Updated 31 October 2026.
Gil Vicente welcome Vitória Guimarães to the Estádio Cidade de Barcelos on Monday 2 November, with kick-off at 20:15 UK time. It is a Liga Portugal game between a side with the league's 3rd-fewest goals conceded and a side that has just hit five without reply.
Gil Vicente sit 7th on 14 points from nine games in the Liga Portugal table. Vitória are 13th on 8 points and have lost five times already this season. We make the hosts slightly more likely to win, while the bookmakers have the visitors marginally shorter.
Gil Vicente's strength is at the back. They concede 0.78 goals a game, the 3rd fewest in the league, and have kept a clean sheet in 44% of their matches, the 4th highest rate. Going forward they score 0.89 goals a game, the 4th fewest, and only 22% of their matches have gone over 2.5 goals, the lowest figure in the division.
They have won two, drawn one and lost two of their last five league games. They beat Moreirense 1-0 and won 2-1 at Braga, then lost 1-0 at home to Porto last time out. Before that came a 1-1 draw with Marítimo.
Vitória are the more physical side. They average 1.11 goals for and 1.11 against, and lead the league for fouls at 15.56 a game. They also win the 3rd-most corners (5.78) and pick up the 4th-most cards (2.89). Their last five league games brought one win, two draws and two defeats: they won 5-0 against Marítimo on 23 October, but before that lost 2-0 at Benfica, drew 1-1 with Moreirense and went down 2-1 at Viseu, with a 0-0 draw with Casa Pia before that.
Gil Vicente possible starting lineup:
Lucão; Esgaio, Buatu, Moreira, José Silva; Lausen, Prioste; Murilo, García, Fernandes; Walace
Vitória Guimarães possible starting lineup:
Furtado; Strata, Borevković, Mendes, Sidibé; Nogueira, Mukendi; Camara, Samu, Gustavo Silva; Jakupovic
Samu has made at least one tackle in all nine of Vitória's games this season, averaging 2.1 over the run. He has also committed a foul in five straight.
The Vitória full-backs are also in form. Tony Strata has tackled in eight in a row at 2.5 a game and fouled in seven, while João Mendes has tackled in eight straight at 2.0.
For Gil Vicente, Murilo de Souza Costa has had two or more shots in four straight games, averaging 2.8, and is 1.33 at bet365 to do it again. Ricardo Esgaio has fouled in eight consecutive games and averages four tackles a game across a five-game tackling run.
We make Gil Vicente slightly more likely to win, at 37% against 32% for Vitória, with the draw at 31%. The bookmakers have it the other way round, with Vitória best at 2.50 at midnite and Gil Vicente 2.82 at bet365.
| Market | Best price | Statz chance |
|---|---|---|
| Gil Vicente to win | 2.82 (bet365) | 37% |
| Draw | 3.25 (bet365) | 31% |
| Vitória Guimarães to win | 2.50 (midnite) | 32% |
| Both teams to score | 1.95 (bet365) | 49% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.40 (midnite) | 69% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 2.20 (bet365) | 42% |
We predict a 1-1 draw, the likeliest single score at 14%, though we make Gil Vicente slightly more likely to win. A goalless draw (11%) and a 1-0 home win (10%) are the next most likely scores. We project 1.22 goals for the hosts and 1.13 for the visitors, and Gil Vicente's low-scoring profile fits a tight game.
Gil Vicente vs Vitória Guimarães kicks off at 20:15 UK time on Monday 2 November 2026 at the Estádio Cidade de Barcelos, in the 2026/27 Liga Portugal Regular Season. Both sides have played nine league games so far, with Gil Vicente 7th and Vitória Guimarães 13th.
Our prediction for Gil Vicente vs Vitória Guimarães in the 2026/27 Liga Portugal is a 1-1 draw, the likeliest single scoreline at 14%. We still make Gil Vicente slightly more likely to win, at 37% against 32% for Vitória Guimarães, with the draw at 31%.
We make Gil Vicente slight favourites against Vitória Guimarães in the 2026/27 Liga Portugal, giving them a 37% chance of winning against 32% for Vitória Guimarães and 31% for the draw. The bookmakers see it the other way and have Vitória Guimarães marginally shorter.
We give both teams to score a 49% chance in Gil Vicente vs Vitória Guimarães in the 2026/27 Liga Portugal. Over 2.5 goals is 42% and over 1.5 goals is 69%, and Gil Vicente have kept a clean sheet in 44% of their league games.
Gil Vicente are 7th in the 2026/27 Liga Portugal table on 14 points from 9 games, while Vitória Guimarães are 13th on 8 points from 9 games. Gil Vicente have conceded just 7 goals so far, Vitória Guimarães 10.
Samu has made at least one tackle in 9 straight Liga Portugal games for Vitória Guimarães in 2026/27, averaging 2.1 per game, ahead of the trip to Gil Vicente. Right-back Tony Strata has also tackled in 8 straight and fouled in 7.
Our predicted lineups for Gil Vicente vs Vitória Guimarães in the 2026/27 Liga Portugal at 20:15 UK time on Monday have Gil Vicente starting Lucão in goal, with Esgaio, Buatu, Moreira and José Silva in defence, and Vitória Guimarães starting Furtado in goal with Jakupovic leading the attack.