Updated 31 October 2026.
Defensa y Justicia welcome Independiente to the Estadio Norberto Tito Tomaghello on Monday 2 November, with kick-off at 22:00 UK. It is a Clausura meeting between a home side that has won three of its last five league games and a visitor that has taken two points from its last three.
Independiente sit 5th on 24 points from 16 games, Defensa y Justicia 10th on 19. The hosts' Juan Gutiérrez has had a shot in 21 straight games.
Defensa y Justicia have won three of their last five league games, drawn one and lost one. Those five went 2-2 at Central Cordoba SdE, then a 3-0 home win over San Lorenzo, a 2-0 win at Unión Santa Fe, a 0-1 home defeat to Instituto and, most recently, a 2-1 win at Talleres Córdoba. They scored in four of the five.
Across the season they average 1.27 goals a game, the 8th most in the division, and put 4.57 shots on target per game, also the 8th most. They have kept a clean sheet in 30% of games, the 15th highest rate, and are the least carded side in the league at 2.1 a game, with the 6th fewest fouls.
Independiente have won once in their last five league games. They lost 0-1 at home to Boca Juniors last time out, drew 1-1 at Racing Club and 0-0 at Talleres Córdoba before that, and were beaten 4-1 at home by Instituto. Their one win came at Unión Santa Fe, 2-1.
Both teams have scored in 55% of Independiente's matches, the 6th highest rate, and they win a lot of corners, 5.52 a game, the 3rd most in the league. They average 1.19 goals for and 1.19 against. Their season so far has been six wins, six draws and four defeats, with a goal difference of plus four.
Over their last five league games Defensa y Justicia have taken 10 points to Independiente's 5, though Independiente are 5th in the table and the hosts 10th.
Defensa y Justicia possible starting lineup:
Borgogno; Pucheta Loza, Burdín, Martínez, Domínguez; Sosa, Pérez, Lucco; Barbona, Gutiérrez, Fernández
Independiente possible starting lineup:
Mele; Arias, Banegas, Valdez, Arrayago; Pérez Curci, Cabral, Meza; Montiel, Ávila, Palais
Juan Gutiérrez has had at least one shot in 21 straight games, averaging 2.5 a game. A shot from him is 1.06 at bet365.
Leandro Fernández has had three or more shots in six straight games and averages 4.3 per game over the run. Three or more shots is 1.50 at bet365.
David Barbona has had a shot in four in a row, averaging 2.0, and is 1.11 at bet365 to make it five.
For Independiente, Maximiliano Meza has put a shot on target in four straight games and is 2.00 at Coral to keep it going. Behind him, the centre-back pair of Sebastián Valdez and Juan Miguel Arrayago have each made a tackle in seven straight games.
We make Defensa y Justicia the most likely winners at 46%, with the draw at 28% and Independiente at 26%. The bookmakers also have the hosts shortest at 2.30 at Coral, with Independiente 3.50 at bet365 and the draw 3.20 at Ladbrokes.
| Market | Best price | Statz chance |
|---|---|---|
| Defensa y Justicia to win | 2.30 (Coral) | 46% |
| Draw | 3.20 (Ladbrokes) | 28% |
| Independiente to win | 3.50 (bet365) | 26% |
| Both teams to score | 1.91 (bet365) | 48% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.40 (Coral) | 70% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 2.20 (bet365) | 43% |
We predict a 1-1 draw, the likeliest single score at 13%, with 1-0 to the hosts next at 12%, though we make Defensa y Justicia more likely to win overall. We project 1.40 goals for the hosts and 0.99 for Independiente.
Defensa y Justicia vs Independiente kicks off at 22:00 UK time on Monday 2 November 2026 in the 2026 Liga Profesional Clausura, at the Estadio Norberto Tito Tomaghello. Independiente are 5th on 24 points from 16 games and Defensa y Justicia are 10th on 19.
Our prediction for Defensa y Justicia vs Independiente in the 2026 Liga Profesional is a 1-1 draw, the likeliest single score at 13%. We still make the hosts more likely to win overall at 46%, against 28% for a draw and 26% for Independiente.
Defensa y Justicia are favourites to beat Independiente in the 2026 Liga Profesional Clausura, with our model giving them a 46% chance against 26% for Independiente and 28% for the draw. The bookmakers also have the hosts shortest in the market.
We give both teams a 48% chance of scoring in Defensa y Justicia vs Independiente in the 2026 Liga Profesional Clausura. Both teams have scored in 55% of Independiente's league games this season, the 6th highest rate in the division.
Independiente are 5th on 24 points from 16 games in the 2026 Liga Profesional Clausura, while Defensa y Justicia are 10th on 19 points from 16. Defensa y Justicia have won three of their last five league games.
Juan Gutiérrez has had at least one shot in 21 straight Liga Profesional games for Defensa y Justicia in 2026, averaging 2.5 per game. Leandro Fernández has had 3 or more shots in 6 straight games, averaging 4.3 per game, before the match against Independiente.
Our predicted lineups for Defensa y Justicia vs Independiente in the 2026 Liga Profesional have Defensa y Justicia starting Borgogno in goal with Gutiérrez and Fernández in attack, and Independiente starting Mele in goal with Ávila and Palais forward.