New York Knicks vs Philadelphia 76ers Predictions – NBA Playoff Preview | May 10, 2026

New York Knicks arrive in Philadelphia on the brink of a sweep, leading 3-0 in the Eastern Conference Semifinals. Philadelphia 76ers need a miracle to stay alive – but the market gives NYK a 57% chance of closing it out today. Here is the full Game 4 breakdown from Statz.

Odds – Game 4

NYK are slight moneyline favourites at -111 (1.90 dec), with PHI at +111 (2.11 dec). The spread sits at NYK -1.5 (1.98 dec) / PHI +1.5 (2.02 dec). Total is set at 213.5 – Over 1.98, Under 2.02. Both teams have been playing slow, so the under is worth monitoring. Use the Statz Bet Builder Tool to model your selections.

Series Context

NYK have been dominant – winning all three games, including a 39-point blowout (137-98) in Game 1. PHI have not been competitive in any of the three losses. NYK lead the all-time playoff head-to-head and are playing like the far superior team right now. Check the NBA schedule for upcoming playoff games.

Recent Form

PHI last 5: L 94-108 NYK (May 8), L 102-108 NYK (May 6), L 98-137 NYK (May 4), W 109-100 BOS (May 2), W 106-93 BOS (Apr 30). Three straight losses to NYK after beating Boston in their first-round series.

NYK last 5: W 108-94 PHI (May 8), W 108-102 PHI (May 6), W 137-98 PHI (May 4), W 140-89 ATL (Apr 30), W 126-97 ATL (Apr 28). Five straight wins – NYK are in red-hot form and have been ruthless in this series.

Pace and Shooting

Both teams play slow. PHI’s pace sits at 90.5 vs NYK’s 82.7 – PHI hold a +7.8 pace differential advantage, which could help them control tempo at home. In shooting, PHI edge it: FG% 47.6 vs 44.8, 3P% 37.2 vs 36.3. NYK are better from the line (FT% 81.6 vs 76.2). Expect a grind – total 213.5 looks reasonable.

Key Players

Tyrese Maxey leads PHI averaging 23.2 pts, 4.2 reb, 5.4 ast over the last 5 games, but the series results say he has not been able to drag PHI over the line. Joel Embiid adds 21.3 pts and 8.0 reb. For PHI to survive, they need Paul George (17.4 pts, 4.0 3PM last 5) to fire. On the NYK side, OG Anunoby has been outstanding averaging 30.4 PRA over the last 8 games, while Karl-Anthony Towns is averaging 7.1 assists over his last 7 games. See the full Game 4 preview on Statz for deeper player analysis.

Prop Streaks to Watch

Paul George 3+ threes: 8-game streak, averaging 3.9 threes over that run (last 5: 3,5,4,3,5). Line 3.0 @ 1.67 DraftKings. Strong consistency here.

OG Anunoby PRA over 21.5: 8-game streak with a 30.4 average (last 5: 31,22,38,28,33) @ 1.85. Also on a 7-game streak with 1+ block @ 1.63 betmgm.

Karl-Anthony Towns 4+ assists: 7-game streak averaging 7.1 dimes (last 5: 7,7,6,10,6) @ 1.30. Also on a 6-game streak hitting 6+ assists @ 2.11.

VJ Edgecombe 10+ points: 6-game streak for PHI’s young guard averaging 14.5 (last 5: 11,17,12,23,14) @ 1.38 DraftKings.

Josh Hart PA under 16.5: Josh Hart averaging just 13.8 (last 5: 15,11,14,16,13) – 7-game under streak @ value odds.

Injuries

No injuries reported for either side. Both teams go in at full strength for Game 4.

Verdict

NYK at -111 on the moneyline is fair value given the 57% win probability and their dominant series form. PHI at home may show more fight, but NYK have answered every challenge in this series. The prop angles on OG Anunoby and George are the standout spots. If NYK close this out today, it sets up a blockbuster Eastern Conference Final. Full data and live odds available on the Statz NBA preview page.