Philadelphia 76ers vs Boston Celtics Predictions – NBA Playoff Preview | April 28, 2026

The Boston Celtics host the Philadelphia 76ers in Game 4 of their First Round series. Boston leads 2-1 and aims to take a 3-1 advantage at TD Garden. Both teams are fully healthy.

Odds and Lines

• Moneyline: Boston Celtics -441 | Philadelphia 76ers +441
• Spread: BOS -11.5 | PHI +11.5
• Total: 214.5
• Win Probability: BOS 66.6% | PHI 33.4%

Playoff Context

Boston is heavily favored to extend their 2-1 series lead. The Celtics have home court and defending-champion pedigree. A 3-1 deficit would put the 76ers in a very difficult position. Boston’s 66.6% win probability and -441 moneyline reflect the gap between these teams.

Pace and Shooting

Both teams operate at a slow pace – Boston at 94.8, Philadelphia at 90.6. Philadelphia actually shoots better from the field (47.6% vs 42.6%) and from three (37.2% vs 32.9%), but Boston holds the free throw edge (83.0% vs 76.2%).

Key Players and Projections

Jaylen Brown leads Boston’s projections at 24.0/4.2/2.9. Jayson Tatum projects at 18.7/9.0/6.2 and carries a 7-game streak scoring 20+ points, averaging 25.1 over his last five (24, 23, 23, 23, 25).

The story for Philadelphia is VJ Edgecombe, who has been sensational in the playoffs. He has a 6-game streak grabbing 6+ rebounds (avg 7.8), is OVER his 21.5 PRA line in 6 straight games (avg 29.4), with last-five stats of 31, 27, 30, 34, 25 PRA.

Neemias Queta of Boston has gone OVER his Pts+Reb 14.5 line in 9 consecutive games (avg 21.6 last 5).

Active Prop Streaks

• Neemias Queta (BOS) – Pts+Reb OVER 14.5 – 9-game streak OVER | Last 5 avg 21.6
• VJ Edgecombe (PHI) – PRA OVER 21.5 – 6-game streak OVER | Last 5 avg 29.4
• VJ Edgecombe (PHI) – Pts+Ast OVER 15.5 – 6-game streak OVER | Last 5 avg 21.2
• VJ Edgecombe (PHI) – Rebounds OVER 5.5 – 6-game streak OVER | Last 5 avg 8.2
• Paul George (PHI) – Rebounds UNDER 5.5 – 6-game streak UNDER | Last 5 avg 4.6
• VJ Edgecombe (PHI) – Reb+Ast OVER 9.5 – 5-game streak OVER | Last 5 avg 13.8

Prediction

Boston should control this at home and close to 3-1. Edgecombe will put up numbers regardless – he has been one of the breakout performers of the 2026 playoffs. View the full BOS vs PHI game preview for live data, and use our Bet Builder Tool to stack your props. Full NBA schedule available on Statz.