalanta are 12th in the Serie A table, seven places and six points ahead of 19th-placed Parma.
Atalanta possible starting lineup:
Carnesecchi; Zappacosta, Scalvini, Obrić, Bernasconi; Pašalić, Éderson, Elmas; De Ketelaere, Rowe, Krstović
Parma possible starting lineup:
Daffara; Delprato, Troilo, Diego Carlos, Britschgi; Bernabé, Keita, Sierro; Valeri, Touré, Romero
Nikola Krstović has had a shot on target in four straight league games and averages two a game. bet365 have him at 1.22 for a shot on target.
Charles De Ketelaere has had a shot in five straight games, averaging 2.2 a game.
Éderson has made at least one tackle in five straight games, and Davide Zappacosta in four straight, averaging 3.3.
Mandela Keita has made two or more tackles in four straight games for Parma, averaging 2.8. bet365 offer 1.36 on him continuing.
El Bilal Touré has committed a foul in five straight games and averages 1.8 a game. He is 1.40 at Ladbrokes. His teammate Diego Carlos has fouled in six straight games, priced at 1.28 with Ladbrokes.
We back Atalanta, who are 1.50 with bet365 to win. Our model gives them a 62% chance, with 23% for the draw and 15% for a Parma win.
| Market | Best price | Statz chance |
|---|---|---|
| Atalanta win | 1.50 (bet365) | 62% |
| Draw | 4.60 (Coral) | 23% |
| Parma win | 6.25 (Midnite) | 15% |
| Both teams to score | 1.80 (Coral) | 49% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.62 (bet365) | 51% |
Our prediction is Atalanta 2-0 Parma. We project Atalanta at 1.9 goals against 0.83 for the visitors, and we give Atalanta a 44% chance of a clean sheet. Over 1.5 goals is a 76% chance.
Parma average 0.56 goals a game, the fewest in the league, and the player runs that stand out are Krstović's shots on target and Keita's tackles.
Atalanta vs Parma in the 2026/27 Serie A kicks off at 19:45 UK on Monday 2 November 2026 at the Gewiss Stadium, with Atalanta 12th and Parma 19th after nine league games each.
We predict Atalanta to beat Parma 2-0 in Serie A 2026/27 on 2 November 2026. Our model gives Atalanta a 62% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Parma 15%, with 2-0 the most likely single score.
Atalanta are favourites to beat Parma in this 2026/27 Serie A game on Monday 2 November, and we give them a 62% chance of winning, against 23% for the draw and 15% for a Parma win.
Our model gives a 49% chance of both teams scoring in Atalanta vs Parma in Serie A 2026/27. Both teams have scored in 78% of Atalanta's league games and 44% of Parma's.
Nikola Krstović has had a shot on target in four straight Serie A games for Atalanta in 2026/27, averaging 2 a game, going into the home match against Parma on Monday 2 November.
Ahead of Atalanta vs Parma on 2 November, Atalanta are 12th in Serie A with 11 points from nine games in 2026/27, and Parma are 19th with 5 points. Parma's five league goals are the fewest in the division.
Atalanta's possible starting lineup for the 2026/27 Serie A game against Parma on 2 November has Carnesecchi in goal and Krstović up front, while Parma's has Daffara in goal, with Touré and Romero in attack.