DET2000.00MIA1.00SpreadMIA +4.5Total259.5via Polymarket

Detroit Pistons vs Miami Heat Same Game Parlay Picks

Updated Nov 14, after the final

Same game parlays built from the board, each leg priced against the Statz model: Detroit Pistons at Miami Heat, 14 November 2026. The written preview, odds and model sit on the main preview page.

Same game parlays

Slips from the props and lines, priced by every book that carries each leg.

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Safer4 legs

Short prices the player has cleared in at least four of their last five.

Ryan Conwell
Under 2.5 Assists · 5/5 last 5 · 91.4%
1.63
Paul Reed
Under 0.5 Threes · 5/5 last 5 · 80.9%
1.24
Duncan Robinson
Under 1.5 Steals · 5/5 last 5 · 79.6%
1.41
Klay Thompson
Under 2.5 Rebounds · 4/5 last 5 · 78.1%
1.60

No single book carries every leg; as singles the legs multiply to 4.56.

Market 17.7%Statz 46%+28.3%

Edge4 legs

The legs where our chance beats the market's by the most.

Ryan Conwell
Under 4.5 Reb + Ast · 2/5 last 5 · 91.2%
PP2.10
Giannis Antetokounmpo
Under 0.5 Threes · 1/5 last 5 · 80.9%
1.67
John Collins
Under 0.5 Steals · 3/5 last 5 · 70.1%
2.08
Bobby Portis
Under 4.5 Rebounds · 4/5 last 5 · 72.5%
2.10

No single book carries every leg; as singles the legs multiply to 15.32.

Market 5.7%Statz 37.5%+31.8%

Scoring3 legs

Points, threes and the combination markets, over.

Paul Reed
Over 19.5 Pts + Reb · 1/5 last 5 · 61.1%
2.00
Duncan Robinson
Over 3.5 Threes · 2/5 last 5 · 55.4%
PP2.00
Bam Adebayo
Over 26.5 Pts + Reb · 2/5 last 5 · 51.6%
1.85

7.28

Market 11.8%Statz 17.5%+5.7%

Our chance of a slip is its legs' chances multiplied, which treats them as independent; legs from one game lean on each other, so the true chance is a little higher. Every leg must land.