129 NBA points props for Wednesday 11 November across 10 games, priced by 12 books. Each row carries our projection, the hit rate at the line over the last five and ten games, the best price each side with the book posting it, and the market's chance against the Statz chance. Luka Doncic has the highest projected points at 32.7 against a line of 34.5. 2 lines sit three or more points of chance from the market.
Market is each book's over price with its margin removed, averaged. Statz is the chance our projection gives of clearing the line. Edge is the gap on the side we favour: O for over, U for under. L5, L10 and the form chips count games over the line, this season first, playoffs left out. Hit-rate filters read the side chosen: the over unless Under is picked.Pro opens the projection and edge on 119 more rows.
129 NBA points props for Wednesday 11 November across 10 games, priced by 12 books. Each row carries our projection, the hit rate at the line over the last five and ten games, the best price each side with the book posting it, and the market's chance against the Statz chance. Luka Doncic has the highest projected points at 32.7 against a line of 34.5. 2 lines sit three or more points of chance from the market.
Quick answers3 questions
Who has the highest projected points on the slate?
Luka Doncic is projected for 32.7 points against a line of 34.5, the highest projection on the slate. The best over price is 1.8 at Caesars and the best under 2 at Paddy Power. We make the over 40.8% against the market's 52.3%.
Which player has the best recent points hit rate?
Ziaire Williams has cleared 8.5 points in 8 of the last 10 games, the strongest recent record on the slate. A hit rate is history, not a projection: the sheet shows it beside our number so the two can be read together.
How do I read Market, Statz and Edge?
Market is each book's over price with its margin removed, averaged across the books quoting the line. Statz is the chance our projection gives of clearing it. A positive edge means we rate the over higher than the market does; a negative one favours the under. Three points or more is worth a second look; one point is noise.
Quick answers3 questions
Who has the highest projected points on the slate?
Luka Doncic is projected for 32.7 points against a line of 34.5, the highest projection on the slate. The best over price is 1.8 at Caesars and the best under 2 at Paddy Power. We make the over 40.8% against the market's 52.3%.
Which player has the best recent points hit rate?
Ziaire Williams has cleared 8.5 points in 8 of the last 10 games, the strongest recent record on the slate. A hit rate is history, not a projection: the sheet shows it beside our number so the two can be read together.
How do I read Market, Statz and Edge?
Market is each book's over price with its margin removed, averaged across the books quoting the line. Statz is the chance our projection gives of clearing it. A positive edge means we rate the over higher than the market does; a negative one favours the under. Three points or more is worth a second look; one point is noise.
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