Miami HeatHeat
Sun, Nov 89:00 PMETSacramento
Sacramento KingsKings
MIA1.30SAC4.44via Kalshi

Miami Heat vs Sacramento Kings Prediction, Odds and Picks

Updated Nov 7, with the latest lineups and odds

The Miami Heat visit the Sacramento Kings on Sunday 8 November 2026 at 9:00 PM ET. The Statz model gives the Miami Heat a 74% chance to win. No market line is posted for this game yet. The Sacramento Kings list 4 players on the injury report and the Miami Heat list 0, with 4 ruled out.

Matchup at a glance

Heat against Kings, per game this season.

MIAHeatKingsSAC
116Points scored · MIA edge109.2
122.6Points allowed · MIA edge123.3
33.3%Win % · MIA edge11.1%
114Pace110.4
46.2%Field goal % · SAC edge47.6%
36.5%Three-point % · MIA edge35.9%
81.7%Free throw % · MIA edge78.9%

Injuries

4 listed across both sides.

Quick answers3 questions

Who is favoured, Miami Heat or Sacramento Kings?

The Statz model favours the Miami Heat with a 74% win probability, leaving the Sacramento Kings at 26%. Over their last five games the Sacramento Kings are 1-4 and the Miami Heat are 3-2. The model's number comes from team-first projections that update through the day, so it can move before tip-off.

What is the spread and total for Miami Heat at Sacramento Kings?

No spread or total is posted yet for Miami Heat at Sacramento Kings; the odds board fills in once the books price the game. Lines move with injury news and money, so the odds board on this page carries the latest price. Alternative spreads and totals, first-quarter and first-half lines sit in the same board where the book offers them.

Which player props stand out for Miami Heat at Sacramento Kings?

For Miami Heat at Sacramento Kings, the model projects Darius Acuff Jr. for 24.0 points and Zach LaVine for 20.2 points for the Sacramento Kings. For the Miami Heat it projects Giannis Antetokounmpo for 26.8 points and Bam Adebayo for 19.1 points.