DEN1.55NOP2.82SpreadNOP +4.5Total239.5via Polymarket
Denver Nuggets at New Orleans Pelicans: Preview, Odds and Props
Same game parlays built from the board, each leg priced against the Statz model: Denver Nuggets at New Orleans Pelicans, 28 October 2026. The written preview, odds and model sit on the main preview page.
Same game parlays
Slips from the props and lines, priced by every book that carries each leg.
Safer4 legs
Short prices the player has cleared in at least four of their last five.
Nikola JokicUnder 10.5 Assists · 4/5 last 5 · 80.3%
1.87
Saddiq BeyOver 11.5 Points · 5/5 last 5 · 72.2%1.87
Christian BraunUnder 1.5 Threes · 5/5 last 5 · 70.7%
1.56
Jeremiah FearsUnder 1.5 Threes · 4/5 last 5 · 70.7%1.45
No single book carries every leg; as singles the legs multiply to 7.91.
Market 10%Statz 29%+19.0%
Edge4 legs
The legs where our chance beats the market's by the most.
PP2.00Derik QueenUnder 21.5 Pts + Reb + Ast · 2/5 last 5 · 99.9%
PP2.00Aaron GordonUnder 24.5 Pts + Reb + Ast · 3/5 last 5 · 84.4%- Nikola JokicUnder 10.5 Assists · 4/5 last 5 · 80.3%1.87
Trey Murphy IIIOver 2.5 Threes · 1/5 last 5 · 69.7%
2.28
PP16.47
Market 5.2%Statz 47.2%+42.0%
Scoring4 legs
Points, threes and the combination markets, over.
- Saddiq BeyOver 11.5 Points · 5/5 last 5 · 72.2%1.87
- Trey Murphy IIIOver 2.5 Threes · 1/5 last 5 · 69.7%2.28
DeMar DeRozanOver 16.5 Pts + Reb · 1/5 last 5 · 69.2%1.77- Christian BraunOver 17.5 Pts + Reb · 1/5 last 5 · 52.8%
1.91
No single book carries every leg; as singles the legs multiply to 14.41.
Market 5.6%Statz 18.4%+12.8%
Our chance of a slip is its legs' chances multiplied, which treats them as independent; legs from one game lean on each other, so the true chance is a little higher. Every leg must land.