GSW2.53MIN1.65SpreadMIN -3.5Total227.5via Polymarket
Golden State Warriors at Minnesota Timberwolves: Preview, Odds and Props
Same game parlays built from the board, each leg priced against the Statz model: Golden State Warriors at Minnesota Timberwolves, 28 October 2026. The written preview, odds and model sit on the main preview page.
Same game parlays
Slips from the props and lines, priced by every book that carries each leg.
Safer4 legs
Short prices the player has cleared in at least four of their last five.
Gui SantosUnder 1.5 Threes · 5/5 last 5 · 73.6%
1.69
PP1.62Draymond GreenUnder 1.5 Threes · 5/5 last 5 · 73.6%
LaMelo BallUnder 4.5 Rebounds · 4/5 last 5 · 67.1%
2.16
Minnesota TimberwolvesMoneyline · 65%
1.65
9.23Market 10.3%Statz 23.6%+13.3%
Edge4 legs
The legs where our chance beats the market's by the most.
PP2.00Yaxel LendeborgUnder 28.5 Pts + Reb + Ast · 1/4 last 5 · 92%
LaMelo BallUnder 4.5 Rebounds · 4/5 last 5 · 67.1%
2.16
PP2.25Brandin PodziemskiUnder 3.5 Assists · 4/5 last 5 · 62%
Jaden McDanielsUnder 4.5 Rebounds · 0/5 last 5 · 59.2%
2.15
PP19.85
Market 4.1%Statz 22.7%+18.6%
Scoring4 legs
Points, threes and the combination markets, over.
LaMelo BallOver 3.5 Threes · 2/5 last 5 · 66.4%
1.77
Ayo DosunmuOver 1.5 Threes · 0/5 last 5 · 53.5%
1.95
Gui SantosOver 15.5 Pts + Reb · 2/5 last 5 · 51.7%
1.88
PP2.00Rudy GobertOver 22.5 Pts + Reb · 2/5 last 5 · 50.6%
11.01Market 6.9%Statz 9.3%+2.4%
Our chance of a slip is its legs' chances multiplied, which treats them as independent; legs from one game lean on each other, so the true chance is a little higher. Every leg must land.

