Updated 31 October 2026.
Lorient welcome Brest to Stade Yves Allainmat - Le Moustoir on Monday 2 November, with kick-off at 7:45pm UK. It is a Ligue 1 game that sets a home side who rarely concede against a visiting side who have yet to keep a clean sheet. Lorient have shut out 63% of their games, the highest rate in the division. Brest's games have seen both teams score 88% of the time, also the highest rate in the league.
Lorient sit 10th on 12 points from eight games and Brest 13th on 9, three points behind.
Lorient have lost only twice in eight, and their defence is the reason. They have conceded 6 goals in 8 games, the 2nd fewest in the league. At the other end they have scored just 7, which is why so many of their results are narrow. Their last two home games were 1-0 wins, against Paris and against Monaco, and they followed those with a goalless draw at Angers. Before that came a 2-1 defeat at Le Mans and a 2-2 draw with Toulouse.
They create little, with the 2nd fewest shots on target in the division at 3.13 a game, and they commit the 2nd fewest fouls and collect the 2nd fewest cards.
Brest are the mirror image. They have scored 14 and conceded 12 in eight games, and they average 5.88 shots on target, the 3rd most in the league. Their last five brought one win and three defeats: a 1-2 home defeat to Nice, a 1-1 draw at Lille, a 5-1 win over Angers, a 2-1 loss at Auxerre and a 1-0 home defeat to PSG. Over the last ten they have won twice and lost four times.
They are also one of the more physical sides, with the 4th most fouls in the league at 14 a game.
Lorient possible starting lineup:
Mvogo; Adjei, Talbi, Touré, Kouassi; Sylla, Avom, Cadiou; Makengo, Faye, Baldé
Brest possible starting lineup:
Selvik; Lala, Lloris, Tousart, Locko; Chotard, Magnetti; Doumbia, Mama Baldé, Mboup; Ajorque
Ludovic Ajorque has committed at least one foul in all eight of Brest's games, averaging 2.6 a match. He is 1.12 at Ladbrokes for a foul.
Mama Baldé has fouled in three straight and sits at 1.25 with Ladbrokes. Brest left-back Bradley Locko has also fouled in three in a row and is 1.48.
On the Lorient side, centre-back Nathaniel Adjei has fouled in five consecutive games and is 1.50 at Ladbrokes. His team-mate Arthur Avom has made a tackle in five straight, averaging 2.4 a game in midfield.
Brest winger Pathé Mboup has made at least one tackle in all eight matches this season, 1.8 a game.
We make Lorient the slightly likelier winner at 41%, and they are 2.45 at bet365. The draw is 3.25 at Ladbrokes and Brest are 3.10 at bet365. Both teams to score is 1.80 at bet365, and Over 2.5 goals is 2.10 at bet365.
| Market | Best price | Statz chance |
|---|---|---|
| Lorient win | 2.45 (bet365) | 41% |
| Draw | 3.25 (Ladbrokes) | 28% |
| Brest win | 3.10 (bet365) | 31% |
| Both teams to score | 1.80 (bet365) | 53% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.36 (Midnite) | 74% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 2.10 (bet365) | 48% |
1-1 is the likeliest score at 13%, though we make Lorient slightly more likely to win than Brest, at 41% to 31%, with the draw at 28%. Our projection is Lorient 1.41 goals to Brest 1.19. Lorient's low-scoring habit meets Brest's open one, and we give both teams to score a 53% chance. With only three points between them in the Ligue 1 standings, we expect a close game. The Statz prediction is 1-1.
Lorient vs Brest in the 2026/27 Ligue 1 kicks off at 19:45 UK time on Monday 2 November at Stade Yves Allainmat - Le Moustoir. Lorient are 10th on 12 points and Brest are 13th on 9 points.
We predict a 1-1 draw for Lorient vs Brest in the 2026/27 Ligue 1, which has a 13% chance and is the likeliest single scoreline. We make Lorient slightly more likely to win, at 41% against 31% for Brest, with the draw at 28%.
Lorient are narrow favourites for Lorient vs Brest in the 2026/27 Ligue 1 on 2 November. We give Lorient a 41% chance of winning, the draw 28% and Brest 31%.
We give both teams to score a 53% chance in Lorient vs Brest in the 2026/27 Ligue 1 on 2 November. Brest have seen both sides score in 88% of their games this season, the highest in the league, while Lorient's rate is 38%.
In the 2026/27 Ligue 1 table, Lorient are 10th on 12 points from eight games and Brest are 13th on 9 points. Lorient have conceded 6 goals, the 2nd fewest in the division, while Brest have scored 14.
Lorient's predicted XI for Lorient vs Brest in the 2026/27 Ligue 1 on 2 November is Mvogo; Adjei, Talbi, Touré, Kouassi; Sylla, Avom, Cadiou; Makengo, Faye, Baldé. Brest's predicted side is Selvik; Lala, Lloris, Tousart, Locko; Chotard, Magnetti; Doumbia, Mama Baldé, Mboup; Ajorque.