Philadelphia 76ers vs Boston Celtics Predictions – NBA Playoff Preview | May 2, 2026

Game 7 arrives at TD Garden tonight as the Philadelphia 76ers travel to face the Boston Celtics in a winner-take-all First Round clash. The series is locked 3-3 after six battles between these Atlantic Division rivals, with Philadelphia winning three straight to force this decider. Tip-off is 11:30 PM BST, Saturday May 2. Follow all action on the NBA schedule page.

Series Context and Form

Boston (W57-L27) averaged 114.7 PPG and allowed just 107.0 on the season – the best defensive numbers of any team in action this weekend. The Celtics took a 3-1 series lead before Philadelphia’s comeback. The 76ers won Game 5 by 16 (113-97 on Apr 28) and Game 6 by 13 (106-93 on Apr 30). Boston’s last win was a dominant 128-96 in Game 4. Philadelphia (W47-L38, 115.0 PPG) arrives with three-game momentum into hostile territory. No injuries are reported for either team.

Odds – 76ers vs Celtics

Boston open as firm Game 7 favourites at -239 (1.42 decimal) on the moneyline. Philadelphia are priced at +239 (3.39 decimal). The spread is Celtics -8.5, 76ers +8.5. The total is 205.5 – 2.02 over / 1.98 under (Polymarket). Win probability models give Philadelphia the slight statistical edge at 51.5% vs Boston’s 48.5%, reflecting the 76ers’ series momentum. Use the Statz Bet Builder Tool to build your Game 7 parlays.

Pace and Shooting Splits

Both teams operate at a slow pace in this matchup: Boston at 93.3 possessions per 100, Philadelphia at 90.3. Boston holds the possession edge (+3.0). Expect a grinding, half-court contest. Philadelphia’s matchup shooting splits are stronger: 47.6% FG (vs Boston 42.6%) and 37.2% from three (vs 32.9%). Boston counters with a 6.8-point free throw advantage (83.0% vs 76.2%). On the season, the Celtics make 15.4 threes per game (36.5% rate) vs Philadelphia’s 12.2 (34.8%). Season FG%: BOS 46.7%, PHI 46.1%.

Key Players and Projections

Philadelphia’s Joel Embiid leads all projections at 27.4 points, 8.5 rebounds and 5.1 assists. Tyrese Maxey projects for 26.6 points, 3.7 rebounds and 5.6 assists. Paul George adds 16.4 points, while VJ Edgecombe projects to 14.7 points and 7.5 rebounds. Kelly Oubre Jr. contributes 12.0 points.

For Boston, Jaylen Brown tops projections at 25.7 points and 5.2 rebounds. Jayson Tatum projects for 23.3 points, 10.6 rebounds and 6.9 assists. Payton Pritchard brings 16.2 points and 5.1 assists off the bench. Neemias Queta adds 9.5 points and 8.0 rebounds.

Active Prop Streaks and Milestones

Baylor Scheierman (BOS) has hit PRA 5.5+ in 15 consecutive games, averaging 19.4 in his last five. Neemias Queta (BOS) carries a 13-game over streak on assists 0.5+ (avg 2.6) and 9-game over streaks on PRA 15.5+ (avg 24.2), PR 14.5+ (avg 21.6), and PA 8.5+ (avg 15.8). Payton Pritchard has hit PR 15.5+ in 10 straight (avg 20.6). On milestones: Pritchard scored 10+ in 14 consecutive games (avg 18.9), Tatum 20+ in 7 straight (avg 25.1). Philadelphia’s VJ Edgecombe has 1+ steal in 7 straight (avg 1.7), Kelly Oubre Jr. on a 6-game steals streak (avg 2.2). All current streaks: Statz Bet Builder.

Injuries

No injuries are reported for either the Celtics or 76ers ahead of Game 7. Both rosters are at full strength.

Prediction

Boston have homecourt and are priced at -239, but Philadelphia’s momentum – three straight wins including two away – is real. The statistical models give PHI a 51.5% win probability. The 205.5 total is in line with both teams’ slow pace and defensive quality. This is the genuine pick-em of the weekend. See the full Game 7 preview on Statz and build your bets via the Statz Bet Builder Tool.