Lecce welcome Genoa to town in the Serie A with plenty on the line for both sides. The hosts sit 17th on 35 points while the visitors are 15th on 41 points heading into this one.
Let’s dig into the data on Statz and find the angles that matter.
Lecce (Predicted): Wladimiro Falcone, Danilo Veiga, Jamil Siebert, Tiago Gabriel, Antonino Gallo, Ylber Ramadani, Oumar Ngom, Santiago Pierotti, Lassana Coulibaly, Lameck Banda, Walid Cheddira
Genoa (Predicted): Justin Bijlow, Mikael Egill Ellertsson, Sebastian Otoa, Alessandro Marcandalli, Johan Vásquez, Alexsandro Amorim de Freitas Filho, Morten Frendrup, Tommaso Baldanzi, Ruslan Malinovskyi, Caleb Ekuban, Lorenzo Colombo
Lecce come into this with form reading W L L L L D D W L W over their last 10 – that’s W3 D2 L5, scoring 9 and conceding 14.
Genoa have gone W W L L W W L D D L in their last 10 – W4 D2 L4, 9 scored and 11 conceded.
Projected scoreline: Lecce 1.26 – 1.26 Genoa.
The Statz projections model highlights some interesting numbers here.
Omri Gandelman leads Lecce’s projected goal threat at 0.33 xG, with 1.2 projected shots.
For Genoa, Lorenzo Colombo tops the projections at 0.24 xG and 1.8 projected shots.
In the tackling department, Patrizio Masini (Genoa) leads the way with 2.98 projected tackles.
Daniele Doveri takes charge of this one. Across 18 games this season, he averages 3.5 yellows and 24.1 fouls per match – right around the league average for cards.
Our Statz Bet Builder has pulled together a four-leg punt at combined odds of 4.98:
This is a tough one to call. Both sides come in with mixed form and the data doesn’t scream one clear direction. The bet builder legs above are where the value sits – player props grounded in the numbers rather than trying to predict the unpredictable.
For full projections and stats, check out the full head-to-head breakdown on Statz. You can also explore our fixture projections and build your own selections with the Bet Builder Tool.